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Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms play an important role in statistical inference problems dealing with intractable probability distributions. Recently, many MCMC algorithms such as Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) and Riemannian…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-19 Cheng Zhang , Babak Shahbaba , Hongkai Zhao

High-throughput characterization often requires estimating parameters and model dimension from experimental data of limited quantity and quality. Such data may result in an ill-posed inverse problem, where multiple sets of parameters and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Abigail N. Poteshman , Jiwon Yun , Tim H. Taminiau , Giulia Galli

During the semiconductor manufacturing process, predicting the yield of the semiconductor is an important problem. Early detection of defective product production in the manufacturing process can save huge production cost. The data…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-03 Sewon Park , Kyeongwon Lee , Da-Eun Jeong , Heung-Kook Ko , Jaeyong Lee

Recently there have been exciting developments in Monte Carlo methods, with the development of new MCMC and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms which are based on continuous-time, rather than discrete-time, Markov processes. This has…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-29 Paul Fearnhead , Joris Bierkens , Murray Pollock , Gareth O Roberts

The Dirichlet process (DP) is one of the most popular Bayesian nonparametric models. An open problem with the DP is how to choose its infinite dimensional parameter (base measure) in case of lack of prior information. In this work we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-21 Alessio Benavoli , Francesca Mangili , Fabrizio Ruggeri , Marco Zaffalon

The Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling algorithm exploits Hamiltonian dynamics to construct efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), which has become increasingly popular in machine learning and statistics. Since HMC uses the gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Minghao Gu , Shiliang Sun

Communication costs, resulting from synchronization requirements during learning, can greatly slow down many parallel machine learning algorithms. In this paper, we present a parallel Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm in which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-03-24 Willie Neiswanger , Chong Wang , Eric Xing

Copula-based methods provide a flexible approach to build missing data imputation models of multivariate data of mixed types. However, the choice of copula function is an open question. We consider a Bayesian nonparametric approach by using…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-15 Jiali Wang , Anton Westveld , Bronwyn Loong , Alan Welsh

Bayesian nonparametric mixture models are common for modeling complex data. While these models are well-suited for density estimation, recent results proved posterior inconsistency of the number of clusters when the true number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-31 Louise Alamichel , Daria Bystrova , Julyan Arbel , Guillaume Kon Kam King

There is an increase in interest to model driving maneuver patterns via the automatic unsupervised clustering of naturalistic sequential kinematic driving data. The patterns learned are often used in transportation research areas such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-14 Matthew Aguirre , Wenbo Sun , Jionghua , Jin , Yang Chen

We propose a generic Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to speed up computations for datasets with many observations. A key feature of our approach is the use of the highly efficient difference estimator from the survey sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-03 Matias Quiroz , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn

We develop a new method to sample from posterior distributions in hierarchical models without using Markov chain Monte Carlo. This method, which is a variant of importance sampling ideas, is generally applicable to high-dimensional models…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-19 Michael Braun , Paul Damien

To conduct Bayesian inference with large data sets, it is often convenient or necessary to distribute the data across multiple machines. We consider a likelihood function expressed as a product of terms, each associated with a subset of the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-09 Lewis J. Rendell , Adam M. Johansen , Anthony Lee , Nick Whiteley

We describe a generalization of the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) which is able to encode prior information that state transitions are more likely between "nearby" states. This is accomplished by defining a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-24 Colin Reimer Dawson , Chaofan Huang , Clayton T. Morrison

Inference after model selection presents computational challenges when dealing with intractable conditional distributions. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a common method for sampling from these distributions, but its slow convergence…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-22 Sifan Liu

Dirichlet process mixture model (DPMM) is a popular Bayesian nonparametric model. In this paper, we apply this model to weighted data and then estimate the un-weighted distribution from the corresponding weighted distribution using the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-12 Soghra Bohlourihajjar , Soleiman Khazaei

Splitting schemes are numerical integrators for Hamiltonian problems that may advantageously replace the St\"ormer-Verlet method within Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) methodology. However, HMC performance is very sensitive to the step size…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-02 F. Diele , C. Marangi , C. Tamborrino , C. Tarantino

Multi-dimensional Hawkes process (MHP) is a class of self and mutually exciting point processes that find wide range of applications -- from prediction of earthquakes to modelling of order books in high frequency trading. This paper makes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-05 Sobin Joseph , Lekhapriya Dheeraj Kashyap , Shashi Jain

Monte Carlo methods -- such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) samplers -- provide asymptotically exact estimators of expectations under a target distribution. There is growing interest in…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-09 Adrien Corenflos , Matthew Sutton , Nicolas Chopin

In the recent years, the desire and need to understand sequential data has been increasing, with particular interest in sequential contexts such as patient monitoring, understanding daily activities, video surveillance, stock market and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-16 Ava Bargi , Richard Yi Da Xu , Massimo Piccardi