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In multivariate extreme value analysis, the nature of the extremal dependence between variables should be considered when selecting appropriate statistical models. Interest often lies with determining which subsets of variables can take…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Emma S. Simpson , Jennifer L. Wadsworth , Jonathan A. Tawn

Statistical extreme value theory is concerned with the use of asymptotically motivated models to describe the extreme values of a process. A number of commonly used models are valid for observed data that exceed some high threshold.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-10 J. Lee , Y. Fan , S. A. Sisson

Consider a graph with a set of vertices and oriented edges connecting pairs of vertices. Each vertex is associated with a random variable and these are assumed to be independent. In this setting, suppose we wish to solve the following…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-18 Ery Arias-Castro , Emmanuel J. Candès , Hannes Helgason , Ofer Zeitouni

Extreme value statistics (EVS) concerns the study of the statistics of the maximum or the minimum of a set of random variables. This is an important problem for any time-series and has applications in climate, finance, sports, all the way…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-21 Satya N. Majumdar , Arnab Pal

We propose a family of models to study the evolution of ties in a network of interacting agents by reinforcement and penalization of their connections according to certain local laws of interaction. The family of stochastic dynamical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-01 Augusto Almeida Santos , Soummya Kar , Ramayya Krishnan , José M. F. Moura

This document describes concisely the ubiquitous class of exponential family distributions met in statistics. The first part recalls definitions and summarizes main properties and duality with Bregman divergences (all proofs are skipped).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-05-16 Frank Nielsen , Vincent Garcia

A geometric representation for multivariate extremes, based on the shapes of scaled sample clouds in light-tailed margins and their so-called limit sets, has recently been shown to connect several existing extremal dependence concepts.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Jennifer Wadsworth , Ryan Campbell

We compute exact asymptotic results for the probability of the occurrence of large deviations of the largest (smallest) eigenvalue of random matrices belonging to the Gaussian orthogonal, unitary and symplectic ensembles. In particular, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 David S. Dean , Satya N. Majumdar

This paper deals with the problem of quantifying the approximation a probability measure by means of an empirical (in a wide sense) random probability measure, depending on the first n terms of a sequence of random elements. In Section 2,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-23 Emanuele Dolera , Eugenio Regazzini

Let $S$ be a string of length $n$. In this paper we introduce the notion of \emph{string attractor}: a subset of the string's positions $[1,n]$ such that every distinct substring of $S$ has an occurrence crossing one of the attractor's…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-09-20 Nicola Prezza

Fix a graph $H$ and some $p\in (0,1)$, and let $X_H$ be the number of copies of $H$ in a random graph $G(n,p)$. Random variables of this form have been intensively studied since the foundational work of Erd\H{o}s and R\'{e}nyi. There has…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-11-19 Jacob Fox , Matthew Kwan , Lisa Sauermann

Let $M_n^{(k)}$ denote the $k$th largest maximum of a sample $(X_1,X_2,...,X_n)$ from parent $X$ with continuous distribution. Assume there exist normalizing constants $a_n>0$, $b_n\in \mathbb{R}$ and a nondegenerate distribution $G$ such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-06 Zuoxiang Peng , Jiaona Li , Saralees Nadarajah

We provide a systematic approach to deal with the following problem. Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be, possibly dependent, $[0,1]$-valued random variables. What is a sharp upper bound on the probability that their sum is significantly larger than…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-27 Christos Pelekis , Jan Ramon

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

Motivated by the increasing availability of data of functional nature, we develop a general probabilistic and statistical framework for extremes of regularly varying random elements $X$ in $L^2[0,1]$. We place ourselves in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-03 Stephan Clémençon , Nathan Huet , Anne Sabourin

We introduce a new formulation of structural causal models for extremes, called the extremal structural causal model (eSCM). Unlike conventional structural causal models, where randomness is governed by a probability distribution, eSCMs use…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Shuyang Bai , Fei Fang , Tiandong Wang

We analyze graphs attaining the extreme values of various spectral indices in the class of all simple connected graphs, as well as in the class of graphs which are not complete multipartite graphs. We also present results on density of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-13 Sona Pavlikova , Daniel Sevcovic , Jozef Siran

We establish some limit theorems for one-dimensional elephant random walk, including Berry-Esseen bounds, Cram\'{e}r moderate deviations and local limit theorems. These limit theorems can be regarded as refinements of the central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Xiequan Fan , Haijuan Hu , Xiaohui Ma

Convergence of Extremum Seeking (ES) algorithms has been established in the limit of small gains. Using averaging theory and contraction analysis, we propose a framework for computing explicit bounds on the departure of the ES scheme from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Gabriel Bousquet , Jean-Jacques Slotine

The asymptotic results that underlie applications of extreme random fields often assume that the variables are located on a regular discrete grid, identified with $\mathbb{Z}^2$, and that they satisfy stationarity and isotropy conditions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Helena Ferreira , Luísa Pereira , Ana Paula Martins