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Over the last 30 years, extensive work has been devoted to developing central limit theory for partial sums of subordinated long memory linear time series. A much less studied problem, motivated by questions that are ubiquitous in extreme…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Ioan Scheffel , Marco Oesting , Gilles Stupfler

Multivariate (or vector-valued) processes are important for modeling multiple variables. The fractal indices of the components of the underlying multivariate process play a key role in characterizing the dependence structures and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Yuzhen Zhou , Yimin Xiao

We introduce new quantile estimators with adaptive importance sampling. The adaptive estimators are based on weighted samples that are neither independent nor identically distributed. Using a new law of iterated logarithm for martingales,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-01 Daniel Egloff , Markus Leippold

In this paper, we consider the normalized least squares estimator of the parameter in a mildly stationary first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) model with dependent errors which are modeled as a mildly stationary AR(1) process. By martingale…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-08 Hui Jiang , Guangyu Yang , Mingming Yu

We study the central limit theorem in the non-normal domain of attraction to symmetric $\alpha$-stable laws for $0<\alpha\leq2$. We show that for i.i.d. random variables $X_i$, the convergence rate in $L^\infty$ of both the densities and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Christoph Börgers , Claude Greengard

The aim of this paper is to deepen the analysis of the asymptotic behavior of the so-called minimal random walk (MRW) using a new martingale approach. The MRW is a discrete-time random walk with infinite memory that has three regimes…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Bernard Bercu , Víctor Hugo Vázquez Guevara

We study the properties of variational Bayes approximations for exponential family models with missing values. It is shown that the iterative algorithm for obtaining the variational Bayesian estimator converges locally to the true value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-19 Bo Wang , D. Titterington

This article presents a weak law of large numbers and a central limit theorem for the scaled realised covariation of a bivariate Brownian semistationary process. The novelty of our results lies in the fact that we derive the suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-27 Andrea Granelli , Almut E. D. Veraart

We study probabilities of various rare events for the limiting point process that appears at the random matrix hard edge. We also show a transition from hard edge to bulk behavior. Asymptotic events studied include a central limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Diane Holcomb

Association of random variables and Demimartingales are recent fields for handling asymptotic behaviors of sums of dependent random variables. We apply their techniques to establish the asymptotic law of a demimartingale We next apply the…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2016-11-24 Adja Mbarka Fall , Gane Samb Lo , Cheikhna Hamallah Ndiaye

The Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm is a very powerful and versatile iterative method to estimate the probability of rare events, based on an interacting particle systems. In an other article, in a so-called idealized setting, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Ludovic Goudenège , Loic Tudela

In Random Matrix Theory the local correlations of the Laguerre and Jacobi Unitary Ensemble in the hard edge scaling limit can be described in terms of the Bessel kernel (containing a parameter $\alpha$). In particular, the so-called hard…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2010-01-15 Torsten Ehrhardt

A popular Bayesian nonparametric approach to survival analysis consists in modeling hazard rates as kernel mixtures driven by a completely random measure. In this paper we derive asymptotic results for linear and quadratic functionals of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Giovanni Peccati , Igor Prünster

A parameter estimation problem is considered, in which dispersed sensors transmit to the statistician partial information regarding their observations. The sensors observe the paths of continuous semimartingales, whose drifts are linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-01 Georgios Fellouris

We propose to address the common problem of linear estimation in linear statistical models by using a model selection approach via penalization. Depending then on the framework in which the linear statistical model is considered namely the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-11 Ikhlef Bechar

Regularly varying stochastic processes are able to model extremal dependence between process values at locations in random fields. We investigate the empirical extremogram as an estimator of dependence in the extremes. We provide conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

This paper investigates system identification problems with Gaussian inputs and quantized observations under fixed thresholds. By reinterpreting the nonlinear effects induced by quantization as the product of the unknown parameter and an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Xingrui Liu , Ying Wang , Yanlong Zhao

We study the quadratic prediction error method -- i.e., nonlinear least squares -- for a class of time-varying parametric predictor models satisfying a certain identifiability condition. While this method is known to asymptotically achieve…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-17 Charis Stamouli , Ingvar Ziemann , George J. Pappas

We study right limits of the Bergman Shift matrix. Our results have applications to ratio asymptotics, weak asymptotic measures, relative asymptotics, and zero counting measures of the orthogonal and orthonormal polynomials.

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2021-08-11 Brian Simanek

This paper provides a detailed description for the asymptotics of exponential functionals of random walks with light/heavy tails. We give the convergence rate based on the key observation that the asymptotics depends on the sample paths…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Wei Xu