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In many multiobject tracking applications, including radar and sonar tracking, after prefiltering the received signal, measurement data is typically structured in cells. The cells, e.g., represent different range and bearing values.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-04 Thomas Kropfreiter , Jason L. Williams , Florian Meyer

The natural habitat of most Bayesian methods is data represented by exchangeable sequences of observations, for which de Finetti's theorem provides the theoretical foundation. Dirichlet process clustering, Gaussian process regression, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-16 Peter Orbanz , Daniel M. Roy

Bayesian probability theory is used as a framework to develop a formalism for the scientific method based on principles of inductive reasoning. The formalism allows for precise definitions of the key concepts in theories of physics and also…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-09-12 Roberto C. Alamino

Identification of taxa can significantly be assisted by statistical classification based on trait measurements in two major ways; either individually or by phylogenetic (clustering) methods. In this paper we present a general Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-17 Måns Karlsson , Ola Hössjer

Bayesian Filtering for plan and activity recognition is challenging for scenarios that contain many observation equivalent entities (i.e. entities that produce the same observations). This is due to the combinatorial explosion in the number…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-08-15 Max Schröder , Stefan Lüdtke , Sebastian Bader , Frank Krüger , Thomas Kirste

This study investigates Bayesian ensemble learning for improving the quality of decision-making. We consider a decision-maker who selects an action from a set of candidates based on a policy trained using observations. In our setting, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-14 Masahiro Kato

A general challenge in statistics is prediction in the presence of multiple candidate models or learning algorithms. Model aggregation tries to combine all predictive distributions from individual models, which is more stable and flexible…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Yuling Yao

Data sets are growing in complexity thanks to the increasing facilities we have nowadays to both generate and store data. This poses many challenges to machine learning that are leading to the proposal of new methods and paradigms, in order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Irene Córdoba , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga

The particle filter is a popular Bayesian filtering algorithm for use in cases where the state-space model is nonlinear and/or the random terms (initial state or noises) are non-Gaussian distributed. We study the behavior of the error in…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-29 Ziyu Liu , Shihong Wei , James C. Spall

Bayesian optimization is a sample-efficient approach to global optimization that relies on theoretically motivated value heuristics (acquisition functions) to guide its search process. Fully maximizing acquisition functions produces the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-04 James T. Wilson , Frank Hutter , Marc Peter Deisenroth

We consider Bayesian inference for large scale inverse problems, where computational challenges arise from the need for repeated evaluations of an expensive forward model. This renders most Markov chain Monte Carlo approaches infeasible,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-12 Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Jiaoyang Huang , Sebastian Reich , Andrew M. Stuart

A new Bayesian state and parameter learning algorithm for multiple target tracking (MTT) models with image observations is proposed. Specifically, a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is designed to sample from the posterior distribution of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-18 Lan Jiang , Sumeetpal S. Singh

Factor analysis is a flexible technique for assessment of multivariate dependence and codependence. Besides being an exploratory tool used to reduce the dimensionality of multivariate data, it allows estimation of common factors that often…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-19 Kelly C. M. Gonçalves , Afonso C. B. Silva

We propose a general formalism of iterated random functions with semigroup property, under which exact and approximate Bayesian posterior updates can be viewed as specific instances. A convergence theory for iterated random functions is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-05 Arash A. Amini , XuanLong Nguyen

We present a Bayesian machine learning architecture that combines a physically motivated parametrization and an analytic error model for the likelihood with a deep generative model providing a powerful data-driven prior for complex signals.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-10 Francois Lanusse , Peter Melchior , Fred Moolekamp

In this article, an overview of Bayesian methods for sequential simulation from posterior distributions of nonlinear and non-Gaussian dynamic systems is presented. The focus is mainly laid on sequential Monte Carlo methods, which are based…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-28 Konstantinos E. Tatsis , Vasilis K. Dertimanis , Eleni N. Chatzi

Bayesian learning is built on an assumption that the model space contains a true reflection of the data generating mechanism. This assumption is problematic, particularly in complex data environments. Here we present a Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-05 S. P. Lyddon , S. G. Walker , C. C. Holmes

The Bayesian learning rule is a natural-gradient variational inference method, which not only contains many existing learning algorithms as special cases but also enables the design of new algorithms. Unfortunately, when variational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-27 Wu Lin , Mark Schmidt , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

To minimize the average of a set of log-convex functions, the stochastic Newton method iteratively updates its estimate using subsampled versions of the full objective's gradient and Hessian. We contextualize this optimization problem as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-22 Michael C. Burkhart

This report introduces general ideas and some basic methods of the Bayesian probability theory applied to physics measurements. Our aim is to make the reader familiar, through examples rather than rigorous formalism, with concepts such as:…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 G. D'Agostini
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