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In this introductory paper, we discuss how quantitative finance problems under some common risk factor dynamics for some common instruments and approaches can be formulated as time-continuous or time-discrete forward-backward stochastic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-29 Bernhard Hientzsch

The classical Method of Successive Approximations (MSA) is an iterative method for solving stochastic control problems and is derived from Pontryagin's optimality principle. It is known that the MSA may fail to converge. Using careful…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Bekzhan Kerimkulov , David Šiška , Łukasz Szpruch

We apply multilevel Monte Carlo for option pricing problems using exponential L\'{e}vy models with a uniform timestep discretisation to monitor the running maximum required for lookback and barrier options. The numerical results demonstrate…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-31 Mike Giles , Yuan Xia

Dual control explicitly addresses the problem of trading off active exploration and exploitation in the optimal control of partially unknown systems. While the problem can be cast in the framework of stochastic dynamic programming, exact…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-12 Elena Arcari , Lukas Hewing , Melanie N. Zeilinger

We present a hybrid method for time-dependent particle transport problems that combines Monte Carlo (MC) estimation with deterministic solutions based on discrete ordinates. For spatial discretizations, the MC algorithm computes a piecewise…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-08 Johannes Krotz , Cory D. Hauck , Ryan G. McClarren

An algorithm is proposed to solve robust control problems constrained by partial differential equations with uncertain coefficients, based on the so-called MG/OPT framework. The levels in this MG/OPT hierarchy correspond to discretization…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Andreas Van Barel , Stefan Vandewalle

This paper investigates methods for estimating the optimal stochastic control policy for a Markov Decision Process with unknown transition dynamics and an unknown reward function. This form of model-free reinforcement learning comprises…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Brandon Trabucco , Albert Qu , Simon Li , Ganeshkumar Ashokavardhanan

Path integral control solves a class of stochastic optimal control problems with a Monte Carlo (MC) method for an associated Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation. The MC approach avoids the need for a global grid of the domain of the HJB…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-08-26 Insoon Yang , Matthias Morzfeld , Claire J. Tomlin , Alexandre J. Chorin

A method is presented to tackle the sign problem in the simulations of systems having indefinite or complex-valued measures. In general, this new approach is shown to yield statistical errors smaller than the crude Monte Carlo using…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2008-11-26 T D Kieu , C J Griffin

Since the introduction of the Black-Scholes model stochastic processes have played an increasingly important role in mathematical finance. In many cases prices, volatility and other quantities can be modeled using stochastic ordinary…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Yin Mei Wong , Joshua Wilkie

We present a path integral method to derive closed-form solutions for option prices in a stochastic volatility model. The method is explained in detail for the pricing of a plain vanilla option. The flexibility of our approach is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 D. Lemmens , M. Wouters , J. Tempere , S. Foulon

Many problems require to approximate an expected value by some kind of Monte Carlo (MC) sampling, e.g. molecular dynamics (MD) or simulation of stochastic reaction models (also termed kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC)). Often, we are furthermore…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-18 Sandra Döpking , Sebastian Matera

In statistics and machine learning, approximation of an intractable integration is often achieved by using the unbiased Monte Carlo estimator, but the variances of the estimation are generally high in many applications. Control variates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-16 Ruosi Wan , Mingjun Zhong , Haoyi Xiong , Zhanxing Zhu

In traffic flow modeling, incorporating uncertainty is crucial for accurately capturing the complexities of real-world scenarios. In this work we focus on kinetic models of traffic flow, where a key step is to design effective numerical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Elisa Iacomini , Lorenzo Pareschi

We propose a fully backward representation of semilinear PDEs with application to stochastic control. Based on this, we develop a fully backward Monte-Carlo scheme allowing to generate the regression grid, backwardly in time, as the value…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-28 Lucas Izydorczyk , Nadia Oudjane , Francesco Russo

We introduce the class of multistage stochastic optimization problems with a random number of stages. For such problems, we show how to write dynamic programming equations and detail the Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming algorithm to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-18 Vincent Guigues

This paper proposes a Sequential Monte Carlo approach for the Bayesian estimation of mixed causal and noncausal models. Unlike previous Bayesian estimation methods developed for these models, Sequential Monte Carlo offers extensive…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-08 Gianluca Cubadda , Francesco Giancaterini , Stefano Grassi

Dual control denotes a class of control problems where the parameters governing the system are imperfectly known. The challenge is to find the optimal balance between probing, i.e. exciting the system to understand it more, and caution,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-29 Martin Péron , Christopher M. Baker , Barry D. Hughes , Iadine Chadès

Stochastic domain decomposition is proposed as a novel method for solving the two-dimensional Maxwell's equations as used in the magnetotelluric method. The stochastic form of the exact solution of Maxwell's equations is evaluated using…

Several methods have been proposed in the literature to solve reliability-based optimization problems, where failure probabilities are design constraints. However, few methods address the problem of life-cycle cost or risk optimization,…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-09 H. M. Kroetz , M. Moustapha , A. T. Beck , B. Sudret