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In this paper, we propose a variable selection method for general nonparametric kernel-based estimation. The proposed method consists of two-stage estimation: (1) construct a consistent estimator of the target function, (2) approximate the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-05 Kota Matsui , Wataru Kumagai , Kenta Kanamori , Mitsuaki Nishikimi , Takafumi Kanamori

In this study, we introduce the first-of-its-kind class of tests for detecting change points in the distribution of a sequence of independent matrix-valued random variables. The tests are constructed using the weighted square integral…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-02 Žikica Lukić , Bojana Milošević

The performance of reproducing kernel Hilbert space-based methods is known to be sensitive to the choice of the reproducing kernel. Choosing an adequate reproducing kernel can be challenging and computationally demanding, especially in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Emilio Ruiz-Moreno , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

In the multiple changepoint setting, various search methods have been proposed which involve optimising either a constrained or penalised cost function over possible numbers and locations of changepoints using dynamic programming. Such…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-12 Kaylea Haynes , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

In Bayesian multilevel models, the data are structured in interconnected groups, and their posteriors borrow information from one another due to prior dependence between latent parameters. However, little is known about the behaviour of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-25 Marta Catalano , Hugo Lavenant , Francesco Mascari

This paper investigates change point inference in high-dimensional time series. We begin by introducing a max-$L_2$-norm based test procedure, which demonstrates strong performance under dense alternatives. We then establish the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-04 Xiaoyi Wang , Jixuan Liu , Long Feng

We consider the problem of Bayesian inference for changepoints where the number and position of the changepoints are both unknown. In particular, we consider product partition models where it is possible to integrate out model parameters…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-14 Alan Benson , Nial Friel

We review machine learning methods employing positive definite kernels. These methods formulate learning and estimation problems in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) of functions defined on the data domain, expanded in terms of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Thomas Hofmann , Bernhard Schölkopf , Alexander J. Smola

We introduce and study two new inferential challenges associated with the sequential detection of change in a high-dimensional mean vector. First, we seek a confidence interval for the changepoint, and second, we estimate the set of indices…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-03 Yudong Chen , Tengyao Wang , Richard J. Samworth

This article considers the problem of modeling a class of nonstationary count time series using multiple change-points generalized integer-valued autoregressive (MCP-GINAR) processes. The minimum description length principle (MDL) is…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-04 Danshu Sheng , Dehui Wang

While a substantial literature on structural break change point analysis exists for univariate time series, research on large panel data models has not been as extensive. In this paper, a novel method for estimating panel models with…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-24 Oualid Bada , Alois Kneip , Dominik Liebl , Tim Mensinger , James Gualtieri , Robin C. Sickles

Recent research in the theory of overparametrized learning has sought to establish generalization guarantees in the interpolating regime. Such results have been established for a few common classes of methods, but so far not for ensemble…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-20 Yutong Wang , Clayton D. Scott

We propose algorithms to take point sets for kernel-based interpolation of functions in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHSs) by convex optimization. We consider the case of kernels with the Mercer expansion and propose an algorithm by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-08-19 Ken'ichiro Tanaka

We introduce a kernel method for manifold alignment (KEMA) and domain adaptation that can match an arbitrary number of data sources without needing corresponding pairs, just few labeled examples in all domains. KEMA has interesting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-04 Devis Tuia , Gustau Camps-Valls

In order to fully utilize "big data", it is often required to use "big models". Such models tend to grow with the complexity and size of the training data, and do not make strong parametric assumptions upfront on the nature of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-17 Vikas Sindhwani , Haim Avron

Multi-stream sequential change detection involves simultaneously monitoring many streams of data and trying to detect when their distributions change, if at all. Here, we theoretically study multiple testing issues that arise from detecting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Sanjit Dandapanthula , Aaditya Ramdas

We propose a novel approach to parameter estimation for simulator-based statistical models with intractable likelihood. Our proposed method involves recursive application of kernel ABC and kernel herding to the same observed data. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-13 Takafumi Kajihara , Motonobu Kanagawa , Keisuke Yamazaki , Kenji Fukumizu

We propose TrendSegment, a methodology for detecting multiple change-points corresponding to linear trend changes in one dimensional data. A core ingredient of TrendSegment is a new Tail-Greedy Unbalanced Wavelet transform: a conditionally…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-09 Hyeyoung Maeng , Piotr Fryzlewicz

The problem of detecting change points in the parameters of a linear regression model with errors and covariates exhibiting heteroscedasticity is considered. Asymptotic results for weighted functionals of the cumulative sum (CUSUM)…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Lajos Horvath , Gregory Rice , Yuqian Zhao

We consider the problem of quickest change-point detection in data streams. Classical change-point detection procedures, such as CUSUM, Shiryaev-Roberts and Posterior Probability statistics, are optimal only if the change-point model is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-13 Denis Volkhonskiy , Ilia Nouretdinov , Alexander Gammerman , Vladimir Vovk , Evgeny Burnaev
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