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We present an explicit unified stochastic model of fluctuations in population size due to random birth, death, density-dependent competition and environmental fluctuations. Stochastic dynamics provide insight into small populations,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-07-31 Alexei J. Drummond , Peter D. Drummond

The present paper is devoted to the investigation of the long term behavior of a class of singular multi-dimensional diffusion processes that get absorbed in finite time with probability one. Our focus is on the analysis of quasi-stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-12 Alexandru Hening , Weiwei Qi , Zhongwei Shen , Yingfei Yi

Consider a continuous time Markov chain with rates Q in the state space \Lambda\cup\{0\} with 0 as an absorbing state. In the associated Fleming-Viot process N particles evolve independently in \Lambda with rates Q until one of them…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-12 Amine Asselah , Pablo A. Ferrari , Pablo Groisman

In a first part, we prove a Lyapunov-type criterion for the $\xi\_1$-positive recurrence of absorbed birth and death processes and provide new results on the domain of attraction of the minimal quasi-stationary distribution. In a second…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-29 Denis Villemonais

The stationary asymptotic properties of the diffusion limit of a multi-type branching process with neutral mutations are studied. For the critical and subcritical processes the interesting limits are those of quasi-stationary distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-08 Conrad J. Burden , Robert C. Griffiths

Recently, a first step was made by the authors towards a systematic investigation of the effect of reaction-step-size noise - uncertainty in the step size of the reaction - on the dynamics of stochastic populations. This was done by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-21 Shay Be'er , Michael Assaf

We introduce two stochastic chemostat models consisting in a coupled population-nutrient process reflecting the interaction between the nutrient and the bacterias in the chemostat with finite volume. The nutrient concentration evolves…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-19 Pierre Collet , Servet Martinez , Sylvie Meleard , Jaime San Martin

Stochastic discrete-time SIS and SIR models of endemic diseases are introduced and analyzed. For the deterministic, mean-field model, the basic reproductive number $R_0$ determines their global dynamics. If $R_0\le 1$, then the frequency of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-19 Sebastian J. Schreiber , Shuo Huang , Jifa Jiang , Hao Wang

We apply the recently devised quasi-stationary simulation method to study the lifetime and order parameter of the contact process in the subcritical phase. This phase is not accessible to other methods because virtually all realizations of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Marcelo Martins de Oliveira , Ronald Dickman

For a large class of processes with an absorbing state, statistical properties of the surviving sample attain time-independent values in the quasi-stationary (QS) regime. We propose a practical simulation method for studying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Marcelo Martins de Oliveira , Ronald Dickman

In this paper, we study quasi-stationary distributions of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes in discrete time. This type of distributions is of interest for the analysis of stochastic systems which have finite lifetimes, but are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Mikael Petersson

We study a random process with reinforcement, which evolves following the dynamics of a given diffusion process in a bounded domain and is resampled according to its occupation measure when it reaches the boundary. We show that its…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Michel Benaïm , Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

This paper studies the quasi-stationary distributions for a single death process (or downwardly skip-free process) with killing defined on the non-negative integers, corresponding to a non-conservative transition rate matrix. The set…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Zhe-Kang Fang , Yong-Hua Mao

Populations of competing biological species exhibit a fascinating interplay between the nonlinear dynamics of evolutionary selection forces and random fluctuations arising from the stochastic nature of the interactions. The processes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-05-08 A. Dobrinevski , E. Frey

A central problem in population ecology is understanding the consequences of stochastic fluctuations. Analytically tractable models with Gaussian driving noise have led to important, general insights, but they fail to capture rare,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-08 Brandon H. Schlomann

We study that the breakdown of epidemic depends on some parameters, that is expressed in epidemic reproduction ratio number. It is noted that when $R_0 $ exceeds 1, the stochastic model have two different results. But, eventually the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-19 Kurnia Susvitasari

In the continuity of a recent paper ([6]), dealing with finite Markov chains, this paper proposes and analyzes a recursive algorithm for the approximation of the quasi-stationary distribution of a general Markov chain living on a compact…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Michel Benaim , Bertrand Cloez , Fabien Panloup

Quasistationary states are long-lived nonequilibrium states, observed in some systems with long-range interactions under deterministic Hamiltonian evolution. These intriguing non-Boltzmann states relax to equilibrium over times which…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-17 Shamik Gupta , David Mukamel

For the continuous-time $\lambda$-recurrent jump process, the $\lambda$-recurrence assures the existence of quasi-stationary distribution when it has finite exit states (the states that have positive killing rates). And we give an explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-30 Qian Du , Yong-Hua Mao

Subcritical population processes are attracted to extinction and do not have non-trivial stationary distributions, which prompts the study of quasi-stationary distributions (QSDs) instead. In contrast to what generally happens for…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Pablo Groisman , Leonardo T. Rolla , Célio Terra