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In the present paper we prove moderate deviations for a Curie-Weiss model with external magnetic field generated by a dynamical system, as introduced by Dombry and Guillotin-Plantard. The results extend those already obtained in the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-05 Anselm Reichenbachs

In this paper, we study a discrete-time analogue of a Hawkes process, modelled as a Poisson autoregressive process whose parameters depend on the past of the trajectory. The model is characterized to allow these parameters to take negative…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Manon Costa , Pascal Maillard , Anthony Muraro

We consider a new type of lookdown processes where spatial motion of each individual is influenced by an individual noise and a common noise, which could be regarded as an environment. Then a class of probability measure-valued processes on…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-05 Hui He

The asymptotic behaviour of empirical measures has plenty of studies. However, the research on conditional empirical measures is limited. Being the development of Wang \cite{eW1}, under the quadratic Wasserstein distance, we investigate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-29 Huaiqian Li , Bingyao Wu

We study the problem of finding the index of the minimum value of a vector from noisy observations. This problem is relevant in population/policy comparison, discrete maximum likelihood, and model selection. We develop an asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Tianyu Zhang , Hao Lee , Jing Lei

Dispersion is a fundamental concept in statistics, yet standard approaches - especially via stochastic orders - face limitations in the discrete setting. In particular, the classical dispersive order, well-established for continuous…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Andreas Eberl , Bernhard Klar , Alfonso Suárez-Llorens

We study noise-averaged observables for a system of exchange-coupled quantum spins (qubits), each subject to a stochastic drive, by establishing mappings onto stochastic models in the strong-noise limit. Averaging over noise yields…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-03-16 Daniel A. Rowlands , Austen Lamacraft

Random label noises (or observational noises) widely exist in practical machine learning settings. While previous studies primarily focus on the affects of label noises to the performance of learning, our work intends to investigate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Haoyi Xiong , Xuhong Li , Boyang Yu , Zhanxing Zhu , Dongrui Wu , Dejing Dou

Consider the one-dimensional stochastic Helmholtz equation where the source is assumed to be driven by the white noise. This paper concerns the stability analysis of the inverse random source problem which is to reconstruct the statistical…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Peijun Li , Ganghua Yuan

We consider the problem of analyzing the probabilistic performance of first-order methods when solving convex optimization problems drawn from an unknown distribution only accessible through samples. By combining performance estimation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Jisun Park , Vinit Ranjan , Bartolomeo Stellato

Estimating eigenvectors and low-dimensional subspaces is of central importance for numerous problems in statistics, computer science, and applied mathematics. This paper characterizes the behavior of perturbed eigenvectors for a range of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-14 Joshua Cape , Minh Tang , Carey E. Priebe

We establish a Cram\'er-type moderate deviation theorem for double-index permutation statistics (DIPS). To the best of our knowledge, previous results only provided Berry-Esseen type bounds for DIPS, which cannot yield moderate deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Songhao Liu , Qiman Shao , Jingyu Xu

In this paper we establish a moderate deviation principle of the hitting times for trajectories of sums of independent and identically distributed random variables. The main idea of proof is to convert the moderate deviations over a small…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-10 Yuheng He

In many real-world dynamical systems, obtaining precise models of system uncertainty remains a challenge. It may be difficult to estimate noise distributions or robustness bounds, especially when the distributions/robustness bounds vary…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-05 Heling Zhang , Lillian J. Ratliff , Roy Dong

This paper is concerned with general nonlinear regression models where the predictor variables are subject to Berkson-type measurement errors. The measurement errors are assumed to have a general parametric distribution, which is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-21 Liqun Wang

We study the weakly asymmetric simple exclusion process in one dimension. We prove sample path moderate deviation principles for the current and the tagged particle when the process starts from one of its stationary measures. We simplify…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Xiaofeng Xue , Linjie Zhao

For linear systems, many data-driven control methods rely on the behavioral framework, using historical data of the system to predict the future trajectories. However, measurement noise introduces errors in predictions. When the noise is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Baiwei Guo , Yuning Jiang , Colin N. Jones , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

In this paper, we prove large deviations principle for the Nadaraya-Watson estimator and for the semi-recursive kernel estimator of the regression in the multidimensional case. Under suitable conditions, we show that the rate function is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Abdelkader Mokkadem , Mariane Pelletier , Baba Thiam

This paper aims to decompose a large dimensional vector autoregessive (VAR) model into two components, the first one being generated by a small-scale VAR and the second one being a white noise sequence. Hence, a reduced number of common…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-22 Gianluca Cubadda , Alain Hecq

Estimation of a deterministic quantity observed in non-Gaussian additive noise is explored via order statistics approach. More specifically, we study the estimation problem when measurement noises either have positive supports or follow a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-15 Kamiar Radnosrati , Gustaf Hendeby , Fredrik Gustafsson