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The present manuscript is concerned with component-wise estimation of the positive power of ordered restricted standard deviation of two normal populations with certain restrictions on the means. We propose several improved estimators under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Somnath Mondal , Lakshmi Kanta Patra

A new family of penalty functions, adaptive to likelihood, is introduced for model selection in general regression models. It arises naturally through assuming certain types of prior distribution on the regression parameters. To study…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-26 Yang Feng , Tengfei Li , Zhiliang Ying

The asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimate is proved to decrease when the maximization is restricted to a subspace that contains the true parameter value. Maximum likelihood estimation allows a systematic fitting of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-31 Marie Turčičová , Jan Mandel , Kryštof Eben

We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky

This paper concerns the estimation of sums of functions of observable and unobservable variables. Lower bounds for the asymptotic variance and a convolution theorem are derived in general finite- and infinite-dimensional models. An explicit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cun-Hui Zhang

In this paper, we investigate temporal clusters of extremes defined as subsequent exceedances of high thresholds in a stationary time series. Two meaningful features of these clusters are the probability distribution of the cluster size and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-08 Marco Oesting , Alexander Schnurr

In this paper we study asymptotic properties of random forests within the framework of nonlinear time series modeling. While random forests have been successfully applied in various fields, the theoretical justification has not been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-07 Richard A. Davis , Mikkel S. Nielsen

We consider random graphs with a given degree sequence and show, under weak technical conditions, asymptotic normality of the number of components isomorphic to a given tree, first for the random multigraph given by the configuration model…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-01 Svante Janson

We consider a linear mixed-effects model with a clustered structure, where the parameters are estimated using maximum likelihood (ML) based on possibly unbalanced data. Inference with this model is typically done based on asymptotic theory,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

Eliciting preferences from human judgements is inherently imprecise, yet most decision analysis methods force a single priority vector from pairwise comparisons, discarding the information embedded in inconsistencies. We instead leverage…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-27 Salvatore Greco , Sajid Siraj , Michele Lundy

We consider a one dimensional ballistic random walk evolving in an i.i.d. parametric random environment. We provide a maximum likelihood estimation procedure of the environment parameters based on a single observation of the path till the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-13 Francis Comets , Mikael Falconnet , Oleg Loukianov , Dasha Loukianova , Catherine Matias

We consider a stochastic process model with time trend and measurement error. We establish consistency and derive the limiting distributions of the maximum likelihood (ML) estimators of the covariance function parameters under a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

The three-parameter generalized extreme value distribution arises from classical univariate extreme value theory and is in common use for analyzing the far tail of observed phenomena. Curiously, important asymptotic properties of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Likun Zhang , Benjamin Shaby

Standard supervised learning procedures are validated against a test set that is assumed to have come from the same distribution as the training data. However, in many problems, the test data may have come from a different distribution. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-28 Tim Coleman , Kimberly Kaufeld , Mary Frances Dorn , Lucas Mentch

The central limit theorem introduced by Stute [The central limit theorem under random censorship. Ann. Statist. 1995; 23: 422-439] does not hold for some class of heavy-tailed distributions. In this paper, we make use of the extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-19 Louiza Soltane , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

Order statistics theory is applied in this paper to probabilistic robust control theory to compute the minimum sample size needed to come up with a reliable estimate of an uncertain quantity under continuity assumption of the related…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-05-13 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou

In a one-parameter model for evolution of random trees, which also includes the Barabasi-Albert random tree, almost sure behavior and the limiting distribution of the degree of a vertex in a fixed position are examined. Results about Polya…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-27 Agnes Backhausz

We study the least squares estimator in the residual variance estimation context. We show that the mean squared differences of paired observations are asymptotically normally distributed. We further establish that, by regressing the mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-12 Tiejun Tong , Yanyuan Ma , Yuedong Wang

Tree ensembles are non-parametric methods widely recognized for their accuracy and ability to capture complex interactions. While these models excel at prediction, they are difficult to interpret and may fail to uncover useful relationships…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-01 Brian Liu , Rahul Mazumder , Peter Radchenko

As a flexible nonparametric learning tool, the random forests algorithm has been widely applied to various real applications with appealing empirical performance, even in the presence of high-dimensional feature space. Unveiling the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-27 Chien-Ming Chi , Patrick Vossler , Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv