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In practice, several time series exhibit long-range dependence or persistence in their observations, leading to the development of a number of estimation and prediction methodologies to account for the slowly decaying autocorrelations. The…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-09 Javier E. Contreras-Reyes , Wilfredo Palma

The panel data regression models have gained increasing attention in different areas of research including but not limited to econometrics, environmental sciences, epidemiology, behavioral and social sciences. However, the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-24 Beste Hamiye Beyaztas , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

In recent years, specific evaluation metrics for time series anomaly detection algorithms have been developed to handle the limitations of the classical precision and recall. However, such metrics are heuristically built as an aggregate of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Alexis Huet , Jose Manuel Navarro , Dario Rossi

Penalized regression estimators are a popular tool for the analysis of sparse and high-dimensional data sets. However, penalized regression estimators defined using an unbounded loss function can be very sensitive to the presence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-19 Ezequiel Smucler , Víctor J. Yohai

In extreme value theory and other related risk analysis fields, probability weighted moments (PWM) have been frequently used to estimate the parameters of classical extreme value distributions. This method-of-moment technique can be applied…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Anna Ben-Hamou , Philippe Naveau , Maud Thomas

We study the problem of outlier robust high-dimensional mean estimation under a finite covariance assumption, and more broadly under finite low-degree moment assumptions. We consider a standard stability condition from the recent robust…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-17 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Ankit Pensia

We make an observation that facilitates exact likelihood-based inference for the parameters of the popular ARFIMA model without requiring stationarity by allowing the upper bound $\bar{d}$ for the memory parameter $d$ to exceed $0.5$:…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-10 Maryclare Griffin , Gennady Samorodnitsky , David S. Matteson

Long memory in the sense of slowly decaying autocorrelations is a stylized fact in many time series from economics and finance. The fractionally integrated process is the workhorse model for the analysis of these time series. Nevertheless,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-22 Uwe Hassler , Marc-Oliver Pohle

In this study, a longitudinal regression model for covariance matrix outcomes is introduced. The proposal considers a multilevel generalized linear model for regressing covariance matrices on (time-varying) predictors. This model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-10 Yi Zhao , Brian S. Caffo , Xi Luo

We consider (robust) inference in the context of a factor model for tensor-valued sequences. We study the consistency of the estimated common factors and loadings space when using estimators based on minimising quadratic loss functions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 Matteo Barigozzi , Yong He , Lingxiao Li , Lorenzo Trapani

In forecasting problems it is important to know whether or not recent events represent a regime change (low long-term predictive potential), or rather a local manifestation of longer term effects (potentially higher predictive potential).…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-09 Timothy Graves , Robert B. Gramacy , Christian Franzke , Nicholas Watkins

The association between a continuous and an ordinal variable is commonly modeled through the polyserial correlation model. However, this model, which is based on a partially-latent normality assumption, may be misspecified in practice, due…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Max Welz

Functional quadratic regression models postulate a polynomial relationship between a scalar response rather than a linear one. As in functional linear regression, vertical and specially high-leverage outliers may affect the classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-30 Graciela Boente , Daniela Parada

Generalized Linear Models are routinely used in data analysis. The classical procedures for estimation are based on Maximum Likelihood and it is well known that the presence of outliers can have a large impact on this estimator. Robust…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-02 Marina Valdora , Claudio Agostinelli , Victor J. Yohai

The presence of outliers in financial asset returns is a frequently occuring phenomenon and may lead to unreliable mean-variance optimized portfolios. This fact is due to the unbounded influence that outliers can have on the mean returns…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-28 Aida Toma , Samuela Leoni-Aubin

Structural changes and outliers often coexist, complicating statistical inference. This paper addresses the problem of testing for parameter changes in conditionally heteroscedastic time series models, particularly in the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Junmo Song

Marginal structural models are a popular method for estimating causal effects in the presence of time-varying exposures. In spite of their popularity, no scalable non-parametric estimator exist for marginal structural models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Axel Martin , Michele Santacatterina , Iván Díaz

Highly robust and efficient estimators for the generalized linear model with a dispersion parameter are proposed. The estimators are based on three steps. In the first step the maximum rank correlation estimator is used to consistently…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-29 Michael Amiguet , Alfio Marazzi , Marina Valdora , Victor Yohai

Adversarially robust learning aims to design algorithms that are robust to small adversarial perturbations on input variables. Beyond the existing studies on the predictive performance to adversarial samples, our goal is to understand…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-21 Yue Xing , Ruizhi Zhang , Guang Cheng

Functional time series whose sample elements are recorded sequentially over time are frequently encountered with increasing technology. Recent studies have shown that analyzing and forecasting of functional time series can be performed…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang