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In this paper, we address rare-event simulation for heavy-tailed L\'evy processes with infinite activities. The presence of infinite activities poses a critical challenge, making it impractical to simulate or store the precise sample path…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-07 Xingyu Wang , Chang-Han Rhee

The classic central limit theorem and $\alpha$-stable distributions play a key role in probability theory, and also in Boltzmann-Gibbs (BG) statistical mechanics. They both concern the paradigmatic case of probabilistic independence of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-05-04 Sabir Umarov , Constantino Tsallis , Murray Gell-Mann , Stanly Steinberg

Using the LePage representation, a strictly stable random element in a Banach space with $\alpha\in(0,2)$ can be represented as a sum of points of a Poisson process. This point process is union-stable, i.e. the union of its two independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Youri Davydov , Ilya Molchanov , Sergei Zuyev

This paper presents a novel approach to reinforcement learning (RL) for control systems that provides probabilistic stability guarantees using finite data. Leveraging Lyapunov's method, we propose a probabilistic stability theorem that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Minghao Han , Lixian Zhang , Chenliang Liu , Zhipeng Zhou , Jun Wang , Wei Pan

Distribution shifts are ubiquitous in real-world machine learning applications, posing a challenge to the generalization of models trained on one data distribution to another. We focus on scenarios where data distributions vary across…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Steven Wilkins-Reeves , Xu Chen , Qi Ma , Christine Agarwal , Aude Hofleitner

We study the spectral expansion of the semigroup of a general stable process killed on the first exit from the positive half-line. Starting with the Wiener-Hopf factorization we obtain the q-resolvent density for the killed process, from…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-03 Alexey Kuznetsov , Mateusz Kwasnicki

We obtain an exact formula for the first-passage time probability distribution for random walks on complex networks using inverse Laplace transform. We write the formula as the summation of finitely many terms with different frequencies…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-12-17 Mucong Ding , Kwok Yip Szeto

Characteristic functions of several popular classes of distributions and processes admit analytic continuation into unions of strips and open coni around $\mathbb{R}\subset \mathbb{C}$. The Fourier transform techniques reduces calculation…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-17 Svetlana Boyarchenko , Sergei Levendorskiĭ

Various computational challenges arise when applying Bayesian inference approaches to complex hierarchical models. Sampling-based inference methods, such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo strategies, are renowned for providing accurate results…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Cristian Chiuchiolo , Janet van Niekerk , Håvard Rue

We construct intrinsic on-and off-diagonal upper and lower estimates for the transition probability density of a L\'evy process in small time. By intrinsic we mean that such estimates reflect the structure of the characteristic exponent of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-09 Victoria Knopova , Alexei Kulik

Consider a pair of cumulative distribution functions $F$ and $G$, where $F$ is unknown and $G$ is a known reference distribution. Given a sample from $F$, we propose tests to detect the convexity or the concavity of $G^{-1}\circ F$ versus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Tommaso Lando , Mohammed Es-Salih Benjrada

The article considers vector parameter estimators in statistical models generated by Levy processes. An improved one step estimator is presented that can be used for improving any other estimator. Combined numerical methods for optimization…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-15 D. O. Ivanenko , R. V. Pogorielov

In this paper we introduce a new class of L\'evy processes which we call hypergeometric-stable L\'evy processes, because they are obtained from symmetric stable processes through several transformations and where the Gauss hypergeometric…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-05 M. E. Caballero , J. C. Pardo , J. L. Perez

We propose a new formulation of the probability distribution function of wind driven water surface slope with an $\alpha$-stable distribution probability. The mathematical formulation of the probability distribution function is given under…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Maminirina Joelson , Marie Christine Neel

Using the Wiener-Hopf factorization, it is shown that it is possible to bound the path of an arbitrary Levy process above and below by the paths of two random walks. These walks have the same step distribution, but different random starting…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. A. Doney

We justify the practical use of the Shuvaev integral transform approach to calculate the skewed distributions, needed to describe diffractive processes, directly from the conventional diagonal global parton distributions. We address doubts…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-05-13 A. D. Martin , C. Nockles , M. G. Ryskin , A. G. Shuvaev , T. Teubner

We propose a new method for the estimation of a semiparametric tempered stable L\'{e}vy model. The estimation procedure combines iteratively an approximate semiparametric method of moment estimator, Truncated Realized Quadratic Variations…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-25 José E. Figueroa-López , Ruoting Gong , Yuchen Han

We prove asymptotic behaviour of transition density for a large class of spectrally one-sided L\'evy processes of unbounded variation satisfying mild condition imposed on the second derivative of the Laplace exponent, or equivalently, on…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-01 Łukasz Leżaj

This article establishes a universal robust limit theorem under a sublinear expectation framework. Under moment and consistency conditions, we show that, for $\alpha \in(1,2)$, the i.i.d. sequence \[ \left \{ \left(…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-31 Mingshang Hu , Lianzi Jiang , Gechun Liang , Shige Peng

Gaussian processes are rich distributions over functions, with generalization properties determined by a kernel function. When used for long-range extrapolation, predictions are particularly sensitive to the choice of kernel parameters. It…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-05 Phillip A. Jang , Andrew E. Loeb , Matthew B. Davidow , Andrew Gordon Wilson