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We focus on variational inference in dynamical systems where the discrete time transition function (or evolution rule) is modelled by a Gaussian process. The dominant approach so far has been to use a factorised posterior distribution,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-17 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , James Hensman , Carl Edward Rasmussen

We present a class of models in which the primordial metric fluctuations do not necessarily obey Gaussian statistics. These models are realizations of mechanisms in which non-Gaussianity is first generated by a light scalar field and then…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 Francis Bernardeau , Tristan Brunier , Jean-Philippe Uzan

We derive a large deviation principle for random permutations induced by probability measures of the unit square, called permutons. These permutations are called $\mu$-random permutations. We also introduce and study a new general class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Jacopo Borga , Sayan Das , Sumit Mukherjee , Peter Winkler

Generalized Gibbs ensembles have been used as powerful tools to describe the steady state of integrable many-particle quantum systems after a sudden change of the Hamiltonian. Here we demonstrate numerically, that they can be used for a…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2018-05-02 Florian Lange , Zala Lenarčič , Achim Rosch

In this paper we present a dynamical system to generate Brownian motion based on the Langevin equation without stochastic term and using fractional derivatives, i.e., a deterministic Brownian motion model is proposed. The stochastic process…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-05-09 H. E. Gilardi-Velázquez , E. Campos-Cantón

We introduce a multidimensional walk with memory and random tendency. The asymptotic behaviour is characterized, proving a law of large numbers and showing a phase transition from diffusive to superdiffusive regimes. In first case, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-09 Manuel González-Navarrete

Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is a canonical model for long-memory phenomena. In the presence of large amounts of potentially memory-bearing data, the data are often averaged, which can change the structure of the underlying…

Recent studies have indicated that the coarse grained dynamics of a large class of traffic models and driven-diffusive systems may be described by urn models. We consider a class of one-dimensional urn models whereby particles hop from an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 E. Levine , D. Mukamel , G. Ziv

We consider discrete nonparametric priors which induce Gibbs-type exchangeable random partitions and investigate their posterior behavior in detail. In particular, we deduce conditional distributions and the corresponding Bayesian…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-22 Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster , Stephen G. Walker

The analysis of local minima in time series data and random landscapes is essential across numerous scientific disciplines, offering critical insights into system dynamics. Recently, Kundu, Majumdar, and Schehr derived the exact…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-19 Maxim Dolgushev , Olivier Bénichou

We consider a 1-dimensional Brownian motion whose diffusion coefficient varies when it crosses the origin. We study the long time behavior and we establish different regimes, depending on the variations of the diffusion coefficient:…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Nicolas Meunier , Clément Mouhot , Raphaël Roux

We consider the random point processes on a measure space X defined by the Gibbs measures associated to a given sequence of N-particle Hamiltonians H^{(N)}. Inspired by the method of Messer-Spohn for proving concentration properties for the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-10-27 Robert J. Berman

It is argued that a Gibbsian formula for the space-time distribution of microscopic trajectories of a nonequilibrium system provides a unifying framework for recent results on the fluctuations of the entropy production. The variable entropy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Maes

We study a two state ``jumping diffusivity'' model for a Brownian process alternating between two different diffusion constants, $D_{+}>D_{-}$, with random waiting times in both states whose distribution is rather general. In the limit of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-09 M. Hidalgo-Soria , E. Barkai , S. Burov

This study in centered on models accounting for stochastic deformations of sample paths of random walks, embedded either in $\mathbb{Z}^2$ or in $\mathbb{Z}^3$. These models are immersed in multi-type particle systems with exclusion.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Guy Fayolle , Cyril Furtlehner

Discrete random probability measures and the exchangeable random partitions they induce are key tools for addressing a variety of estimation and prediction problems in Bayesian inference. Indeed, many popular nonparametric priors, such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-03 P. De Blasi , S. Favaro , A. Lijoi , R. H. Mena , I. Pruenster , M. Ruggiero

Starting with a Brownian motion, we define and study a novel diffusion process by combining stickiness and oscillation properties. The associated stochastic differential equation, resolvent and semigroup are provided. Also the trivariate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Wajdi Touhami

We are concerned with sets of generic points for shift-invariant measures in the countable symbolic space. We measure the sizes of the sets by the Billingsley-Hausdorff dimensions defined by Gibbs measures. It is shown that the dimension of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-02-01 Ai-hua Fan , Ming-tian Li , Ji-hua Ma

Stochastic differential equations provide a powerful tool for modelling dynamic phenomena affected by random noise. In case of repeated observations of time series for several experimental units, it is often the case that some of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-06 Fernando Baltazar-Larios , Mogens Bladt , Michael Sørensen

A multivariate distribution can be described by a triangular transport map from the target distribution to a simple reference distribution. We propose Bayesian nonparametric inference on the transport map by modeling its components using…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-18 Matthias Katzfuss , Florian Schäfer
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