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Using 55 years of daily average temperatures from a local weather station, I made a least-absolute-deviations (LAD) regression model that accounts for three effects: seasonal variations, the 11-year solar cycle, and a linear trend. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-09-05 Robert J. Vanderbei

The use of the spotless days to predict the future solar activity is here revised based on the new version of the sunspot number index with a 24-month filter. Data from Solar Cycle (SC) 10 are considered because from this solar cycle the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-15 V. M. S. Carrasco , J. M. Vaquero , M. C. Gallego

Whether the upcoming cycle 24 of solar activity will be strong or not is being hotly debated. The solar cycle is produced by a complex dynamo mechanism. We model the last few solar cycles by `feeding' observational data of the Sun's polar…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Arnab Rai Choudhuri , Piyali Chatterjee , Jie Jiang

We find that the mean meridional motion of the spot groups varies considerably on a time scale of about 5-20 years. The maximum amplitude of the variation is about 10-15 m/s in both the Sun's northern and the southern hemispheres. Variation…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-26 J. Javaraiah

The Sun's polar magnetic fields are directly related to solar cycle variability. The strength of the polar fields at the start (minimum) of a cycle determine the subsequent amplitude of that cycle. In addition, the polar field reversals at…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-08-01 Lisa Upton , David H. Hathaway

Previous studies on the impact and influence of solar activity on terrestrial weather has yielded contradictory results in literature. Present study presents, on a global scale, the correlation between surface air temperature and two solar…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-30 S. T. Ogunjo , A. B. Rabiu

The importance of the sea ice retreat in the polar regions for the global warming and the role of ice-albedo feedback was recognized by various authors [1,2]. Similar to a recent study of the phenomenon in the Arctic [3] we present a…

Geophysics · Physics 2018-07-18 Alfred Laubereau , Hristo Iglev

The short-term periodicities of the daily sunspot area fluctuations from August 1923 to October 1933 are discussed. For these data the correlative analysis indicates negative correlation for the periodicity of about 155 days, but the power…

Applications · Statistics 2010-09-17 Ryszarda Getko

The North-South asymmetry of solar activity is variable in time and strength. We analyse the long-term variation of the phase lags of hemispheric cycles and check a conjectured relationship between these phase lags and the hemispheric cycle…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-09-10 J. Muraközy , A. Ludmány

We create a continuous series of daily and monthly hemispheric sunspot numbers (HSNs) from 1874 to 2020, which will be continuously expanded in the future with the HSNs provided by SILSO. Based on the available daily measurements of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-06 Astrid M. Veronig , Shantanu Jain , Tatiana Podladchikova , Werner Poetzi , Frederic Clette

Forecasting the strength of the sunspot cycle is highly important for many space weather applications. Our previous studies have shown the importance of sunspot number variability in the declining phase of the current 11-year sunspot cycle…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-12-18 Tatiana Podladchikova , Ronald Van der Linden , Astrid M. Veronig

The maximum of a solar cycle contain two or more peaks, known as Gnevyshev peaks. Studies of this property of solar cycles may help for better understanding the solar dynamo mechanism. We analysed the 13-month smoothed monthly mean…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-27 J. Javaraiah

Here we study the prediction of even and odd numbered sunspot cycles separately, thereby taking into account the Hale cyclicity of solar magnetism. We first show that the temporal evolution and shape of all sunspot cycles are extremely well…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-11 Timo Asikainen , Jani Mantere

We have examined polar magnetic fields for the last three solar cycles, {$\it{viz.}$}, cycles 21, 22 and 23 using NSO Kitt Peak synoptic magnetograms. In addition, we have used SoHO/MDI magnetograms to derive the polar fields during cycle…

Space Physics · Physics 2015-05-20 P. Janardhan , Kumar Bisoi Susanta , S. Gosain

We studied the relation between the distribution of sunspot groups and the Gleissberg cycle. As the magnetic field is related to the area of the sunspot groups, we used area-weighted sunspot group data. On the one hand, we confirm the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 E. Forgacs-Dajka , B. Major , T. Borkovits

We use Indian temperature data of more than 100 years to study the influence of solar activity on climate. We study the Sun-climate relationship by averaging solar and climate data at various time scales; decadal, solar activity and solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-09-09 O. P. M. Aslam , Badruddin

The faster meridional flow that preceded the solar cycle 23/24 minimum is thought to have led to weaker polar field strengths, producing the extended solar minimum and the unusually weak cycle 24. To determine the impact of meridional flow…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 Lisa Upton , David H. Hathaway

The forthcoming solar cycle (SC) 25 was beleived to be rather low when using the sunspot number (SN) as a measurement of the level of activity. The most popular prediction was made by the panel of NASA in 2019, including works based on…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-05-19 S. Koutchmy , B. Filippov , E. Tavabi , J-C. Noens , O. Wurmser

A long-term variation is detected in the north-south differences of the solar activity, the phase difference of hemispheric cycles alternates by four Schwabe cycles. This variability is demonstrated by two different methods. It can be the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-01-10 J. Muraközy , A. Ludmány

The sunspot number data during the past 400 years indicates that both the profile and the amplitude of the solar cycle have large variations. Some precursors of the solar cycle were identified aiming to predict the solar cycle. The polar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Jie Jiang