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We analyze the invariant distributions of continuous-time and discrete-time random walks on randomly weighted complete digraphs. These distributions correspond to the principal left eigenvectors of the associated random Markov generators…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-18 Jacob Calvert , Frank den Hollander , Dana Randall

Let $P$ be the transition matrix of a finite, irreducible and reversible Markov chain. We say the continuous time Markov chain $X$ has transition matrix $P$ and speed $\lambda$ if it jumps at rate $\lambda$ according to the matrix $P$. Fix…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Louigi Addario-Berry , Roberto I. Oliveira , Yuval Peres , Perla Sousi

We examine two analytical characterisation of the metastable behavior of a Markov chain. The first one expressed in terms of its transition probabilities, and the second one in terms of its large deviations rate functional. Consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-07 L. Bertini , D. Gabrielli , C. Landim

Chernoff bounds are a powerful application of the Markov inequality to produce strong bounds on the tails of probability distributions. They are often used to bound the tail probabilities of sums of Poisson trials, or in regression to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-24 D. K. L. Shiu

The Chernoff bound is a well-known tool for obtaining a high probability bound on the expectation of a Bernoulli random variable in terms of its sample average. This bound is commonly used in statistical learning theory to upper bound the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-18 Andrew Y. K. Foong , Wessel P. Bruinsma , David R. Burt

In this paper we derive non asymptotic deviation bounds for $$\P_\nu (|\frac 1t \int_0^t V(X_s) ds - \int V d\mu | \geq R)$$ where $X$ is a $\mu$ stationary and ergodic Markov process and $V$ is some $\mu$ integrable function. These bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Patrick Cattiaux , Arnaud Guillin

This paper originally showed a lower bound on mixing time for a non-reversible Markov chain in terms of its largest non-trivial eigenvalue, and used this to re-derive some generalizations of results of Fan Chung. However, the paper has been…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ravi Montenegro

Consider a Markov process $\{\Phi(t) : t\geq 0\}$ evolving on a Polish space ${\sf X}$. A version of the $f$-Norm Ergodic Theorem is obtained: Suppose that the process is $\psi$-irreducible and aperiodic. For a given function $f\colon{\sf…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-03 I. Kontoyiannis , S. P. Meyn

We analyse the $\ell^2(\pi)$-convergence rate of irreducible and aperiodic Markov chains with $N$-band transition probability matrix $P$ and with invariant distribution $\pi$. This analysis is heavily based on: first the study of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-15 Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux

In this paper we extend the results of the research started by the first author, in which Karlin-McGregor diagonalization of certain reversible Markov chains over countably infinite general state spaces by orthogonal polynomials was used to…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2012-02-15 Yevgeniy Kovchegov , Nicholas Michalowski

For an ergodic Markov chain $\{X(t)\}$ on $\Bbb N$, with a stationary distribution $\pi$, let $T_n>0$ denote a hitting time for $[n]^c$, and let $X_n=X(T_n)$. Around 2005 Guy Louchard popularized a conjecture that, for $n\to \infty$, $T_n$…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-05-13 Boris Pittel

We consider random walk $(X_n)_{n\geq0}$ on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ in a space--time product environment $\omega\in\Omega$. We take the point of view of the particle and focus on the environment Markov chain $(T_{n,X_n}\omega)_{n\geq0}$ where $T$…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-08 Atilla Yilmaz

Nonlinear Markov chains with finite state space have been introduced in Kolokoltsov (2010). The characteristic property of these processes is that the transition probabilities do not only depend on the state, but also on the distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Berenice Anne Neumann

A family $\{Q_{\beta}\}_{\beta \geq 0}$ of Markov chains is said to exhibit $\textit{metastable mixing}$ with $\textit{modes}$ $S_{\beta}^{(1)},\ldots,S_{\beta}^{(k)}$ if its spectral gap (or some other mixing property) is very close to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Oren Mangoubi , Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

Define $(X_n)$ on $\mathbf{Z}/q\mathbf{Z}$ by $X_{n+1} = 2X_n + b_n$, where the steps $b_n$ are chosen independently at random from $-1, 0, +1$. The mixing time of this random walk is known to be at most $1.02 \log_2 q$ for almost all odd…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-25 Sean Eberhard , Péter P. Varjú

Given a reversible Markov chain $P_n$ on $n$ states, and another chain $\tilde{P}_n$ obtained by perturbing each row of $P_n$ by at most $\alpha_n$ in total variation, we study the total variation distance between the two stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Daniel Vial , Vijay Subramanian

For random walks on networks (graphs), it is a theoretical challenge to explicitly determine the mean first-passage time (MFPT) between two nodes averaged over all pairs. In this paper, we study the MFPT of random walks in the famous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-27 Zhongzhi Zhang , Yuan Lin , Shuigeng Zhou , Bin Wu , Jihong Guan

In this paper, we develop a general approach for probabilistic estimation and optimization. An explicit formula and a computational approach are established for controlling the reliability of probabilistic estimation based on a mixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-06 Xinjia Chen

We perform an in-depth study for mean first-passage time (MFPT)---a primary quantity for random walks with numerous applications---of maximal-entropy random walks (MERW) performed in complex networks. For MERW in a general network, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-17 Yuan Lin , Zhongzhi Zhang

This paper deals with ergodic theorems for particular time-inhomogeneous Markov processes, whose the time-inhomogeneity is asymptotically periodic. Under a Lyapunov/minorization condition, it is shown that, for any measurable bounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-06 William Oçafrain
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