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Interval Markov decision processes are a class of Markov models where the transition probabilities between the states belong to intervals. In this paper, we study the problem of efficient estimation of the optimal policies in Interval…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Saber Jafarpour , Samuel Coogan

We consider a discrete-time dividend payout problem with risk sensitive shareholders. It is assumed that they are equipped with a risk aversion coefficient and construct their discounted payoff with the help of the exponential premium…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Nicole Bäuerle , Anna Jaśkiewicz

We derive a family of risk-sensitive reinforcement learning methods for agents, who face sequential decision-making tasks in uncertain environments. By applying a utility function to the temporal difference (TD) error, nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-10-10 Yun Shen , Michael J. Tobia , Tobias Sommer , Klaus Obermayer

A risk measure that is consistent with the second-order stochastic dominance and additive for sums of independent random variables can be represented as a weighted entropic risk measure (WERM). The expected utility maximization problem with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-07 Jianming Xia

We study group decision making with changing preferences as a Markov Decision Process. We are motivated by the increasing prevalence of automated decision-making systems when making choices for groups of people over time. Our main…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-11-06 Kshitij Kulkarni , Sven Neth

In a consideration set model, an individual maximizes utility among the considered alternatives. I relate a consideration set additive random utility model to classic discrete choice and the extended additive random utility model, in which…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-24 Roy Allen

The present paper introduces a theoretical framework through which the degree of risk aversion with respect to uncertain prices can be measured through the context of the indirect utility function (IUF) using a lab experiment. First, the…

General Economics · Economics 2022-09-07 Ali Zeytoon-Nejad

A multiplicative relative value iteration algorithm for solving the dynamic programming equation for the risk-sensitive control problem is studied for discrete time controlled Markov chains with a compact Polish state space, and controlled…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-19 Ari Arapostathis , Vivek S. Borkar

In this paper, we consider a situation where a decision maker's (DM's) risk preference can be described by a spectral risk measure (SRM) but there is not a single SRM which can be used to represent the DM's preferences consistently.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-06 Manlan Li , Xiaojiao Tong , Huifu Xu

Keeping a memory of evolving stimuli is ubiquitous in biology, an example of which is immune memory for evolving pathogens. However, learning and memory storage for dynamic patterns still pose challenges in machine learning. Here, we…

Biological Physics · Physics 2021-10-29 Oskar H Schnaack , Luca Peliti , Armita Nourmohammad

Whereas classical Markov decision processes maximize the expected reward, we consider minimizing the risk. We propose to evaluate the risk associated to a given policy over a long-enough time horizon with the help of a central limit…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-03 Pengqian Yu , Jia Yuan Yu , Huan Xu

A standard objective in partially-observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) is to find a policy that maximizes the expected discounted-sum payoff. However, such policies may still permit unlikely but highly undesirable outcomes, which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-01-31 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Petr Novotný , Guillermo A. Pérez , Jean-François Raskin , Đorđe Žikelić

An agent acquires a costly flexible signal before making a decision. We explore to what degree knowledge of the agent's information costs helps predict her behavior. We establish an impossibility result: learning costs alone generate no…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-04-05 Elliot Lipnowski , Doron Ravid

In this paper we consider a reduced-form intensity-based credit risk model with a hidden Markov state process. A filtering method is proposed for extracting the underlying state given the observation processes. The method may be applied to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-10 Feng-Hui Yu , Wai-Ki Ching , Jia-Wen Gu , Tak-Kuen Siu

This paper studies a one-sector optimal growth model with i.i.d. productivity shocks that are allowed to be unbounded. The utility function is assumed to be non-negative and unbounded from above. The novel feature in our framework is that…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-21 Nicole Bäuerle , Anna Jaśkiewicz

Standard Markov decision process (MDP) and reinforcement learning algorithms optimize the policy with respect to the expected gain. We propose an algorithm which enables to optimize an alternative objective: the probability that the gain is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Vincent Corlay , Jean-Christophe Sibel

This paper is devoted to studying constrained continuous-time Markov decision processes (MDPs) in the class of randomized policies depending on state histories. The transition rates may be unbounded, the reward and costs are admitted to be…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-04 Xianping Guo , Xinyuan Song

In this paper, we consider a continuous-time Markov decision process (CTMDP) in Borel spaces, where the certainty equivalent with respect to the exponential utility of the total undiscounted cost is to be minimized. The cost rate is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Yi Zhang

Partially-observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) with discounted-sum payoff are a standard framework to model a wide range of problems related to decision making under uncertainty. Traditionally, the goal has been to obtain policies…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Adrián Elgyütt , Petr Novotný , Owen Rouillé

Risk-sensitive planning aims to identify policies maximizing some tail-focused metrics in Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Such an optimization task can be very costly for the most widely used and interpretable metrics such as threshold…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-09 Alexandre Marthe , Samuel Bounan , Aurélien Garivier , Claire Vernade
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