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Despite the popularity of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), the problem of uncertainty quantification (UQ) of CNN has been largely overlooked. Lack of efficient UQ tools severely limits the application of CNN in certain areas, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Hongfei Du , Emre Barut , Fang Jin

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in computational chemistry (CC) is still in its infancy. Very few CC methods are designed to provide a confidence level on their predictions, and most users still rely improperly on the mean absolute error as…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-03-21 Pascal Pernot

The accurate identification of faulty hardware is a fundamental requirement for reliable quantum information processing. We address this problem in a quantum setting, where a series of $n$ devices is intended to apply the same unitary…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-07 Santiago Llorens , Arnau Diebra , Michal Sedlák , Ramon Muñoz-Tapia

Inverse problems are ubiquitous in modern scientific studies and involve recovering an underlying signal from noisy observations often transformed by a measurement operator. These problems are frequently ill-posed, particularly in imaging,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Henry J. Aldridge , Tobías I. Liaudat , Marcelo Pereyra , Jason D. McEwen

The design and testing of supervised machine learning models combine two fundamental distributions: (1) the training data distribution (2) the testing data distribution. Although these two distributions are identical and identifiable when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-19 Peyman Tavallali , Hamed Hamze Bajgiran , Danial J. Esaid , Houman Owhadi

In this paper, we present an adaptive algorithm to construct response surface approximations of high-fidelity models using a hierarchy of lower fidelity models. Our algorithm is based on multi-index stochastic collocation and automatically…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-04 John D. Jakeman , Michael Eldred , Gianluca Geraci , Alex Gorodetsky

In nuclear reactor system design and safety analysis, the Best Estimate plus Uncertainty (BEPU) methodology requires that computer model output uncertainties must be quantified in order to prove that the investigated design stays within…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-22 Xu Wu , Tomasz Kozlowski , Hadi Meidani , Koroush Shirvan

Deep learning has been shown to be highly effective for automatic modulation classification (AMC), which is a pivotal technology for next-generation cognitive communications. Yet, existing deep learning methods for AMC often lack robust…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-03 Huian Yang , Rajeev Sahay

We extend the concept of probabilistic unambiguous discrimination of quantum states to quantum state estimation. We consider a scenario where the measurement device can output either an estimate of the unknown input state or an inconclusive…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Jaromir Fiurasek

A new approach for robust Hinfty filtering for a class of Lipschitz nonlinear systems with time-varying uncertainties both in the linear and nonlinear parts of the system is proposed in an LMI framework. The admissible Lipschitz constant of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-03-04 Masoud Abbaszadeh , Horacio J. Marquez

Quantifying the impact of parametric and model-form uncertainty on the predictions of stochastic models is a key challenge in many applications. Previous work has shown that the relative entropy rate is an effective tool for deriving…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-04 Jeremiah Birrell , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) provides a resource-efficient solution for on-device monitoring of tinyML models deployed without access to true labels. However, existing UQ methods impose significant memory and compute demands, making them…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Nikhil P Ghanathe , Steven J E Wilton

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is an active area of research, and an essential technique used in all fields of science and engineering. The most common methods for UQ are Monte Carlo and surrogate-modelling. The former method is…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-01 Arnau Albà , Romana Boiger , Dimitri Rochman , Andreas Adelmann

We develop a systematic information-theoretic framework for quantification and mitigation of error in probabilistic Lagrangian (i.e., path-based) predictions which are obtained from dynamical systems generated by uncertain (Eulerian) vector…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Michal Branicki , Kenneth Uda

TodevelopanovelUncertaintyQuantification (UQ) framework to estimate the uncertainty of patient survival models in the absence of ground truth, we developed and evaluated our approach based on a dataset of 1383 patients treated with…

The hybrid neural differentiable models mark a significant advancement in the field of scientific machine learning. These models, integrating numerical representations of known physics into deep neural networks, offer enhanced predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Deepak Akhare , Tengfei Luo , Jian-Xun Wang

Operator learning has been increasingly adopted in scientific and engineering applications, many of which require calibrated uncertainty quantification. Since the output of operator learning is a continuous function, quantifying uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Ziqi Ma , Kamyar Azizzadenesheli , Anima Anandkumar

The introduction of the Segment Anything Model (SAM) has paved the way for numerous semantic segmentation applications. For several tasks, quantifying the uncertainty of SAM is of particular interest. However, the ambiguous nature of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Timo Kaiser , Thomas Norrenbrock , Bodo Rosenhahn

It is critical and challenging to design robust predictors for stochastic dynamical systems (SDSs) with uncertainty quantification (UQ) in the prediction. Specifically, robustness guarantees the worst-case performance when the predictor's…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Tao Xu , Jianping He

Certain answers are a principled method for coping with the uncertainty that arises in many practical data management tasks. Unfortunately, this method is expensive and may exclude useful (if uncertain) answers. Prior work introduced…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Su Feng , Aaron Huber , Boris Glavic , Oliver Kennedy
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