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Machine learning algorithms have been extensively exploited in energy research, due to their flexibility, automation and ability to handle big data. Among the most prominent machine learning algorithms are the boosting ones, which are known…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-02 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous

Latent Gaussian models and boosting are widely used techniques in statistics and machine learning. Tree-boosting shows excellent prediction accuracy on many data sets, but potential drawbacks are that it assumes conditional independence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-24 Fabio Sigrist

Boosted decision trees are a very powerful machine learning technique. After introducing specific concepts of machine learning in the high-energy physics context and describing ways to quantify the performance and training quality of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-06-22 Yann Coadou

Demand forecasting is a central component of the replenishment process for retailers, as it provides crucial input for subsequent decision making like ordering processes. In contrast to point estimates, such as the conditional mean of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 F. Wick , U. Kerzel , M. Hahn , M. Wolf , T. Singhal , D. Stemmer , J. Ernst , M. Feindt

One of the most popular ML algorithms, AdaBoost, can be derived from the dual of a relative entropy minimization problem subject to the fact that the positive weights on the examples sum to one. Essentially, harder examples receive higher…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Richard Nock , Ehsan Amid , Manfred K. Warmuth

This paper presents a general iterative bias correction procedure for regression smoothers. This bias reduction schema is shown to correspond operationally to the $L_2$ Boosting algorithm and provides a new statistical interpretation for…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-01-31 Pierre Andre Cornillon , Nicolas Hengartner , Eric Matzner-Lober

A new implementation of an adiabatically-trained ensemble model is derived that shows significant improvements over classical methods. In particular, empirical results of this new algorithm show that it offers not just higher performance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Salvatore Certo , Andrew Vlasic , Daniel Beaulieu

Unlike previous studies on mixture distributions, a bagging and boosting based convexly combined mixture probabilistic model has been suggested. This model is a result of iteratively searching for obtaining the optimum probabilistic model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-14 Mian Arif Shams Adnan , H. M. Miraz Mahmud

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) represents an ensemble methodology that amalgamates predictions from several specialized sub-models (referred to as experts). This fusion is accomplished through a router mechanism, dynamically assigning weights to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-27 Jinze Zhao , Peihao Wang , Zhangyang Wang

We present nonparametric algorithms for estimating optimal individualized treatment rules. The proposed algorithms are based on the XGBoost algorithm, which is known as one of the most powerful algorithms in the machine learning literature.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-04 Duzhe Wang , Haoda Fu , Po-Ling Loh

Class-incremental learning is becoming more popular as it helps models widen their applicability while not forgetting what they already know. A trend in this area is to use a mixture-of-expert technique, where different models work together…

With the insight of variance-bias decomposition, we design a new hybrid bagging-boosting algorithm named SBPMT for classification problems. For the boosting part of SBPMT, we propose a new tree model called Probit Model Tree (PMT) as base…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-07 Tian Qin , Wei-Min Huang

Class imbalance classification is a challenging research problem in data mining and machine learning, as most of the real-life datasets are often imbalanced in nature. Existing learning algorithms maximise the classification accuracy by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-05 Farshid Rayhan , Sajid Ahmed , Asif Mahbub , Md. Rafsan Jani , Swakkhar Shatabda , Dewan Md. Farid

Gradient tree boosting is a prediction algorithm that sequentially produces a model in the form of linear combinations of decision trees, by solving an infinite-dimensional optimization problem. We combine gradient boosting and Nesterov's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-07 Gérard Biau , Benoît Cadre , Laurent Rouvìère

We propose an algorithm to enhance certified robustness of a deep model ensemble by optimally weighting each base model. Unlike previous works on using ensembles to empirically improve robustness, our algorithm is based on optimizing a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-01 Huan Zhang , Minhao Cheng , Cho-Jui Hsieh

Loan risk for small businesses has long been a complex problem worthy of exploring. Predicting the loan risk can benefit entrepreneurship by developing more jobs for the society. CatBoost (Categorical Boosting) is a powerful machine…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-07-01 Haoxue Wang , Liexin Cheng

Training AI models that generalize across tasks and domains has long been among the open problems driving AI research. The emergence of Foundation Models made it easier to obtain expert models for a given task, but the heterogeneity of data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Hongyi Wang , Felipe Maia Polo , Yuekai Sun , Souvik Kundu , Eric Xing , Mikhail Yurochkin

In this paper, we introduce and evaluate a data-driven staged mixture modeling technique for building density, regression, and classification models. Our basic approach is to sequentially add components to a finite mixture model using the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Christopher Meek , Bo Thiesson , David Heckerman

In this paper we establish a new margin-based generalization bound for voting classifiers, refining existing results and yielding tighter generalization guarantees for widely used boosting algorithms such as AdaBoost (Freund and Schapire,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Mikael Møller Høgsgaard , Kasper Green Larsen

Probability estimates generated by boosting ensembles are poorly calibrated because of the margin maximization nature of the algorithm. The outputs of the ensemble need to be properly calibrated before they can be used as probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-20 Nikolaos Nikolaou , Joseph Mellor , Nikunj C. Oza , Gavin Brown
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