Related papers: Adaptive Test of Conditional Moment Inequalities
In this paper, we propose a new test for the detection of a change in a non-linear (auto-)regressive time series as well as a corresponding estimator for the unknown time point of the change. To this end, we consider an at-most-one-change…
We revisit the classical problem of comparing regression functions, a fundamental question in statistical inference with broad relevance to modern applications such as data integration, transfer learning, and causal inference. Existing…
We use a system of first-order partial differential equations that characterize the moment generating function of the $d$-variate standard normal distribution to construct a class of affine invariant tests for normality in any dimension. We…
This note presents a method that provides optimal monotone conditional error functions for a large class of adaptive two stage designs. The presented method builds on a previously developed general theory for optimal adaptive two stage…
We study prediction-powered conditional inference in the setting where labeled data are scarce, unlabeled covariates are abundant, and a black-box machine-learning predictor is available. The goal is to perform statistical inference on…
The integrated conditional moment (ICM) test is a classical and widely used method for assessing the adequacy of regression models. Although it performs well in fixed-dimension settings, its behavior changes dramatically when the predictor…
Identification-robust hypothesis tests are commonly based on the continuous updating GMM objective function. When the number of moment conditions grows proportionally with the sample size, the large-dimensional weighting matrix prohibits…
This paper proposes confidence regions for the identified set in conditional moment inequality models using Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics with a truncated inverse variance weighting with increasing truncation points. The new weighting…
This paper proposes self-normalized tests for multistep conditional predictive ability in forecast comparison. By normalizing the sample mean of the transformed loss differential using functionals of its cumulative sum (CUSUM) process,…
Novel significance tests are proposed for the quite general additive concurrent model formulation without the need of model, error structure preliminary estimation or the use of tuning parameters. Making use of the martingale difference…
Deep learning models in medical imaging often encounter challenges when adapting to new clinical settings unseen during training. Test-time adaptation offers a promising approach to optimize models for these unseen domains, yet its…
Most unsupervised anomaly detection methods based on representations of normal samples to distinguish anomalies have recently made remarkable progress. However, existing methods only learn a single decision boundary for distinguishing the…
We develop an approach for estimating models described via conditional moment restrictions, with a prototypical application being non-parametric instrumental variable regression. We introduce a min-max criterion function, under which the…
We propose a new adequacy test and a graphical evaluation tool for nonlinear dynamic models. The proposed techniques can be applied in any setup where parametric conditional distribution of the data is specified, in particular to models…
Adaptive designs have been proposed for clinical trials in which the nuisance parameters or alternative of interest are unknown or likely to be misspecified before the trial. Whereas most previous works on adaptive designs and mid-course…
This paper proposes a class of origin-smooth approximators of indicators underlying the sum-of-negative-part statistic for testing multiple inequalities. The need for simulation or bootstrap to obtain test critical values is thereby…
Kernel two-sample tests have been widely used, and the development of efficient methods for high-dimensional, large-scale data is receiving increasing attention in the big data era. However, existing methods, such as the maximum mean…
The conditional moment problem is a powerful formulation for describing structural causal parameters in terms of observables, a prominent example being instrumental variable regression. A standard approach reduces the problem to a finite…
Conformal prediction is a simple and powerful tool that can quantify uncertainty without any distributional assumptions. Many existing methods only address the average coverage guarantee, which is not ideal compared to the stronger…
We provide a limit theory for a general class of kernel smoothed U-statistics that may be used for specification testing in time series regression with nonstationary data. The test framework allows for linear and nonlinear models with…