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We consider a class of discrete time Markov chains with state space [0,1] and the following dynamics. At each time step, first the direction of the next transition is chosen at random with probability depending on the current location. Then…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-04 Shaun McKinlay , Konstantin Borovkov

In this paper we study the central limit theorem for additive functionals of stationary Markov chains with general state space by using a new idea involving conditioning with respect to both the past and future of the chain. Practically, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Magda Peligrad

We prove an upper bound on the total variation mixing time of a finite Markov chain in terms of the absolute spectral gap and the number of elements in the state space. Unlike results requiring reversibility or irreducibility, this bound is…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-31 Daniel Jerison

We address a conjecture introduced by Massouli\'e (2007), concerning the large deviations of the stationary measure of bandwidth-sharing networks functioning under the Proportional fair allocation. For Markovian networks, we prove that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-09-29 Matthieu Jonckheere , Sergio López

We provide explicit nonasymptotic estimates for the rate of convergence of empirical means of Markov chains, together with a Gaussian or exponential control on the deviations of empirical means. These estimates hold under a "positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-11 Aldéric Joulin , Yann Ollivier

An algorithm for estimating quasi-stationary distribution of finite state space Markov chains has been proven in a previous paper. Now this paper proves a similar algorithm that works for general state space Markov chains under very general…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-04 Jose H. Blanchet , Peter Glynn , Shuheng Zheng

Using terminologies of information geometry, we derive upper and lower bounds of the tail probability of the sample mean. Employing these bounds, we obtain upper and lower bounds of the minimum error probability of the 2nd kind of error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Shun Watanabe , Masahito Hayashi

Let $(X,\mathcal{A}, \mu)$ be a probability measure space and let $T_i,$ $1\leq i\leq H,$ be invertible bi measurable measure preserving transformations on this measure space. We give a sufficient condition for the product of $H$ bounded…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Idris Assani

The Hoeffding-type-inequalities are obtained for the distribution tails of canonical (degenerate) U- and V-statistics of an arbitrary order based on samples from a stationary sequence of observations satisfying $\rho$-mixing.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-02 I. S. Borisov , N. Volodko

Understanding and predicting how complex systems respond to external perturbations is a central challenge in nonequilibrium statistical physics. Here we consider continuous-time Markov networks, which we subject to perturbations along a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-25 Robin Bebon , Thomas Speck

A finite ergodic Markov chain exhibits cutoff if its distance to equilibrium remains close to its initial value over a certain number of iterations and then abruptly drops to near 0 on a much shorter time scale. Originally discovered in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Justin Salez

In the framework of statistical mechanics the properties of macroscopic systems are deduced starting from the laws of their microscopic dynamics. One of the key assumptions in this procedure is the ergodic property, namely the equivalence…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-09 Marco Baldovin , Raffaele Marino , Angelo Vulpiani

We study the limiting object of a sequence of Markov chains analogous to the limits of graphs, hypergraphs, and other objects which have been studied. Following a suggestion of Aldous, we assign to a sequence of finite Markov chains with…

Logic · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Henry Towsner

For Markov chains and Markov processes exhibiting a form of stochastic monotonicity (larger states shift up transition probabilities in terms of stochastic dominance), stability and ergodicity results can be obtained using order-theoretic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Takashi Kamihigashi , John Stachurski

We consider a Markov chain X_1, X_2, ..., X_n belonging to a class of iterated random functions, which is "one-step contracting" with respect to some distance d. If f is any separately Lipschitz function with respect to d, we use a well…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-18 Jérôme Dedecker , Xiequan Fan

Let $(E,\mathcal F,\mu)$ be a probability space, and let $P$ be a Markov operator on $L^2(\mu)$ with $1$ a simple eigenvalue such that $\mu P=\mu$ (i.e. $\mu$ is an invariant probability measure of $P$). Then $\hat P:=\ff 1 2 (P+P^*)$ has a…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2013-11-19 Feng-Yu wang

We prove explicit, i.e. non-asymptotic, error bounds for Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. The problem is to compute the expectation of a function f with respect to a measure {\pi}. Different convergence properties of Markov chains imply…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Daniel Rudolf

In some papers on infinite Markov chains in $\mathbb{Z}^d$, and notably in the work of R.A. Minlos and collaborators, one can prove the existence of a spectral gap for a suitable subspace of local functions. We consider functions of the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-08-03 Carlo Boldrighini , Antonella Marchesiello , Chiara Saffirio

This study explores a Gaussian quasi-likelihood approach for estimating parameters of diffusion processes with Markovian regime switching. Assuming the ergodicity under high-frequency sampling, we will show the asymptotic normality of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Yuzhong Cheng , Hiroki Masuda

The goal of this paper is to develop a general method to establish conditional ergodicity of infinite-dimensional Markov chains. Given a Markov chain in a product space, we aim to understand the ergodic properties of its conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Xin Thomson Tong , Ramon van Handel