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This paper provides a new path method that can be used to determine when an ergodic continuous-time Markov chain on $\mathbb Z^d$ converges exponentially fast to its stationary distribution in $L^2$. Specifically, we provide general…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-02 David F. Anderson , Daniele Cappelletti , Wai-Tong Louis Fan , Jinsu Kim

Using elementary methods, we prove that for a countable Markov chain $P$ of ergodic degree $d > 0$ the rate of convergence towards the stationary distribution is subgeometric of order $n^{-d}$, provided the initial distribution satisfies…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Stefano Isola

In this work, we consider an inhomogeneous (discrete time) Markov chain and are interested in its long time behavior. We provide sufficient conditions to ensure that some of its asymptotic properties can be related to the ones of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-09 Michel Benaïm , Florian Bouguet , Bertrand Cloez

A continuous-time random walk in the quarter plane with homogeneous transition rates is considered. Given a non-negative reward function on the state space, we are interested in the expected stationary performance. Since a direct derivation…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-31 Xinwei Bai , Jasper Goseling

It is well known that for a strictly stationary, reversible, Harris recurrent Markov chain, the $\rho$-mixing condition is equivalent to geometric ergodicity and to a "spectral gap" condition. In this note, it will be shown with an example…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-20 Richard C. Bradley

Bailey showed that the general pointwise forecasting for stationary and ergodic time series has a negative solution. However, it is known that for Markov chains the problem can be solved. Morvai showed that there is a stopping time sequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Gusztav Morvai , Benjamin Weiss

Necessary and sufficient conditions for a Markov chain to be ergodic are that the chain is irreducible and aperiodic. This result is manifest in the case of random walks on finite groups by a statement about the support of the driving…

Quantum Algebra · Mathematics 2021-10-22 J. P. McCarthy

We prove a version of McDiarmid's bounded differences inequality for Markov chains, with constants proportional to the mixing time of the chain. We also show variance bounds and Bernstein-type inequalities for empirical averages of Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-14 Daniel Paulin

Given an irreducible discrete-time Markov chain on a finite state space, we consider the largest expected hitting time $T(\alpha)$ of a set of stationary measure at least $\alpha$ for $\alpha\in(0,1)$. We obtain tight inequalities among the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-29 Simon Griffiths , Ross J. Kang , Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira , Viresh Patel

In a previous paper we determined one dimensional distributions of a stationary field with linear regressions and quadratic conditional variances under a linear constraint on the coefficients of the quadratic expression. In this paper we…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Wlodzimierz Bryc

We analyse the $\ell^2(\pi)$-convergence rate of irreducible and aperiodic Markov chains with $N$-band transition probability matrix $P$ and with invariant distribution $\pi$. This analysis is heavily based on: first the study of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-15 Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux

Nonlinear Markov chains with finite state space have been introduced in Kolokoltsov (2010). The characteristic property of these processes is that the transition probabilities do not only depend on the state, but also on the distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Berenice Anne Neumann

We show how to map the states of an ergodic Markov chain to Euclidean space so that the squared distance between states is the expected commuting time. We find a minimax characterization of commuting times, and from this we get monotonicity…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-27 Peter G. Doyle , Jean Steiner

We consider Markov chains on general state spaces in stationary random environment which are defined by a random mapping that is contractive up to a bounded perturbation. We prove their convergence to a limiting law, providing convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Attila Lovas , Miklós Rásonyi , Lionel Truquet

We consider a continuous time Markov chain on a countable state space. We prove a joint large deviation principle (LDP) of the empirical measure and current in the limit of large time interval. The proof is based on results on the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-02 L. Bertini , A. Faggionato , D. Gabrielli

This paper is interested in proving correlation inequalities of the FKG-type for various stochastic processes in continuous time. The pivotal tool which yields these correlation inequalities is an approximation with (possibly conditioned)…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-14 Alexandre Legrand

The paper considers a stochastic differential equation of Duffing type with Markov coefficients. The existence of unpredictable solutions is considered. The unpredictability is a property of bounded functions characterized by unbounded…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-03-31 Marat Akhmet , Madina Tleubergenova , Akylbek Zhamanshin

Let $(X, \cal B, \nu)$ be a probability space and let $\Gamma$ be a countable group of $\nu$-preserving invertible maps of $X$ into itself. To a probability measure $\mu$ on $\Gamma$ corresponds a random walk on $X$ with Markov operator $P$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-06-17 Jean-Pierre Conze , Yves Guivarc'h

New relations between ergodic rate, L_p convergence rates, and asymptotic behavior of tail probabilities for hitting times of a time homogeneous Markov process are established. For L_p convergence rates and related spectral and functional…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-01 Alexey M. Kulik

We address the problem of estimating the mixing time $t_{\mathsf{mix}}$ of an arbitrary ergodic finite-state Markov chain from a single trajectory of length $m$. The reversible case was addressed by Hsu et al. [2019], who left the general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich
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