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We propose a framework for studying predictability of extreme events in complex systems. Major conceptual elements -- direct cascading or fragmentation, spatial dynamics, and external driving -- are combined in a classical age-dependent…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-08-14 Andrei Gabrielov , Vladimir Keilis-Borok , Ilya Zaliapin

Although aviation accidents are rare, safety incidents occur more frequently and require a careful analysis to detect and mitigate risks in a timely manner. Analyzing safety incidents using operational data and producing event-based…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-02-13 Vijay Manikandan Janakiraman

Explaining underlying causes or effects about events is a challenging but valuable task. We define a novel problem of generating explanations of a time series event by (1) searching cause and effect relationships of the time series with…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-04-26 Dongyeop Kang , Varun Gangal , Ang Lu , Zheng Chen , Eduard Hovy

In this paper, we develop a novel logic-based approach to detecting high-level temporally extended events from timestamped data and background knowledge. Our framework employs logical rules to capture existence and termination conditions…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Yvon K. Awuklu , Meghyn Bienvenu , Katsumi Inoue , Vianney Jouhet , Fleur Mougin

State-of-the-art automatic event detection struggles with interpretability and adaptability to evolving large-scale key events -- unlike episodic structures, which excel in these areas. Often overlooked, episodes represent cohesive clusters…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Priyanka Kargupta , Yunyi Zhang , Yizhu Jiao , Siru Ouyang , Jiawei Han

We present ProxiModel, a novel event mining framework for extracting high-quality structured event knowledge from large, redundant, and noisy news data sources. The proposed model differentiates itself from other approaches by modeling both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-18 Hyungsul Kim , Ahmed El-Kishky , Xiang Ren , Jiawei Han

The traditional way of sentence-level event detection involves two important subtasks: trigger identification and trigger classifications, where the identified event trigger words are used to classify event types from sentences. However,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Tongtao Ling , Lei Chen , Huangxu Sheng , Zicheng Cai , Hai-Lin Liu

Detection of emerging topics are now receiving renewed interest motivated by the rapid growth of social networks. Conventional term-frequency-based approaches may not be appropriate in this context, because the information exchanged are not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-10-14 Toshimitsu Takahashi , Ryota Tomioka , Kenji Yamanishi

In complex systems, events occur at irregular intervals that inherently encode the underlying dynamics of the system. Analyzing the temporal clustering of these events reveals critical insights into the non-random patterns and the temporal…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-03-20 Ambedkar Sanket Sukdeo , K. Shri Vignesh , Sachin S. Gunthe , T Narayan Rao , Amit Kumar Patra , R. I. Sujith

The global dynamics of event cascades are often governed by the local dynamics of peer influence. However, detecting social influence from observational data is challenging due to confounds like homophily and practical issues like missing…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-07-22 Sandeep Soni , Shawn Ling Ramirez , Jacob Eisenstein

Many scientific fields, from medicine to seismology, rely on analyzing sequences of events over time to understand complex systems. Traditionally, machine learning models must be built and trained from scratch for each new dataset, which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 David Berghaus , Patrick Seifner , Kostadin Cvejoski , Ramses J. Sanchez

Outliers in dynamic topic modeling are typically treated as noise, yet we show that some can serve as early signals of emerging topics. We introduce a temporal taxonomy of news-document trajectories that defines how documents relate to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Evangelia Zve , Gauvain Bourgne , Benjamin Icard , Jean-Gabriel Ganascia

In order to allow machine learning algorithms to extract knowledge from raw data, these data must first be cleaned, transformed, and put into machine-appropriate form. These often very time-consuming phase is referred to as preprocessing.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-19 David Cemernek

Narratives about economic events and policies are widely recognised as influential drivers of economic and business behaviour. Yet the statistical identification of narrative emergence remains underdeveloped. Narratives evolve gradually,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 Cynthia Medeiros , John Quigley , Matthew Revie

People segment complex, ever-changing and continuous experience into basic, stable and discrete spatio-temporal experience units, called events. Event segmentation literature investigates the mechanisms that allow people to extract events.…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-13 Hamit Basgol , Inci Ayhan , Emre Ugur

Anomaly detection systems need to consider a lot of information when scanning for anomalies. One example is the context of the process in which an anomaly might occur, because anomalies for one process might not be anomalies for a different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Sebastian Eresheim , Lukas Daniel Klausner , Patrick Kochberger

There is an overwhelming number of news articles published every day around the globe. Following the evolution of a news-story is a difficult task given that there is no such mechanism available to track back in time to study the diffusion…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-12-22 Roberto Camacho Barranco , Arnold P. Boedihardjo , M. Shahriar Hossain

People often use a web search engine to find information about events of interest, for example, sport competitions, political elections, festivals and entertainment news. In this paper, we study a problem of detecting event-related queries,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2016-07-05 Nattiya Kanhabua , Huamin Ren , Thomas B. Moeslund

Events of various kinds are mentioned and discussed in text documents, whether they are books, news articles, blogs or microblog feeds. The paper starts by giving an overview of how events are treated in linguistics and philosophy. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-01-18 Jugal Kalita

Time series analysis has achieved great success in cyber security such as intrusion detection and device identification. Learning similarities among multiple time series is a crucial problem since it serves as the foundation for downstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Shaoyu Dou , Kai Yang , Yang Jiao , Chengbo Qiu , Kui Ren
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