Related papers: On Stability of Hawkes Process
Persistent homology and persistent entropy have recently become useful tools for patter recognition. In this paper, we find requirements under which persistent entropy is stable to small perturbations in the input data and scale invariant.…
Stable distributions are a celebrated class of probability laws used in various fields. The $\alpha$-stable process, and its exponentially tempered counterpart, the Classical Tempered Stable (CTS) process, are also prominent examples of…
In this paper, we discuss integer-valued autoregressive time series (INAR), Hawkes point processes, and their interrelationship. Besides presenting structural analogies, we derive a convergence theorem. More specifically, we generalize the…
We prove the existence of an extremal function in the Hardy-Littlewood-Sobolev inequality for the energy associated to an stable operator. To this aim we obtain a concentration-compactness principle for stable processes in $\mathbb{R}^N$.
Modern data acquisition routinely produce massive amounts of event sequence data in various domains, such as social media, healthcare, and financial markets. These data often exhibit complicated short-term and long-term temporal…
Properties of strong mixing have been established for the stationary linear Hawkes process in the univariate case, and can serve as a basis for statistical applications. In this paper, we provide the technical arguments needed to extend the…
We introduce a point process regression model that is applicable to price models and limit order book models. Hawkes type autoregression in the intensity process is generalized to a stochastic regression to covariate processes. We establish…
Multivariate Hawkes processes (MHP) are a class of point processes in which events at different coordinates interact through mutual excitation. The weighted adjacency matrix of the MHP encodes the strength of the relations, and shares its…
This paper investigates Hawkes processes on the positive real line exhibiting both self-excitation and inhibition. Each point of this point process impacts its future intensity by the addition of a signed reproduction function. The case of…
We consider a stochastic spatial point process with births and deaths on $\mathbb{R}^d$, with the hard-core property that at any time the balls of radius half of any two points do not overlap. We give explicit construction of the process.…
Multivariate Hawkes process provides a powerful framework for modeling temporal dependencies and event-driven interactions in complex systems. While existing methods primarily focus on uncovering causal structures among observed…
This work contributes to the theory and applications of Hawkes processes. We introduce and examine a new class of Hawkes processes that we call generalized Hawkes processes, and their special subclass -- the generalized multivariate Hawkes…
We prove that for every locally stable and tempered pair potential $\phi$ with bounded range, there exists a unique infinite-volume Gibbs point process on $\mathbb{R}^d$ for every activity $\lambda < (e^{L} \hat{C}_{\phi})^{-1}$, where $L$…
We consider the problem of `discrete-time persistence', which deals with the zero-crossings of a continuous stochastic process, X(T), measured at discrete times, T = n(\Delta T). For a Gaussian Stationary Process the persistence (no…
Detecting rare events, those defined to give rise to high impact but have a low probability of occurring, is a challenge in a number of domains including meteorological, environmental, financial and economic. The use of machine learning to…
The self-exciting Hawkes process is widely used to model events which occur in bursts. However, many real world data sets contain missing events and/or noisily observed event times, which we refer to as data distortion. The presence of such…
Hawkes processes are a popular framework to model the occurrence of sequential events, i.e., occurrence dynamics, in several fields such as social diffusion. In real-world scenarios, the inter-arrival time among events is irregular.…
The superposition of temporal point processes has been studied for many years, although the usefulness of such models for practical applications has not be fully developed. We investigate superposed Hawkes process as an important class of…
In the present paper, we introduce so-called operator-stable-like processes. Roughly speaking, they behave locally like operator-stable processes, but they need not to be homogenous in space. Having shown existence for this class of…
Voltage instability is a major threat in power system operation. The growing presence of constant power loads significantly aggravates this issue, hence motivating the development of new analysis methods for both existence and stability of…