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In this paper, we study convex risk measures with weak optimal transport penalties. In a first step, we show that these risk measures allow for an explicit representation via a nonlinear transform of the loss function. In a second step, we…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-12 Michael Kupper , Max Nendel , Alessandro Sgarabottolo

The issue of model risk in default modeling has been known since inception of the Academic literature in the field. However, a rigorous treatment requires a description of all the possible models, and a measure of the distance between a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-17 Roberto Fontana , Elisa Luciano , Patrizia Semeraro

In the present paper we study quantile risk measures and their domain. Our starting point is that, for a probability measure $ Q $ on the open unit interval and a wide class $ \mathcal{L}_Q $ of random variables, we define the quantile risk…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-24 Sebastian Fuchs , Ruben Schlotter , Klaus D. Schmidt

In real-world decision-making problems, for instance in the fields of finance, robotics or autonomous driving, keeping uncertainty under control is as important as maximizing expected returns. Risk aversion has been addressed in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Lorenzo Bisi , Luca Sabbioni , Edoardo Vittori , Matteo Papini , Marcello Restelli

We develop a statistical framework for risk estimation, inspired by the axiomatic theory of risk measures. Coherent risk estimators -- functionals of P\&L samples inheriting the economic properties of risk measures -- are defined and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-31 Martin Aichele , Igor Cialenco , Damian Jelito , Marcin Pitera

We propose a sigmoidal approximation for the value-at-risk (that we call SigVaR) and we use this approximation to tackle nonlinear programs (NLPs) with chance constraints. We prove that the approximation is conservative and that the level…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Yankai Cao , Victor M. Zavala

Risk measures for multivariate financial positions are studied in a utility-based framework. Under a certain incomplete preference relation, shortfall and divergence risk measures are defined as the optimal values of specific set…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-12 Çağın Ararat , Andreas H. Hamel , Birgit Rudloff

The purpose of this paper is to give a selective survey on recent progress in random metric theory and its applications to conditional risk measures. This paper includes eight sections. Section 1 is a longer introduction, which gives a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-18 Tiexin Guo

In this paper, we investigate the features and the performance of the Risk Parity (RP) portfolios using the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) as a risk measure. The RP model is a recent strategy for asset allocation that aims at equally sharing…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-19 Çağın Ararat , Francesco Cesarone , Mustafa Çelebi Pınar , Jacopo Maria Ricci

Systemic risk measures play a crucial role in analyzing individual losses conditional on extreme system-wide disasters. In this paper, we provide a unified asymptotic treatment for systemic risk measures. First, we classify them into two…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-26 Bingzhen Geng , Yang Liu , Yimiao Zhao

Motivated by optimal investment problems in mathematical finance, we consider a variational problem of Neyman-Pearson type for law-invariant robust utility functionals and convex risk measures. Explicit solutions are found for…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Alexander Schied

In this paper, an optimization problem with uncertain constraint coefficients is considered. Possibility theory is used to model the uncertainty. Namely, a joint possibility distribution in constraint coefficient realizations, called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-07 Romain Guillaume , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

Bounds on the risk play a crucial role in statistical learning theory. They usually involve as capacity measure of the model studied the VC dimension or one of its extensions. In classification, such "VC dimensions" exist for models taking…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-06-26 Yann Guermeur

Distributional reinforcement learning (RL) -- in which agents learn about all the possible long-term consequences of their actions, and not just the expected value -- is of great recent interest. One of the most important affordances of a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-15 Chris Gagne , Peter Dayan

In this paper we extend temporal difference policy evaluation algorithms to performance criteria that include the variance of the cumulative reward. Such criteria are useful for risk management, and are important in domains such as finance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-10-15 Aviv Tamar , Dotan Di Castro , Shie Mannor

Classical probability theory supports probability measures, assigning a fixed positive real value to each event, these measures are far from satisfactory in formulating real-life occurrences. The main innovation of this paper is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-09 Yehuda Izhakian , Zur Izhakian

Risk sensitivity has become a central theme in reinforcement learning (RL), where convex risk measures and robust formulations provide principled ways to model preferences beyond expected return. Recent extensions to multi-agent RL (MARL)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Runyu Zhang , Na Li , Asuman Ozdaglar , Jeff Shamma , Gioele Zardini

Uncertainty is prevalent in engineering design, data-driven problems, and decision making broadly. Due to inherent risk-averseness and ambiguity about assumptions, it is common to address uncertainty by formulating and solving conservative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Johannes O. Royset

The framework of this paper is that of risk measuring under uncertainty, which is when no reference probability measure is given. To every regular convex risk measure on ${\cal C}_b(\Omega)$, we associate a unique equivalence class of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Jocelyne Bion-Nadal , Magali Kervarec

Considerable literature has been devoted to developing statistical inferential results for risk measures, especially for those that are of the form of L-functionals. However, practical and theoretical considerations have highlighted quite a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-31 Abdelhakim Necir , Ričardas Zitikis