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Tests of equality of copulas between two samples are introduced and studied using the empirical Bernstein copula process. Three statistics are proposed and their asymptotic properties are established. Besides, a subsampling Bernstein…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Guanjie Lyu , Mohamed Belalia

To model high dimensional data, Gaussian methods are widely used since they remain tractable and yield parsimonious models by imposing strong assumptions on the data. Vine copulas are more flexible by combining arbitrary marginal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-18 Dominik Müller , Claudia Czado

We propose notions of calibration for probabilistic forecasts of general multivariate quantities. Probabilistic copula calibration is a natural analogue of probabilistic calibration in the univariate setting. It can be assessed empirically…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-30 Johanna F. Ziegel , Tilmann Gneiting

In this paper we present a novel approach for firm default probability estimation. The methodology is based on multivariate contingent claim analysis and pair copula constructions. For each considered firm, balance sheet data are used to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-24 Luciana Dalla Valle , Maria Elena De Giuli , Claudia Tarantola , Claudio Manelli

We discuss the so-called "simplifying assumption" of conditional copulas in a general framework. We introduce several tests of the latter assumption for non- and semiparametric copula models. Some related test procedures based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Alexis Derumigny , Jean-David Fermanian

We propose a novel Dirichlet-based P\'olya tree (D-P tree) prior on the copula and based on the D-P tree prior, a nonparametric Bayesian inference procedure. Through theoretical analysis and simulations, we are able to show that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-24 Shaoyang Ning , Neil Shephard

We propose pair copula constructed point-optimal sign tests in the context of linear and nonlinear predictive regressions with endogenous, persistent regressors, and disturbances exhibiting serial (nonlinear) dependence. The proposed…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-10 Kaveh Salehzadeh Nobari

Vine copulas offer flexible multivariate dependence modeling and have become widely used in machine learning. Yet, structure learning remains a key challenge. Early heuristics, such as Dissmann's greedy algorithm, are still considered the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Thibault Vatter , Thomas Nagler

Uncertain information on input parameters of reliability models is usually modeled by considering these parameters as random, and described by marginal distributions and a dependence structure of these variables. In numerous real-world…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-30 Nazih Benoumechiara , Bertrand Michel , Philippe Saint-Pierre , Nicolas Bousquet

The partial copula provides a method for describing the dependence between two random variables $X$ and $Y$ conditional on a third random vector $Z$ in terms of nonparametric residuals $U_1$ and $U_2$. This paper develops a nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-30 Lasse Petersen , Niels Richard Hansen

We consider statistical procedures for hypothesis testing of real valued functionals of matched pairs with missing values. In order to improve the accuracy of existing methods, we propose a novel multiplication combination procedure.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-29 Lubna Amro , Frank Konietschke , Markus Pauly

In this work, tests of symmetry for bivariate copulas are introduced and studied using empirical Bernstein copula process. Three statistics are proposed and their asymptotic properties are established. Besides, a multiplier bootstrap…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Guanjie Lyu , Mohamed Belalia

Use copula to model dependency of variable extends multivariate gaussian assumption. In this paper we first empirically studied copula regression model with continous response. Both simulation study and real data study are given. Secondly…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-05 Weijian Luo , Mai Wo

Extreme-value copulas arise in the asymptotic theory for componentwise maxima of independent random samples. An extreme-value copula is determined by its Pickands dependence function, which is a function on the unit simplex subject to…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-30 Gordon Gudendorf , Johan Segers

A class of parametric functions formed by alternating compositions of multivariate polynomials and rectification style monomial maps is studied (the layer-wise exponents are treated as fixed hyperparameters and are not optimized). For this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-13 Shravan Mohan

We propose a new method for estimating the extreme quantiles for a function of several dependent random variables. In contrast to the conventional approach based on extreme value theory, we do not impose the condition that the tail of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-25 Jinguo Gong , Yadong Li , Liang Peng , Qiwei Yao

We propose a class of flexible non-parametric tests for the presence of dependence between components of a random vector based on weighted Cram\'{e}r-von Mises functionals of the empirical copula process. The weights act as a tuning…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-29 Ivan Medovikov

We describe a framework for random pairwise comparisons matrices, inspired by selected constructions releted to the so called inconsistency reduction of pairwise comparisons (PC) matrices. In to build up structures on random pairwise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-04 Jean-Pierre Magnot

We investigate structure for pairs of randomizations that do not follow each other in a chain. These are unrandomized-inclusive, independent, coincident or double randomizations. This involves taking several structures that satisfy…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-12 C. J. Brien , R. A. Bailey

We introduce a new goodness-of-fit test for regular vine (R-vine) copula models, a flexible class of multivariate copulas based on a pair-copula construction (PCC). The test arises from the information matrix ratio. The corresponding test…

Computation · Statistics 2013-09-24 Ulf Schepsmeier
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