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Related papers: Long runs under a conditional limit distribution

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When performing Bayesian inference, we frequently need to work with conditional probability densities. For example, the posterior function is the conditional density of the parameters given the data. Some might worry that conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Alex Yan , Cathal Mills , Augustin Marignier , Younjung Kim , Ben Lambert

Recent progress on the understanding of the Random Conductance Model is reviewed. A particular emphasis is on homogenization results such as functional central limit theorems, local limit theorems and heat kernel estimates for almost every…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Sebastian Andres

The distribution of recurrence times or return intervals between extreme events is important to characterize and understand the behavior of physical systems and phenomena in many disciplines. It is well known that many physical processes in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-29 M. S. Santhanam , Holger Kantz

It is known that a random walk on $\Z^d$ among i.i.d. uniformly elliptic random bond conductances verifies a central limit theorem. It is also known that approximations of the covariance matrix can be obtained by considering periodic…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Daniel Boivin

We introduce the extremal range, a local statistic for studying the spatial extent of extreme events in random fields on $\mathbb{R}^d$. Conditioned on exceedance of a high threshold at a location $s$, the extremal range at $s$ is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-06 Ryan Cotsakis , Elena Di Bernardino , Thomas Opitz

We study a random walk in random environment on the non-negative integers. The random environment is not homogeneous in law, but is a mixture of two kinds of site, one in asymptotically vanishing proportion. The two kinds of site are (i)…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-28 Ostap Hryniv , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

High-dimensional limit theorems have been shown useful to derive tuning rules for finding the optimal scaling in random-walk Metropolis algorithms. The assumptions under which weak convergence results are proved are however restrictive: the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-16 Sebastian M Schmon , Philippe Gagnon

One-dimensional run-and-tumble processes may converge towards some localized non-equilibrium steady state when the two velocities and/or the two switching rates are space-dependent. A long dynamical trajectory can be then analyzed via the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-23 Cecile Monthus

This paper extends classical probabilistic results to the broader class of demimartingales and demisubmartingales. We establish variants of Doob's-type optional sampling theorem under minimal structural conditions on stopping times, relying…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Milto Hadjikyriakou , B. L. S Prakasa Rao

A deterministic walk in a random environment can be understood as a general random process with finite-range dependence that starts repeating a loop once it reaches a site it has visited before. Such process lacks the Markov property. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-15 Ivan Matic

Consider a random walk among random conductances on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ with $d\geq 2$. We study the quenched limit law under the usual diffusive scaling of the random walk conditioned to have its first coordinate positive. We show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Christophe Gallesco , Nina Gantert , Serguei Popov , Marina Vachkovskaia

We investigate the diffusion limited aggregation of particles executing persistent random walks. The scaling properties of both random walks and large aggregates are presented. The aggregates exhibit a crossover between ballistic and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-07-28 Isadora R. Nogueira , Sidiney G. Alves , Silvio C. Ferreira

We consider a type of nonnormal approximation of infinitely divisible distributions that incorporates compound Poisson, Gamma, and normal distributions. The approximation relies on achieving higher orders of cumulant matching, to obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-24 Zhiyi Chi

The primary purpose of this article is to prove a tightness of skew random walks. The tightness result implies, in particular, that the skew Brownian motion can be constructed as the scaling limit of such random walks. Our proof of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-28 Youngsoo Seol

We consider a random interval splitting process, in which the splitting rule depends on the empirical distribution of interval lengths. We show that this empirical distribution converges to a limit almost surely as the number of intervals…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-20 Pascal Maillard , Elliot Paquette

We introduce an exactly-solvable model of random walk in random environment that we call the Beta RWRE. This is a random walk in $\mathbb{Z}$ which performs nearest neighbour jumps with transition probabilities drawn according to the Beta…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-19 Guillaume Barraquand , Ivan Corwin

In Robbins' problem of minimizing the expected rank, a finite sequence of $n$ independent, identically distributed random variables are observed sequentially and the objective is to stop at such a time that the expected rank of the selected…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Pieter C. Allaart , Andrew Allen

We provide a quantitative analysis of the phenomenon of crowding of near-extreme events by computing exactly the density of states (DOS) near the maximum of a set of independent and identically distributed random variables. We show that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Sanjib Sabhapandit , Satya N. Majumdar

In this article, we discuss the basic ideas of a general procedure to adapt the Stein-Chen method to bound the distance between conditional distributions. From an integration-by-parts formula (IBPF), we derive a Stein operator whose…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-25 Alberto Chiarini , Alessandra Cipriani , Giovanni Conforti

We derive a functional central limit theorem for the excursion of a random walk conditioned on sweeping a prescribed geometric area. We assume that the increments of the random walk are integer-valued, centered, with a third moment equal to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Philippe Carmona , Nicolas Pétrélis
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