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We establish a practical and easy-to-implement sequential stopping rule for the martingale central limit theorem, focusing on Monte Carlo methods for estimating the mean of a non-iid sequence of martingale difference type. Starting with an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Jiezhong Wu , Reiichiro Kawai

We study the large-scale dynamics of event chain Monte Carlo algorithms in one dimension, and their relation to the true self-avoiding walk. In particular, we study the influence of stress, and different forms of interaction on the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-10-14 A. C. Maggs

Consider the random variable $\mathrm{Tr}( f_1(W)A_1\dots f_k(W)A_k)$ where $W$ is an $N\times N$ Hermitian Wigner matrix, $k\in\mathbb{N}$, and choose (possibly $N$-dependent) regular functions $f_1,\dots, f_k$ as well as bounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Jana Reker

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods provide an essential tool in statistics for sampling from complex probability distributions. While the standard approach to MCMC involves constructing discrete-time reversible Markov chains whose transition…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-29 Joris Bierkens , Andrew Duncan

We establish limit theorems for the fluctuations of the rescaled occupation time of a $(d,\alpha,\beta)$-branching particle system. It consists of particles moving according to a symmetric $\alpha$-stable motion in $\mathbb{R}^d$. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-04 Piotr Milos

In lattice quantum field theory studies, parameters defining the lattice theory must be tuned toward criticality to access continuum physics. Commonly used Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods suffer from critical slowing down in this…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2021-06-04 Gurtej Kanwar

In the thesis we take the split chain approach to analyzing Markov chains and use it to establish fixed-width results for estimators obtained via Markov chain Monte Carlo procedures (MCMC). Theoretical results include necessary and…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-07-28 Krzysztof Latuszynski

We present a Monte Carlo method to compute efficiently susceptibilites or covariances of two physical variables. The method relies on a generalization of the exchange cluster algorithm to any model of interacting particles with any $2$-body…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-02-11 Assaraf Roland , Chevreau Hilaire

Empirical processes for stationary, causal sequences are considered. We establish empirical central limit theorems for classes of indicators of left half lines, absolutely continuous functions and piecewise differentiable functions. Sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wei Biao Wu

We calculate the probability distribution of work for an exactly solvable model of a system interacting with its environment. The system of interest is a harmonic oscillator with a time dependent control parameter, the environment is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-17 Yigit Subasi , Christopher Jarzynski

It is known that the fluctuations of suitable linear statistics of Haar distributed elements of the compact classical groups satisfy a central limit theorem. We show that if the corresponding test functions are sufficiently smooth, a rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Christian Döbler , Michael Stolz

Motivated by applications arising in networked systems, this work examines controlled regime-switching systems that stem from a mean-variance formulation. A main point is that the switching process is a hidden Markov chain. An additional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-21 Zhixin Yang , George Yin , Qing Zhang

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of a fully-coupled slow-fast McKean-Vlasov stochastic system. Using the non-linear Poisson equation on Wasserstein space, we first establish the strong convergence in the averaging principle…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Yun Li , Longjie Xie

In this paper, we present a critical collection of essential mathematical tools and techniques for the analysis of Boltzmann-type kinetic equations, which in recent years have established themselves as a flexible and powerful paradigm to…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-03-17 Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

For random matrices with block correlation structure we show that the fluctuations of linear eigenvalue statistics are Gaussian on all mesoscopic scales with universal variance which coincides with that of the Gaussian unitary or Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-30 Torben Krüger , Yuriy Nemish

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

We provide a functional central limit theorem for a broad class of smooth functions for possibly noncausal multivariate linear processes with time-varying coefficients. Since the limiting processes depend on unknown quantities, we propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-03 Carina Beering , Anne Leucht

We study the convergence of random function iterations for finding an invariant measure of the corresponding Markov operator. We call the problem of finding such an invariant measure the stochastic fixed point problem. This generalizes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Neal Hermer , D. Russell Luke , Anja Sturm

We consider discrete-time Markov chains and study large deviations of the pair empirical occupation measure, which is useful to compute fluctuations of pure-additive and jump-type observables. We provide an exact expression for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-07-04 Giorgio Carugno , Pierpaolo Vivo , Francesco Coghi

We present a new class of fluctuation relations, to which we will refer as Fluctuation Relations for Current Components (FRCCs). FRCCs can be used to estimate system parameters when complete information about nonequilibrium many-body…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2015-05-30 Sriram Ganeshan , N. A. Sinitsyn