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We study voter models defined on large sets. Through a perspective emphasizing the martingale property of voter density processes, we prove that in general, their convergence to the Wright-Fisher diffusion only involves certain averages of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-25 Yu-Ting Chen , Jihyeok Choi , J. Theodore Cox

We consider the problem of simulating diffusion bridges, which are diffusion processes that are conditioned to initialize and terminate at two given states. The simulation of diffusion bridges has applications in diverse scientific fields…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-19 Jeremy Heng , Valentin De Bortoli , Arnaud Doucet , James Thornton

We construct a stationary Markov process corresponding to the evolution of masses and distances of subtrees along the spine from the root to a branch point in a conjectured stationary, continuum random tree-valued diffusion that was…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-05 Noah Forman , Soumik Pal , Douglas Rizzolo , Matthias Winkel

We study the evolution of a pathogen with two allelic types infecting a population of hosts, where within-host type frequencies evolve in discrete time. Our framework is built on a two-parameter family of transition kernels on [0,1], which…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-19 Fernando Cordero , Christian Jorquera , Héctor Olivero , Leonardo Videla

Understanding the interplay between recombination and resampling is a significant challenge in mathematical population genetics and of great practical relevance. Asymptotic results about the distribution of samples when recombination is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-13 Frederic Alberti

We give a closed form of the discrete-time evolution of a recombination transformation in population genetics. This decomposition allows to define a Markov chain in a natural way. We describe the geometric decay rate to the limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-24 Servet Martinez

A two-state master equation based decision making model has been shown to generate phase transitions, to be topologically complex and to manifest temporal complexity through an inverse power-law probability distribution function in the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-22 Bruce J. West , Malgorzata Turalska , Paolo Grigolini

We establish connections between the absorption probabilities of a class of birth-death processes with killing, and the stationary tail of a related class of birth-death processes with catastrophes. The major ingredients of the proofs are a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Ellen Baake , Fernando Cordero , Enrico Di Gaspero , Anton Wakolbinger

The Wright-Fisher model, originating in Wright (1931) is one of the canonical probabilistic models used in mathematical population genetics to study how genetic type frequencies evolve in time. In this paper we bound the rate of convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Anton Braverman , Han L. Gan

In this study we present an extension of the replicator equation with diffusion to multiplex graphs. We derive an exact formula for the diffusion term, which shows that, while diffusion is linear for numbers of agents, it is necessary to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-08-10 Rubén J. Requejo , Albert Díaz Guilera

Spherical distributions, in particular, the von Mises-Fisher distribution, are often used for problems using or modelling directional data. Since expectation and variance-covariance matrices follow from the first and second moments of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Alexandra Shyntar , Thomas Hillen

Under the effect of strong genetic drift, it is highly probable to observe gene fixation or gene loss in a population, shown by infinite peaks on a coherently constructed potential energy landscape. It is then important to ask what such…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-15 Song Xu , Shuyun Jiao , Pengyao Jiang , Ping Ao

Near the beginning of the century, Wright and Fisher devised an elegant, mathematically tractable model of gene reproduction and replacement that laid the foundation for contemporary population genetics. The Wright-Fisher model and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Todd L. Parsons

Considered a pair of random lifetimes whose dependence is described by a Time Transformed Exponential model, we provide analytical expressions for the distribution of their sum. These expressions are obtained by using a representation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Jorge Navarro , Franco Pellerey , Julio Mulero

One class of random walks with infinite memory, so called elephant random walks, are simple models describing anomalous diffusion. We present a surprising connection between these models and bond percolation on random recursive trees. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-23 Rüdiger Kürsten

We study three classes of continuous time Markov processes (inclusion process, exclusion process, independent walkers) and a family of interacting diffusions (Brownian energy process). For each model we define a boundary driven process…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-12 Gioia Carinci , Cristian Giardina' , Claudio Giberti , Frank Redig

A class of discrete distributions can be derived from stationary renewal processes. They have the useful property that the mean is a simple function of the model parameters. Thus regressions of the distribution mean on covariates can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-01 Rose Baker

We consider a fractional version of the classical nonlinear birth process of which the Yule--Furry model is a particular case. Fractionality is obtained by replacing the first order time derivative in the difference-differential equations…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Enzo Orsingher , Federico Polito

We consider two processes that have been used to study gene duplication, Watterson's [Genetics 105 (1983) 745--766] double recessive null model and Lynch and Force's [Genetics 154 (2000) 459--473] subfunctionalization model. Though the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-02 Rick Durrett , Lea Popovic

With a view to numerical applications we address the following question: given an ergodic Brownian diffusion with a unique invariant distribution, what are the invariant distributions of the duplicated system consisting of two trajectories?…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Vincent Lemaire , Gilles Pagès , Fabien Panloup