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Bayesian Model Calibration is used to revisit the problem of scaling factor calibration for semi-empirical correction of ab initio harmonic properties (e.g. vibrational frequencies and zero-point energies). A particular attention is devoted…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2016-11-15 Pascal Pernot , Fabien Cailliez

We present the results of a comprehensive study of optimization algorithms for the calibration of quantum devices. As part of our ongoing efforts to automate bring-up, tune-up, and system identification procedures, we investigate a broad…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-14 Kevin Pack , Shai Machnes , Frank K. Wilhelm

We propose a novel methodology for general multi-class classification in arbitrary feature spaces, which results in a potentially well-calibrated classifier. Calibrated classifiers are important in many applications because, in addition to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-22 Raoul Heese , Jochen Schmid , Michał Walczak , Michael Bortz

Global Climate Model (GCM) tuning (calibration) is a tedious and time-consuming process, with high-dimensional input and output fields. Experts typically tune by iteratively running climate simulations with hand-picked values of tuning…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-15 Drew Yarger , Benjamin Wagman , Lyndsay Shand , Kenny Chowdhary

Recent works have shown that deep neural networks can achieve super-human performance in a wide range of image classification tasks in the medical imaging domain. However, these works have primarily focused on classification accuracy,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Gongbo Liang , Yu Zhang , Xiaoqin Wang , Nathan Jacobs

A probabilistic model is said to be calibrated if its predicted probabilities match the corresponding empirical frequencies. Calibration is important for uncertainty quantification and decision making in safety-critical applications. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Anusri Pampari , Stefano Ermon

Finding the best configuration of algorithms' hyperparameters for a given optimization problem is an important task in evolutionary computation. We compare in this work the results of four different hyperparameter tuning approaches for a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Furong Ye , Carola Doerr , Hao Wang , Thomas Bäck

Image segmentation algorithms can be understood as a collection of pixel classifiers, for which the outcomes of nearby pixels are correlated. Classifier models can be calibrated using Inductive Conformal Prediction, but this requires…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Joren Brunekreef , Eric Marcus , Ray Sheombarsing , Jan-Jakob Sonke , Jonas Teuwen

Parameters in climate models are usually calibrated manually, exploiting only small subsets of the available data. This precludes both optimal calibration and quantification of uncertainties. Traditional Bayesian calibration methods that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-04 Oliver R. A. Dunbar , Alfredo Garbuno-Inigo , Tapio Schneider , Andrew M. Stuart

We calibrate a Natural History Model, which is a class of computer simulator used in the health industry, and here has been used to characterise bowel cancer incidence for the UK. The simulator tracks the development of bowel cancer in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Jeremy E. Oakley , Benjamin D. Youngman

Calibration is a pivotal aspect in predictive modeling, as it ensures that the predictions closely correspond with what we observe empirically. The contemporary calibration framework, however, is predominantly focused on prediction models…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Bavo De Cock Campo

In typical machine learning systems, an estimate of the probability of the prediction is used to assess the system's confidence in the prediction. This confidence measure is usually uncalibrated; i.e.\ the system's confidence in the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Shehzaad Dhuliawala , Leonard Adolphs , Rajarshi Das , Mrinmaya Sachan

Machine learning models deployed in real-world applications are often evaluated with precision-based metrics such as F1-score or AUC-PR (Area Under the Curve of Precision Recall). Heavily dependent on the class prior, such metrics make it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-29 Wissam Siblini , Jordan Fréry , Liyun He-Guelton , Frédéric Oblé , Yi-Qing Wang

Standard methods in computer model calibration treat the calibration parameters as constant throughout the domain of control inputs. In many applications, systematic variation may cause the best values for the calibration parameters to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-09 D. Andrew Brown , Sez Atamturktur

Segmentation of a colour image composed of different kinds of texture regions can be a hard problem, namely to compute for an exact texture fields and a decision of the optimum number of segmentation areas in an image when it contains…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Vitorino Ramos , Fernando Muge

Methods for split conformal prediction leverage calibration samples to transform any prediction rule into a set-prediction rule that complies with a target coverage probability. Existing methods provide remarkably strong performance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-15 Santiago Mazuelas

Calibration ensures that probabilistic forecasts meaningfully capture uncertainty by requiring that predicted probabilities align with empirical frequencies. However, many existing calibration methods are specialized for post-hoc…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Charles Marx , Sofian Zalouk , Stefano Ermon

Accurate calibration of probabilistic predictive models learned is critical for many practical prediction and decision-making tasks. There are two main categories of methods for building calibrated classifiers. One approach is to develop…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-16 Mahdi Pakdaman Naeini , Gregory F. Cooper , Milos Hauskrecht

To enhance Large Language Models' (LLMs) reliability, calibration is essential -- the model's assessed confidence scores should align with the actual likelihood of its responses being correct. However, current confidence elicitation methods…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Yukun Huang , Yixin Liu , Raghuveer Thirukovalluru , Arman Cohan , Bhuwan Dhingra

The training of molecular models of quantum mechanical properties based on statistical machine learning requires large datasets which exemplify the map from chemical structure to molecular property. Intelligent a priori selection of…