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Related papers: Risk Bounds for Infinitely Divisible Distribution

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This paper introduces two variational inference approaches for infinite-dimensional inverse problems, developed through gradient descent with a constant learning rate. The proposed methods enable efficient approximate sampling from the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Jiaming Sui , Junxiong Jia , Jinglai Li

We develop novel empirical Bernstein inequalities for the variance of bounded random variables. Our inequalities hold under constant conditional variance and mean, without further assumptions like independence or identical distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Aaditya Ramdas

By exploiting the well-known observation that size-biasing or zero-biasing an infinitely divisible random variable may be achieved by adding an independent increment, combined with tools from Stein's method for compound Poisson and Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Fraser Daly

We consider a type of nonnormal approximation of infinitely divisible distributions that incorporates compound Poisson, Gamma, and normal distributions. The approximation relies on achieving higher orders of cumulant matching, to obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-24 Zhiyi Chi

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

Many methods for machine learning rely on approximate inference from intractable probability distributions. Variational inference approximates such distributions by tractable models that can be subsequently used for approximate inference.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Oleg Arenz , Mingjun Zhong , Gerhard Neumann

We consider diffraction at random point scatterers on general discrete point sets in $\R^\nu$, restricted to a finite volume. We allow for random amplitudes and random dislocations of the scatterers. We investigate the speed of convergence…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Kuelske

This paper is concerned with test of the conditional independence. We first establish an equivalence between the conditional independence and the mutual independence. Based on the equivalence, we propose an index to measure the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Zhanrui Cai , Runze Li , Yaowu Zhang

Lundberg-type inequalities for ruin probabilities of non-homogeneous risk models are presented in this paper. By employing martingale method, the upper bounds of ruin probabilities are obtained for the general risk models under weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Qianqian Zhou , Alexander Sakhanenko , Junyi Guo

We present a general approach, based on exponential inequalities, to derive bounds on the generalization error of randomized learning algorithms. Using this approach, we provide bounds on the average generalization error as well as bounds…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-10 Fredrik Hellström , Giuseppe Durisi

The radiological characterization of contaminated elements (walls, grounds, objects) from nuclear facilities often suffers from a too small number of measurements. In order to determine risk prediction bounds on the level of contamination,…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-30 Géraud Blatman , Thibault Delage , Bertrand Iooss , Nadia Pérot

In this paper, we study non-asymptotic deviation bounds of the least squares estimator in Gaussian AR($n$) processes. By relying on martingale concentration inequalities and a tail-bound for $\chi^2$ distributed variables, we provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-26 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas

In this paper, explicit error bounds are derived in the approximation of rank $k$ projections of certain $n$-dimensional random vectors by standard $k$-dimensional Gaussian random vectors. The bounds are given in terms of $k$, $n$, and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-07 Elizabeth Meckes

We propose and analyze a generalized splitting method to sample approximately from a distribution conditional on the occurrence of a rare event. This has important applications in a variety of contexts in operations research, engineering,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-10 Zdravko I. Botev , Pierre L'Ecuyer

Inspired by R. Speicher's multidimensional free central limit theorem and semicircle families, we prove an infinite dimensional compound Poisson limit theorem in free probability, and define infinite dimensional compound free Poisson…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2017-12-19 Guimei An , Mingchu Gao

The sum of $n$ {non-independent} Bernoulli random variables could be modeled in several different ways. One of these is the Multiplicative Binomial Distribution (MBD), introduced by Altham (1978) and revised by Lovison (1998). In this work,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-26 Francesca Fortunato

In this paper, we are concerned with obtaining distribution-free concentration inequalities for mixture of independent Bernoulli variables that incorporate a notion of variance. Missing mass is the total probability mass associated to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-05 Bahman Yari Saeed Khanloo

Independence analysis is an indispensable step before regression analysis to find out essential factors that influence the objects. With many applications in machine Learning, medical Learning and a variety of disciplines, statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-08 Wenliang Pan , Yujue Li , Jianwu Liu , Pei Dang , Weixiong Mai

We establish noncommutative analogs of some well-known large deviation inequalities for noncommutative random variables. Firstly, for the noncommutative independent case, we characterize the uniformly exponential integrability of random…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Yong Jiao , Sijie Luo , Dejian Zhou

We study the empirical measure associated to a sample of size $n$ and modified by $N$ iterations of the raking-ratio method. This empirical measure is adjusted to match the true probability of sets in a finite partition which changes each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-10 Mickael Albertus , Philippe Berthet