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Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a useful class of methods for Bayesian inference when the likelihood function is computationally intractable. In practice, the basic ABC algorithm may be inefficient in the presence of discrepancy…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-14 Stefano Cabras , Maria Eugenia Castellanos Nueda , Erlis Ruli

The likelihood function is central to both frequentist and Bayesian formulations of parametric statistical inference, and large-sample approximations to the sampling distributions of estimators and test statistics, and to posterior…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-05 Anthony C. Davison , Nancy Reid

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a simulation-based likelihood-free method applicable to both model selection and parameter estimation. ABC parameter estimation requires the ability to forward simulate datasets from a candidate…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Louis Raynal , Sixing Chen , Antonietta Mira , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

This invited paper proposes and discusses several Bayesian attempts at nonparametric and semiparametric density estimation. The main categories of these ideas are as follows: 1) Build a nonparametric prior around a given parametric model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Nils Lid Hjort

This article presents a survey of work on lifted graphical models. We review a general form for a lifted graphical model, a par-factor graph, and show how a number of existing statistical relational representations map to this formalism. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-08-29 Lilyana Mihalkova , Lise Getoor

This is a typeset version of Alan Turing's declassified Second World War paper \textit{Paper on Statistics of Repetitions}. See the companion paper, \textit{The Applications of Probability to Cryptography}, also available from arXiv at…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2015-05-27 Ian Taylor

Many modern statistical applications involve inference for complicated stochastic models for which the likelihood function is difficult or even impossible to calculate, and hence conventional likelihood-based inferential echniques cannot be…

Computation · Statistics 2013-05-29 Simon R. White , Theodore Kypraios , Simon P. Preston

This is a reaction to the article Symplectic bipotentials, in published form [2] Harakeh M, Ban M, de Saxce G. Symplectic bipotentials. Mathematics and Mechanics of Solids. 2026;0(0) doi:10.1177/10812865251413554, and in preprint form [1]…

Symplectic Geometry · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Marius Buliga

This is a collection of discussions of `Riemann manifold Langevin and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo methods" by Girolami and Calderhead, to appear in the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B.

This work introduces a novel R package for concise, informative summaries of machine learning models. We take inspiration from the summary function for (generalized) linear models in R, but extend it in several directions: First, our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Susanne Dandl , Marc Becker , Bernd Bischl , Giuseppe Casalicchio , Ludwig Bothmann

Despite the huge amount of literature on h-index, few papers have been devoted to the statistical analysis of h-index when a probabilistic distribution is assumed for citation counts. The present contribution relies on showing the available…

Applications · Statistics 2014-07-29 Alberto Baccini , Lucio Barabesi , Marzia Marcheselli , Luca Pratelli

Peer reviewing is a central component in the scientific publishing process. We present the first public dataset of scientific peer reviews available for research purposes (PeerRead v1) providing an opportunity to study this important…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-04-26 Dongyeop Kang , Waleed Ammar , Bhavana Dalvi , Madeleine van Zuylen , Sebastian Kohlmeier , Eduard Hovy , Roy Schwartz

In this paper we extend the work of Smith and Papamichail (1999) and present fast approximate Bayesian algorithms for learning in complex scenarios where at any time frame, the relationships between explanatory state space variables can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Raffaella Settimi , Jim Q. Smith , A. S. Gargoum

This text is a survey of the general theory of stochastic processes, with a view towards random times and enlargements of filtrations. The first five chapters present standard materials, which were developed by the French probability school…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ashkan Nikeghbali

This chapter surveys advances in the field of Bayesian computation over the past twenty years, with missing data. It also contains some novel computational entries on the double-exponential model that may be of interest per se.

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-12 Christian P. Robert

The recent paper by I. Weissman, "Sum of squares of uniform random variables",[Statist. Probab. Lett. 129 (2017), 147-154] is compared to earlier work of B. Tibken and D. Constales relating to the area of the intersection of a centred ball…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-17 Peter J. Forrester

We assume the direct sum <A> o <B> for the signal subspace. As a result of post- measurement, a number of operational contexts presuppose the a priori knowledge of the LB -dimensional "interfering" subspace <B> and the goal is to estimate…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-17 Guillaume Bouleux , Rémy Boyer

This report introduces general ideas and some basic methods of the Bayesian probability theory applied to physics measurements. Our aim is to make the reader familiar, through examples rather than rigorous formalism, with concepts such as:…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 G. D'Agostini

This paper summarizes a presentation for a panel discussion on "The Future of Astrostatistics" held at the Statistical Challenges in Modern Astronomy V conference at Pennsylvania State University in June 2011. I argue that the emerging…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-08-25 Thomas J. Loredo

We provide a variable metric stochastic approximation theory. In doing so, we provide a convergence theory for a large class of online variable metric methods including the recently introduced online versions of the BFGS algorithm and its…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-08-26 Peter Sunehag , Jochen Trumpf , S. V. N. Vishwanathan , Nicol Schraudolph