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We introduce a family of discrete context-specific models, which we call decomposable. We construct this family from the subclass of staged tree models known as CStree models. We give an algebraic and combinatorial characterization of all…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-07 Yulia Alexandr , Eliana Duarte , Julian Vill

In this paper, we study classes of graphs with three types of edges that capture the modified independence structure of a directed acyclic graph (DAG) after marginalisation over unobserved variables and conditioning on selection variables…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2013-12-18 Kayvan Sadeghi

This paper considers the problem of defining distributions over graphical structures. We propose an extension of the hyper Markov properties of Dawid and Lauritzen [Ann. Statist. 21 (1993) 1272-1317], which we term structural Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Simon Byrne , A. Philip Dawid

It is well-known that computing a Markov basis for a discrete loglinear model is very hard in general. Thus, we focus on connecting tables in a fiber via a subset of a Markov basis and in this paper, we consider connecting tables if we…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-24 Ruriko Yoshida , David Barnhill

The correspondence between weighted undirected graphs and reversible Markov chains via vertex random walks is simple and well known. Leveraging this correspondence and ideas from the theory of dynamical systems, we study the structural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Yang Xiang , Kevin McGoff , Andrew B. Nobel

In Gaussian graphical models, conditional independence and partial correlations are natural inferential targets for understanding direct relationships in multivariate data. No comparable framework exists for spatial processes, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Michele Peruzzi

Stabilized regression aims to identify a set of predictors whose conditional relationship with a response variable remains invariant across different environments. Existing graphical characterizations of the stable blanket are mainly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Hanqing Xiang

The marginal correlation between two variables is a measure of their linear dependence. The two original variables need not interact directly, because marginal correlation may arise from the mediation of other variables in the system. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Bautista Arenaza , Sebastián Risau-Gusman , Inés Samengo

In probability theory, the independence is a very fundamental concept, but with a little mystery. People can always easily manipulate it logistically but not geometrically, especially when it comes to the independence relationships among…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2021-07-22 Yan Zhang

Log-linear models are the popular workhorses of analyzing contingency tables. A log-linear parameterization of an interaction model can be more expressive than a direct parameterization based on probabilities, leading to a powerful way of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-06 Henrik Nyman , Johan Pensar , Timo Koski , Jukka Corander

The random connection model is a random graph whose vertices are given by the points of a Poisson process and whose edges are obtained by randomly connecting pairs of Poisson points in a position dependent but independent way. We study…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-06 Günter Last , Franz Nestmann , Matthias Schulte

We study the motion of discrete interfaces driven by ferromagnetic interactions in a two-dimensional periodic environment by coupling the minimizing movements approach by Almgren, Taylor and Wang and a discrete-to-continuous analysis. The…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-07-29 A. Braides , G. Scilla

Let X be a locally finite, connected graph without vertices of degree 1. Non-backtracking random walk moves at each step with equal probability to one of the "forward" neighbours of the actual state, i.e., it does not go back along the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-05 Ronald Ortner , Wolfgang Woess

Motivated by applications to perverse sheaves, we study combinatorics of two cell decompositions of the symmetric product of the complex line, refining the complex stratification by multiplicities. Contingency matrices, appearing in…

Geometric Topology · Mathematics 2020-07-08 Mikhail Kapranov , Vadim Schechtman

We study fixed-policy evaluation for finite Markov chains that may be reducible and periodic. Classical evaluation methods with gain and bias decomposition are not always diagnostic: the gain records only invariant Ces\`aro averages, while…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-11 Yang Xu , Vaneet Aggarwal

Consider a system of homogeneous interacting diffusive particles labeled by the nodes of a unimodular Galton-Watson (UGW) tree, where the state of each node evolves like a d-dimensional diffusion whose drift coefficient depends on (the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-19 Daniel Lacker , Kavita Ramanan , Ruoyu Wu

Directed acyclic graph (DAG) models, also called Bayesian networks, impose conditional independence constraints on a multivariate probability distribution, and are widely used in probabilistic reasoning, machine learning and causal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Robin J. Evans

Graphical models provide a framework for exploration of multivariate dependence patterns. The connection between graph and statistical model is made by identifying the vertices of the graph with the observed variables and translating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-08 Mathias Drton , Michael D. Perlman

Consider a system of interacting particles indexed by the nodes of a graph whose vertices are equipped with marks representing parameters of the model such as the environment or initial data. Each particle takes values in a countable state…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Ankan Ganguly , Kavita Ramanan

Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGMs) encode conditional dependencies among random variables using a graph -nodes for variables, links for dependencies- and factorize the joint distribution into lower-dimensional components. This makes PGMs…