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We derive a nonparametric higher-order asymptotic expansion for small-time changes of conditional characteristic functions of It\^o semimartingale increments. The asymptotics setup is of joint type: both the length of the time interval of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-12 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

We derive a higher-order asymptotic expansion of the conditional characteristic function of the increment of an It\^o semimartingale over a shrinking time interval. The spot characteristics of the It\^o semimartingale are allowed to have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

This paper is concerned with asymptotic behavior of a variety of functionals of increments of continuous semimartingales. Sampling times are assumed to follow a rather general discretization scheme. If an underlying semimartingale is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-04 Michael Levine , Xiaoguang Wang , Jian Frank Zou

We present a rigorous study of the short maturity asymptotics for Asian options with continuous-time averaging, under the assumption that the underlying asset follows a local volatility model. The asymptotics for out-of-the-money,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-16 Dan Pirjol , Lingjiong Zhu

We consider the class of self-similar Gaussian stochastic volatility models, and compute the small-time (near-maturity) asymptotics for the corresponding asset price density, the call and put pricing functions, and the implied volatilities.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-16 Archil Gulisashvili , Frederi Viens , Xin Zhang

The estimation of local characteristics of Ito semimartingales has received a great deal of attention in both academia and industry over the past decades. In various papers limit theorems were derived for functionals of increments and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-04 Moritz Duembgen , Mark Podolskij

Most of the existing methods for pricing Asian options are less efficient in the limit of small maturities and small volatilities. In this paper, we use the large deviations theory for the analysis of short-maturity Asian options. We…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-17 Humayra Shoshi , Indranil SenGupta

We derive the short-maturity asymptotics for prices of options on realized variance in local-stochastic volatility models. We consider separately the short-maturity asymptotics for out-of-the-money and in-the-money options cases. The…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-19 Dan Pirjol , Xiaoyu Wang , Lingjiong Zhu

This study investigates the short-term asymptotic behavior of the implied volatility surface (IVS), with a particular focus on the at-the-money (ATM) skew and curvature, which are key determinants of the IVS shape and whose are widely…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-24 Liexin Cheng , Xue Cheng

We study the leading term in the small-time asymptotics of at-the-money call option prices when the stock price process $S$ follows a general martingale. This is equivalent to studying the first centered absolute moment of $S$. We show that…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-10 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Marcel Nutz

We derive the short-maturity asymptotics for European and VIX option prices in local-stochastic volatility models where the volatility follows a continuous-path Markov process. Both out-of-the-money (OTM) and at-the-money (ATM) asymptotics…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-25 Dan Pirjol , Xiaoyu Wang , Lingjiong Zhu

We study the dynamics of the normal implied volatility in a local volatility model, using a small-time expansion in powers of maturity T. At leading order in this expansion, the asymptotics of the normal implied volatility is similar, up to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Viorel Costeanu , Dan Pirjol

This paper focuses on the task of detecting local episodes involving violation of the standard It\^o semimartingale assumption for financial asset prices in real time that might induce arbitrage opportunities. Our proposed detectors,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-21 Torben G. Andersen , Viktor Todorov , Bo Zhou

We derive the short-maturity asymptotics for option prices in the local volatility model in a new short-maturity limit $T\to 0$ at fixed $\rho = (r-q) T$, where $r$ is the interest rate and $q$ is the dividend yield. In cases of practical…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-23 Dan Pirjol , Lingjiong Zhu

The implied volatility skew has received relatively little attention in the literature on short-term asymptotics for financial models with jumps, despite its importance in model selection and calibration. We rectify this by providing…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-15 José E. Figueroa-López , Sveinn Ólafsson

We study the asymptotic behavior of the marginal expected shortfall when the two random variables are asymptotic independent but positive associated, which is modeled by the so-called tail dependent coefficient. We construct an estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-14 Juan-Juan Cai , Eni Musta

Using recent results from the theory of integer points close to smooth curves, we give an asymptotic formula for the distribution of values of a class of integer-valued prime-independent multiplicative functions.

Number Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-12 Olivier Bordellès

In this paper we examine the asymptotic theory for U-statistics and V-statistics of discontinuous Ito semimartingales that are observed at high frequency. For different types of kernel functions we show laws of large numbers and associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-25 Mark Podolskij , Christian Schmidt , Mathias Vetter

We consider the moderate deviations behaviors for two (co-) volatility estima-tors: generalised bipower variation, Hayashi-Yoshida estimator. The results are obtained by using a new result about the moderate deviations principle for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Hacène Djellout , Arnaud Guillin , Hui Jiang , Yacouba Samoura

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of sums of functions of the increments of a given semimartingale, taken along a regular grid whose mesh goes to 0. The function of the $i$th increment may depend on the current time, and also…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Assane Diop
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