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We study two-layer belief networks of binary random variables in which the conditional probabilities Pr[childlparents] depend monotonically on weighted sums of the parents. In large networks where exact probabilistic inference is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Michael Kearns , Lawrence Saul

Large deviation functions of configurations exhibit very different behaviors in and out of thermal equilibrium. In particular, they exhibit singularities in a broad range of non-equilibrium models, which are absent in equilibrium. These…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-30 Yongjoo Baek , Yariv Kafri

The transitions between two states of a bistable system are investigated experimentally and analyzed in the framework of rare-event statistics. Considering a disk pendulum swept by a flow in a wind tunnel, bistability between two…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-03-17 Ariane Gayout , Mickaël Bourgoin , Nicolas Plihon

In this paper, we develop a computational approach for computing most likely trajectories describing rare events that correspond to the emergence of non-dominant genotypes. This work is based on the large deviations approach for discrete…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-29 Yingxue Su , Brett Geiger , Ilya Timofeyev , Andreas Mang , Robert Azencott

Systems with conserved currents driven by reservoirs at the boundaries offer an opportunity for a general analytic study that is unparalleled in more general out of equilibrium systems. The evolution of coarse-grained variables is governed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-11-14 Julien Tailleur , Jorge Kurchan , Vivien Lecomte

We consider the weakly asymmetric exclusion process on a bounded interval with particle reservoirs at the endpoints. The hydrodynamic limit for the empirical density, obtained in the diffusive scaling, is given by the viscous Burgers…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-14 Lorenzo Bertini , Claudio Landim , Mustapha Mourragui

Focusing on stochastic systems arising in mean-field models, the systems under consideration belong to the class of switching diffusions, in which continuous dynamics and discrete events coexist and interact. The discrete events are modeled…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-18 Son L. Nguyen , George Yin , Tuan A. Hoang

We propose a new method to define anomaly scores and apply this to particle physics collider events. Anomalies can be either rare, meaning that these events are a minority in the normal dataset, or different, meaning they have values that…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-03-09 Sascha Caron , Luc Hendriks , Rob Verheyen

Pattern formation often occurs in confined systems, yet how boundaries shape patterning dynamics is unclear. We develop techniques to analyze confinement effects in nonlocal advection-diffusion equations, which generically capture the…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2025-09-11 Jan Rombouts , Michael L Zhao , Alexander Aulehla , Anna Erzberger

Extreme events occur across the natural, engineering, and socioeconomic sciences, where rare but high-impact episodes can lead to disproportionate consequences that pose major challenges for prediction and risk management. Existing studies…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Charlotte Moser , Nan Chen , Marios Andreou

We consider the inverse problem of determining different type of information about a diffusion process, described by ordinary or fractional diffusion equations stated on a bounded domain, like the density of the medium or the velocity field…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-07-05 Yavar Kian , Zhiyuan Li , Yikan Liu , Masahiro Yamamoto

We analyze the probability distribution for entropy production rates of trajectories evolving on a class of out-of-equilibrium kinetic networks. These networks can serve as simple models for driven dynamical systems, which are of particular…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-08-05 Suriyanarayanan Vaikuntanathan , Todd R. Gingrich , Phillip L. Geissler

Pattern-forming nonequilibrium systems are ubiquitous in nature, from driven quantum matter and biological life forms to atmospheric and interstellar gases. Identifying universal aspects of their far-from-equilibrium dynamics and statistics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-03 Vili Heinonen , Abel J. Abraham , Jonasz Słomka , Keaton J. Burns , Pedro J. Sáenz , Jörn Dunkel

Complex systems are characterized by a huge number of degrees of freedom often interacting in a non-linear manner. In many cases macroscopic states, however, can be characterized by a small number of order parameters that obey stochastic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-02-20 David Kleinhans

We propose a framework for studying predictability of extreme events in complex systems. Major conceptual elements -- hierarchical structure, spatial dynamics, and external driving -- are combined in a classical branching diffusion with…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-03-02 Andrei Gabrielov , Vladimir Keilis-Borok , Sayaka Olsen , Ilya Zaliapin

A probabilistic framework is proposed for the optimization of efficient switched control strategies for physical systems dominated by stochastic excitation. In this framework, the equation for the state trajectory is replaced with an…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-10 Gianluca Meneghello , Paolo Luchini , Thomas Bewley

We investigate large deviations for the empirical measure of the position and momentum of a particle traveling in a box with hot walls. The particle travels with uniform speed from left to right, until it hits the right boundary. Then it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-16 Raphael Lefevere , Mauro Mariani , Lorenzo Zambotti

Standard statistical mechanical or condensed matter arguments tell us that bulk properties of a physical system do not depend too much on boundary conditions. Random tilings of large regions provide counterexamples to such intuition, as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-03-17 Jean-Marie Stéphan

In this article, we consider a one-dimensional symmetric exclusion process in weak contact with reservoirs at the boundary. In the diffusive time-scaling the empirical measure evolves according to the heat equation with Robin boundary…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-29 T. Franco , P. Gonçalves , C. Landim , A. Neumann

A particle system with a single locally-conserved field (density) in a bounded interval with different densities maintained at the two endpoints of the interval is under study here. The particles interact in the bulk through a long range…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-02 Mustapha Mourragui , Enza Orlandi
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