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In an election in which each voter ranks all of the candidates, we consider the head-to-head results between each pair of candidates and form a labeled directed graph, called the margin graph, which contains the margin of victory of each…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-09-08 Matthew Harrison-Trainor

In nonlinear voter models the transitions between two states depend in a nonlinear manner on the frequencies of these states in the neighborhood. We investigate the role of these nonlinearities on the global outcome of the dynamics for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-04-05 Frank Schweitzer , Laxmidhar Behera

The increasing cost of electoral campaigns raises the need for effective campaign planning and a precise understanding of the return of such investment. Interestingly, despite the strong impact of elections on our daily lives, how this…

We introduce the confident voter model, in which each voter can be in one of two opinions and can additionally have two levels of commitment to an opinion --- confident and unsure. Upon interacting with an agent of a different opinion, a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-19 D. Volovik , S. Redner

A random walk-like model is considered to discuss statistical aspects of tournaments. The model is applied to soccer leagues with emphasis on the scores. This competitive system was computationally simulated and the results are compared…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-04-30 H. V. Ribeiro , R. S. Mendes , L. C. Malacarne , S. Picoli , P. A. Santoro

We use the theory of persistent homology to analyze a data set arising from the study of various aspects of democracy. Our results show that most "mature" democracies look more or less the same, in the sense that they form a single…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Laura Sjoberg , Kevin Knudson

Individuals are increasingly exposed to news and opinion from beyond national borders in a world that is becoming more and more globalised. This news and opinion is often concentrated in clusters of ideological homophily such as political…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-13 Jose Segovia-Martin

Although the average population density of a city is an extremely simple indicator, it is often used as a determinant factor for describing various aspects of urban phenomena. On the other hand, a plethora of different measures that aim at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-04 Valerio Volpati , Marc Barthelemy

We study a variant of the voter model with multiple opinions; individuals can imitate each other and also change their opinion randomly in mutation events. We focus on the case of a population with all-to-all interaction. A noise-driven…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-14 Francisco Herrerías-Azcué , Tobias Galla

We present a collection of $7582$ real-world elections divided into $25$ datasets from various sources ranging from sports competitions over music charts to survey- and indicator-based rankings. We provide evidence that the collected…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-09 Niclas Boehmer , Nathan Schaar

Models of opinion dynamics describe how opinions are shaped in various environments. While these models are able to replicate general opinion distributions observed in real-world scenarios, their capacity to align with data at the user…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Antoine Vendeville

The existence of juxtaposed regions of distinct cultures in spite of the fact that people's beliefs have a tendency to become more similar to each other's as the individuals interact repeatedly is a puzzling phenomenon in the social…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-11-05 Lucas R. Peres , Jose F. Fontanari

Politics around the world exhibits increasing polarization, demonstrated in part by rigid voting configurations in institutions like legislatures or courts. A crux of polarization is separation along a unidimensional ideological axis, but…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-12 Edward D. Lee

The standard three-state voter model is enlarged by including the outside pressure favouring one of the three choices and by adding some biased internal random noise. The Monte Carlo simulations are motivated by states with the population…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 T. Hadzibeganovic , D. Stauffer , C. Schulze

Population behaviours, such as voting and vaccination, depend on social networks. Social networks can differ depending on behaviour type and are typically hidden. However, we do often have large-scale behavioural data, albeit only snapshots…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-03-24 Antonia Godoy-Lorite , Nick S. Jones

The Eurovision Song Contest (ESC) is an annual event which attracts millions of viewers. It is an interesting activity to examine since the participants of the competition represent a particular country's musical performance that will be…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-15 Alexander V. Mantzaris , Samuel R. Rein , Alexander D. Hopkins

The Eurovision Song Contest is a popular TV singing competition held annually among country members of the European Broadcasting Union. In this competition, each member can be both contestant and jury, as it can participate with a song…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-01 Silvia D'Angelo , Thomas Brendan Murphy , Marco Alfò

We introduce time variation in the flip-rates of the Voter Model. This type of generalisation is relevant to models of ageing in language change, allowing the representation of changes in speakers' learning rates over their lifetime and may…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-27 G. J. Baxter

The coupling between population growth and transport accessibility has been an elusive problem for more than 60 years now. Due to the lack of theoretical foundations, most of the studies that considered how the evolution of transportation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-02 Valerio Volpati , Marc Barthelemy

We investigate an extension of the voter model in which voters are equipped with an individual inertia to change their opinion. This inertia depends on the persistence time of a voter's current opinion (ageing). We focus on the case of only…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-04-07 Hans-Ulrich Stark , Claudio J. Tessone , Frank Schweitzer