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We study the role of demographic fluctuations in typical endemics as exemplified by the stochastic SIRS model. The birth-death master equation of the model is simulated using exact numerics and analysed within the linear noise…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-06-29 Somdeb Ghose , R. Adhikari

For general, almost surely absorbed Markov processes, we obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-25 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

This paper studies a method, which has been proposed in the Physics literature by [8, 7, 10], for estimating the quasi-stationary distribution. In contrast to existing methods in eigenvector estimation, the method eliminates the need for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-03 Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn , Shuheng Zheng

In the long run, the eventual extinction of any biological population is an inevitable outcome. While extensive research has focused on the average time it takes for a population to go extinct under various circumstances, there has been…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-18 David Kessler , Nadav M. Shnerb

The study of density-dependent stochastic population processes is important from a historical perspective as well as from the perspective of a number of existing and emerging applications today. In more recent applications of these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Yingdong Lu , Mark Squillante , Chai Wah Wu

Frequency-dependent selection reflects the interaction between different species as they battle for limited resources in their environment. In a stochastic evolutionary game the species relative fitnesses guides the evolutionary dynamics…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic , Liam Peuckert

For downward skip-free continuous-time Markov chains on non-negative integers stopped at zero, existence of a quasi-stationary distribution is studied. The scale function for these processes is introduced and the boundary is classified by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-03 Kosuke Yamato

Evolutionary branching is analysed in a stochastic, individual-based population model under mutation and selection. In such models, the common assumption is that individual reproduction and life career are characterised by values of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-01 S. Sagitov , B. Mehlig , P. Jagers , V. Vatutin

We are interested in quasi-stationarity and quasi-ergodicity when the absorbing boundary is moving. First we show that, in the moving boundary case, the quasi-stationary distribution and the quasi-limiting distribution are not well-defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-25 William Oçafrain

We analyze the connection between selection principles in front propagation and quasi-stationary distributions. We describe the missing link through the microscopic models known as Branching Brownian Motion with selection and Fleming-Viot.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Pablo Groisman , Matthieu Jonckheere

Understanding how fluctuations propagate across spatial scales is central to our understanding of inanimate matter from turbulence to critical phenomena. In contrast to physical systems, biological systems are organized into a hierarchy of…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-01-10 Felix Meige , Lina Hellwig , Harald Stachelscheid , Philipp Mergenthaler , Steffen Rulands

In this work we suggest and consider an original, simple mathematical model of a "quasi-rapid" extinction population dynamics. It describes a decrease and final extinction of the population of one prey species by a "quasi-rapid" interaction…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Vladan Pankovic , Rade Glavatovic , Nikola Vunduk , Dejan Banjac , Nemanja Marjanovic , Milan Predojevic

We discuss two cases that can be connected to the dynamics of interacting populations: (I.) density waves for the case or negligible random fluctuations of the populations densities, and (II.) probability distributions connected to the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-04-05 Nikolay K. Vitanov , Zlatinka I. Dimitrova , Kaloyan N. Vitanov

We address a simple connection between results of Hamiltonian nonlinear dynamical theory and thermostatistics. Using a properly defined dynamical temperature in low-dimensional symplectic maps, we display and characterize long-standing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Fulvio Baldovin , Edgardo Brigatti , Constantino Tsallis

Phenotypically structured equations arise in population biology to describe the interaction of species with their environment that brings the nutrients. This interaction usually leads to selection of the fittest individuals. Models used in…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Alexander Lorz , Benoit Perthame

A finite point process is characterized by the distribution of the number of points (the size) of the process. In some applications, for example, in the context of packet flows in modern communication networks, it is of interest to infer…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-03 Ritwik Chaudhuri , Vladas Pipiras

In this article, a new mathematical model of human population growth as an autonomous non-Markov queuing system with an unlimited number of servers and two types of applications is proposed. The research of this system was carried out a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-22 Mariia Nosova

We study an ecology-inspired model for a population of bounded size, whose dynamics is governed by random birth, death, and immigration events. Stochastic fluctuations in the number of individuals give rise to a succession of alternating…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-27 Lucas M. Brugevin , Damián H. Zanette

Hamiltonian systems with long-range interactions give rise to long lived out of equilibrium macroscopic states, so-called quasi-stationary states. We show here that, in a suitably generalized form, this result remains valid for many such…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-17 Michael Joyce , Jules Morand , François Sicard , Pascal Viot

We consider population models in which the individuals reproduce, die and also migrate in space. The population size scales according to some parameter $N$, which can have different interpretations depending on the context. Each individual…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-21 Ankit Gupta