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Conformal prediction is a framework for providing prediction intervals with distribution-free validity, guaranteeing predictive coverage for data drawn from any distribution. Its two main variants are full conformal prediction and split…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Aabesh Bhattacharyya , Boxuan Zhang , Rina Foygel Barber

A common assumption in financial engineering is that the market price for any derivative coincides with an objectively defined risk-neutral price - a plausible assumption only if traders collectively possess objective knowledge about the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-08 Kerry W. Fendick

The standard approach for compensating liquidity providers on many decentralized exchanges (DEX) for serving as counter-party to swaps is through charging a small percentage of fees. The expected payoff from the cash flow of this mode of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-07 Jin Hong Kuan

In complete markets, there are risky assets and a riskless asset. It is assumed that the riskless asset and the risky asset are traded continuously in time and that the market is frictionless. In this paper, we propose a new method for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-02 Abootaleb Shirvani , Stoyan V. Stoyanov , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

Quadratic hedging of option payoffs generates the variance optimal martingale measure. When an option features an exercise policy and its cash flows are hedged according to this approach, it may be tempting to optimize such a policy under…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-26 Nicola Secomandi

This paper considers an insurance company that faces two key constraints: a ratcheting dividend constraint and an irreversible reinsurance constraint. The company allocates part of its reserve to pay dividends to its shareholders while…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-22 Tim J. Boonen , Engel John C. Dela Vega

A variable annuity is an equity-linked financial product typically offered by insurance companies. The policyholder makes an upfront payment to the insurance company and, in return, the insurer is required to make a series of payments…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-25 Riley Jones , Adriana Ocejo

Hedge fund managers with the first-loss scheme charge a management fee, a performance fee and guarantee to cover a certain amount of investors' potential losses. We study how parties can choose a mutually preferred first-loss scheme in a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-31 Marcos Escobar-Anel , Yevhen Havrylenko , Rudi Zagst

Explicit robust hedging strategies for convex or concave payoffs under a continuous semimartingale model with uncertainty and small transaction costs are constructed. In an asymptotic sense, the upper and lower bounds of the cumulative…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-13 Masaaki Fukasawa

This work focuses on the dynamic hedging of financial derivatives, where a reinforcement learning algorithm is designed to minimize the variance of the delta hedging process. In contrast to previous research in this area, we apply…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Cong Zheng , Jiafa He , Can Yang

We consider the robust pricing and hedging of American options in a continuous time setting. We assume asset prices are continuous semimartingales, but we allow for general model uncertainty specification via adapted closed convex…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-08 Ivan Guo , Jan Obłój

We analyze the potential of reinsurance for reversing the current trend of decreasing capital guarantees in life insurance products. Providing an insurer with an opportunity to shift part of the financial risk to a reinsurer, we solve the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-21 Marcos Escobar-Anel , Yevhen Havrylenko , Michel Kschonnek , Rudi Zagst

Duality for robust hedging with proportional transaction costs of path dependent European options is obtained in a discrete time financial market with one risky asset. Investor's portfolio consists of a dynamically traded stock and a static…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-30 Yan Dolinsky , H. Mete Soner

It is well known that the minimal superhedging price of a contingent claim is too high for practical use. In a continuous-time model uncertainty framework, we consider a relaxed hedging criterion based on acceptable shortfall risks.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-07 Ludovic Tangpi

Liquidity withdrawal is a critical indicator of market fragility. In this project, I test a framework for forecasting liquidity withdrawal at the individual-stock level, ranging from less liquid stocks to highly liquid large-cap tickers,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-30 Haochuan , Wang

We examine the problem of dynamic reserving for risk in multiple currencies under a general coherent risk measure. The reserver requires to hedge risk in a time-consistent manner by trading in baskets of currencies. We show that reserving…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-18 Saul Jacka , Seb Armstrong , Abdel Berkaoui

A variance swap is a derivative with a path-dependent payoff which allows investors to take positions on the future variability of an asset. In the idealised setting of a continuously monitored variance swap written on an asset with…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-16 David Hobson , Martin Klimmek

Goal-based investing is concerned with reaching a monetary investment goal by a given finite deadline, which differs from mean-variance optimization in modern portfolio theory. In this article, we expand the close connection between…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-01 Thomas Krabichler , Marcus Wunsch

We develop an optimal currency hedging strategy for fund managers who own foreign assets to choose the hedge tenors that maximize their FX carry returns within a liquidity risk constraint. The strategy assumes that the offshore assets are…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-18 Rongju Zhang , Mark Aarons , Gregoire Loeper

This paper studies the stochastic modeling of market drawdown events and the fair valuation of insurance contracts based on drawdowns. We model the asset drawdown process as the current relative distance from the historical maximum of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-11 Hongzhong Zhang , Tim Leung , Olympia Hadjiliadis