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We measure the influence of individual observations on the sequence of the hidden states of the Hidden Markov Model (HMM) by means of the Kullback-Leibler distance (KLD). Namely, we consider the KLD between the conditional distribution of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-11 Vittorio Perduca , Gregory Nuel

We prove results on the decidability and complexity of computing the total variation distance (equivalently, the $L_1$-distance) of hidden Markov models (equivalently, labelled Markov chains). This distance measures the difference between…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-18 Stefan Kiefer

Labeled Markov Chains (or LMCs for short) are useful mathematical objects to model complex probabilistic languages. A central challenge is to compare two LMCs, for example to assess the accuracy of an abstraction or to quantify the effect…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Adrien Banse , Alessandro Abate , Raphaël M. Jungers

We aim at the construction of a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) of assigned complexity (number of states of the underlying Markov chain) which best approximates, in Kullback-Leibler divergence rate, a given stationary process. We establish, under…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Lorenzo Finesso , Angela Grassi , Peter Spreij

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) can be accurately approximated using co-occurrence frequencies of pairs and triples of observations by using a fast spectral method in contrast to the usual slow methods like EM or Gibbs sampling. We provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-03-29 Dean P. Foster , Jordan Rodu , Lyle H. Ungar

In this article we consider the smoothing problem for hidden Markov models (HMM). Given a hidden Markov chain $\{X_n\}_{n\geq 0}$ and observations $\{Y_n\}_{n\geq 0}$, our objective is to compute…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-20 Jeremie Houssineau , Ajay Jasra , Sumeetpal S. Singh

The contributions of the paper span theoretical and implementational results. First, we prove that Kd-trees can be extended to spaces in which the distance is measured with an arbitrary Bregman divergence. Perhaps surprisingly, this shows…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Tuyen Pham , Hubert Wagner

This study tackles the efficient estimation of Kullback-Leibler (KL) Divergence in Dirichlet Mixture Models (DMM), crucial for clustering compositional data. Despite the significance of DMMs, obtaining an analytically tractable solution for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-20 Samyajoy Pal , Christian Heumann

We present and analyse three online algorithms for learning in discrete Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) and compare them with the Baldi-Chauvin Algorithm. Using the Kullback-Leibler divergence as a measure of generalisation error we draw…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2007-08-20 Roberto C. Alamino , Nestor Caticha

We show that the Kullback-Leibler distance is a good measure of the statistical uncertainty of correlation matrices estimated by using a finite set of data. For correlation matrices of multivariate Gaussian variables we analytically…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Michele Tumminello , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario Nunzio Mantegna

In this paper, we derive some upper and lower bounds and inequalities for the total variation distance (TVD) and the Kullback-Leibler divergence (KLD), also known as the relative entropy, between two probability measures $\mu$ and $\nu$…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Ievlev Pavel , Timofei Shashkov

Generative models have achieved remarkable success across a range of applications, yet their evaluation still lacks principled uncertainty quantification. In this paper, we develop a method for comparing how close different generative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-24 Zijun Gao , Yan Sun , Han Su

Measure transport underpins several recent algorithms for posterior approximation in the Bayesian context, wherein a transport map is sought to minimise the Kullback--Leibler divergence (KLD) from the posterior to the approximation. The KLD…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-27 Matthew A. Fisher , Tui Nolan , Matthew M. Graham , Dennis Prangle , Chris J. Oates

Consider the problem of predicting the next symbol given a sample path of length n, whose joint distribution belongs to a distribution class that may have long-term memory. The goal is to compete with the conditional predictor that knows…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Yanjun Han , Tianze Jiang , Yihong Wu

Consider the nonparametric logistic regression problem. In the logistic regression, we usually consider the maximum likelihood estimator, and the excess risk is the expectation of the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between the true and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-26 Atsutomo Yara , Yoshikazu Terada

To characterize the Kullback-Leibler divergence and Fisher information in general parametrized hidden Markov models, in this paper, we first show that the log likelihood and its derivatives can be represented as an additive functional of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-15 Cheng-Der Fuh , Chu-Lan Michael Kao , Tianxiao Pang

Vine copulas are a flexible class of dependence models consisting of bivariate building blocks and have proven to be particularly useful in high dimensions. Classical model distance measures require multivariate integration and thus suffer…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-22 Matthias Killiches , Daniel Kraus , Claudia Czado

Gromov-Hausdorff (GH) distance is a natural way to measure the distortion between two metric spaces. However, there has been only limited algorithmic development to compute or approximate this distance. We focus on computing the…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2019-07-17 Elena Farahbakhsh Touli , Yusu Wang

In this paper, we study the strong consistency of a bias reduced kernel density estimator and derive a strongly con- sistent Kullback-Leibler divergence (KLD) estimator. As application, we formulate a goodness-of-fit test and an…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-21 Papa Ngom , Freedath Djibril Moussa , Jean de Dieu Nkurunziza

The Gromov-Hausdorff (GH) distance is a natural way to measure distance between two metric spaces. We prove that it is $\mathrm{NP}$-hard to approximate the Gromov-Hausdorff distance better than a factor of $3$ for geodesic metrics on a…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2017-06-14 Pankaj K. Agarwal , Kyle Fox , Abhinandan Nath , Anastasios Sidiropoulos , Yusu Wang
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