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Credal sets, i.e., closed convex sets of probability measures, provide a natural framework to represent aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty in machine learning. Yet how to quantify these two types of uncertainty for a given credal set,…

The management of uncertainty in expert systems has usually been left to ad hoc representations and rules of combinations lacking either a sound theory or clear semantics. The objective of this paper is to establish a theoretical basis for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Piero P. Bonissone , Keith S. Decker

There are two reasons why uncertainty may not be adequately described by Probability Theory. The first one is due to unique or nearly-unique events, that either never realized or occurred too seldom for frequencies to be reliably measured.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Florian Ellsaesser , Guido Fioretti , Gail E. James

We present a method for computing uncertainties in spectral models, i.e. level populations, line emissivities, and emission line ratios, based upon the propagation of uncertainties originating from atomic data. We provide analytic…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 Manuel A. Bautista , Vanessa Fivet , Pascal Quinet , Jay Dunn , Theodore R. Gull. Timothy R. Kallman , Claudio Mendoza

Although uncertainty quantification has been making its way into nuclear theory, these methods have yet to be explored in the context of reaction theory. For example, it is well known that different parameterizations of the optical…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2017-03-01 A. E. Lovell , F. M. Nunes , J. Sarich , S. M. Wild

Uncertainty relations give upper bounds on the accuracy by which the outcomes of two incompatible measurements can be predicted. While established uncertainty relations apply to cases where the predictions are based on purely classical data…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-10-18 Marco Tomamichel , Renato Renner

When a measurement of a physical quantity is reported, the total uncertainty is usually decomposed into statistical and systematic uncertainties. This decomposition is not only useful to understand the contributions to the total…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-03-18 Andrés Pinto , Zhibo Wu , Fabrice Balli , Nicolas Berger , Maarten Boonekamp , Émilien Chapon , Tatsuo Kawamoto , Bogdan Malaescu

The problem of establishing out-of-sample bounds for the values of an unkonwn ground-truth function is considered. Kernels and their associated Hilbert spaces are the main formalism employed herein along with an observational model where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Paul Scharnhorst , Emilio T. Maddalena , Yuning Jiang , Colin N. Jones

Despite the recent improvements in overall accuracy, deep learning systems still exhibit low levels of robustness. Detecting possible failures is critical for a successful clinical integration of these systems, where each data point…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-14 Alain Jungo , Mauricio Reyes

We determine the ultimate potential of quantum imaging for boosting the resolution of a far-field, diffraction-limited, linear imaging device within the paraxial approximation. First we show that the problem of estimating the separation…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-11-09 Cosmo Lupo , Stefano Pirandola

Interpreting experimental data in high school experiments can be a difficult task for students, especially when there is large variation in the data. At the same time, calculating the standard deviation poses a challenge for students. In…

Physics Education · Physics 2022-10-18 Karel Kok , Burkhard Priemer

This paper addresses the classical problem of determining the set of possible states of a linear discrete-time system subject to bounded disturbances from measurements corrupted by bounded noise. These so-called uncertainty sets evolve with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-10-12 Robin Hill , Yousong Luo , Uwe Schwerdtfeger

The best possible precision is one of the key figures in metrology, but this is established by the exact response of the detection apparatus, which is often unknown. There exist techniques for detector characterisation, that have been…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-03-23 Matteo Altorio , Marco G. Genoni , Fabrizia Somma , Marco Barbieri

In this paper, we extend the recent body of work on planning under uncertainty to include the fact that sensors may not provide any measurement owing to misdetection. This is caused either by adverse environmental conditions that prevent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2013-09-17 Shaunak D. Bopardikar , Brendan J. Englot , Alberto Speranzon

In the analysis and control of discrete-time linear time-invariant systems, the spectral radius of the system state matrix plays an essential role. Usually, it is assumed that system matrices are known, from which the spectral radius can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-24 Liang Xu , Baiwei Guo , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

High-fidelity spectroscopy presents challenges for both observations and in designing instruments. High-resolution and high-accuracy spectra are required for verifying hydrodynamic stellar atmospheres and for resolving intergalactic…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 Dainis Dravins

The Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) model is a benchmark model for pairwise comparisons between individuals. Despite recent progress on the first-order asymptotics of several popular procedures, the understanding of uncertainty quantification in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-11 Chao Gao , Yandi Shen , Anderson Y. Zhang

Uncertainty estimation has been widely studied in medical image segmentation as a tool to provide reliability, particularly in deep learning approaches. However, previous methods generally lack effective supervision in uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Yuzhu Li , An Sui , Fuping Wu , Xiahai Zhuang

Inverse problems play a key role in modern image/signal processing methods. However, since they are generally ill-conditioned or ill-posed due to lack of observations, their solutions may have significant intrinsic uncertainty. Analysing…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-09 Xiaohao Cai , Marcelo Pereyra , Jason D. McEwen

In this work, we use the Belief Function Theory which extends the probabilistic framework in order to provide uncertainty bounds to different categories of crowd density estimators. Our method allows us to compare the multi-scale…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-02-11 Jennifer Vandoni , Emanuel Aldea , Sylvie Le Hégarat-Mascle
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