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In this paper we formulate a corporate bond (CB) pricing model for deriving the term structure of default probabilities (TSDP) and the recovery rate (RR) for each pair of industry factor and credit rating grade, and these derived TSDP and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-06 Takeaki Kariya

This paper considers mutual obligations in the interconnected bank system and analyzes their influence on joint and marginal survival probabilities as well as CDS and FTD prices for the individual banks. To make the role of mutual…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-11 Andrey Itkin , Alexander Lipton

We consider pricing weather derivatives for use as protection against weather extremes. The method described utilizes results from spatial statistics and extreme value theory to first model extremes in the weather as a max-stable process,…

Applications · Statistics 2011-09-21 Robert J. Erhardt , Richard L. Smith

We investigate the impact of available information on the estimation of the default probability within a generalized structural model for credit risk. The traditional structural model where default is triggered when the value of the firm's…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-19 Imke Redeker , Ralf Wunderlich

To construct a no-arbitrage defaultable bond market, we work on the state price density framework. Using the heat kernel approach (HKA for short) with the killing of a Markov process, we construct a single defaultable bond market that…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-24 Yuta Inoue , Takahiro Tsuchiya

In the "positive interest" models of Flesaker-Hughston, the nominal discount bond system is determined by a one-parameter family of positive martingales. In the present paper we extend this analysis to include a variety of distributions for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Dorje C. Brody , Lane P. Hughston , Ewan Mackie

We study convexity and monotonicity properties for prices of bonds and bond options when the short rate is modeled by a diffusion process. We provide conditions under which convexity of the price in the short rate is guaranteed. Under these…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Erik Ekstrom , Johan Tysk

We present a general framework for the estimation of corporate default based on a firm's capital structure, when its assets are assumed to follow a pure jump L\'evy processes; this setup provides a natural extension to usual default metrics…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-13 Jean-Philippe Aguilar , Nicolas Pesci , Victor James

We consider a class of assets whose risk-neutral pricing dynamics are described by an exponential L\'evy-type process subject to default. The class of processes we consider features locally-dependent drift, diffusion and default-intensity…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-19 Antoine Jacquier , Matthew Lorig

The structural default model of Lipton and Sepp, 2009 is generalized for a set of banks with mutual interbank liabilities whose assets are driven by correlated Levy processes with idiosyncratic and common components. The multi-dimensional…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-25 Andrey Itkin , Alexander Lipton

An extension of the Heath--Jarrow--Morton model for the development of instantaneous forward interest rates with deterministic coefficients and Gaussian as well as L\'evy field noise terms is given. In the special case where the L\'evy…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Sergio Albeverio , Eugene Lytvynov , Andrea Mahnig

The classical derivation of the well-known Vasicek model for interest rates is reformulated in terms of the associated pricing kernel. An advantage of the pricing kernel method is that it allows one to generalize the construction to the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-04 Dorje C. Brody , Lane P. Hughston , David M. Meier

In this paper we present a rigorously motivated pricing equation for derivatives, including general cash collateralization schemes, which is consistent with quoted market bond prices. Traditionally, there have been differences in how…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-22 Johan Gunnesson , Alberto Fernández Muñoz de Morales

We develop a finite horizon continuous time market model, where risk averse investors maximize utility from terminal wealth by dynamically investing in a risk-free money market account, a stock written on a default-free dividend process,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-23 Agostino Capponi , Martin Larsson

This paper considers the modelling of collateralized debt obligations (CDOs). We propose a top-down model via forward rates generalizing Filipovi\'c, Overbeck and Schmidt (2009) to the case where the forward rates are driven by a finite…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-21 Thorsten Schmidt , Jerzy Zabczyk

We consider a financial market with zero-coupon bonds that are exposed to credit and liquidity risk. We revisit the famous Jarrow & Turnbull setting in order to account for these two intricately intertwined risk types. We utilise the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-28 Thomas Krabichler , Josef Teichmann

Spot option prices, forwards and options on forwards relevant for the commodity markets are computed when the underlying process S is modelled as an exponential of a process {\xi} with memory as e.g. a L\'evy semi-stationary process.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-02 Fred Espen Benth , Asma Khedher , Michèle Vanmaele

A common assumption in financial engineering is that the market price for any derivative coincides with an objectively defined risk-neutral price - a plausible assumption only if traders collectively possess objective knowledge about the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-08 Kerry W. Fendick

We propose a unified framework for equity and credit risk modeling, where the default time is a doubly stochastic random time with intensity driven by an underlying affine factor process. This approach allows for flexible interactions…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-19 Claudio Fontana , Juan Miguel A. Montes

While defaults are rare events, losses can be substantial even for credit portfolios with a large number of contracts. Therefore, not only a good evaluation of the probability of default is crucial, but also the severity of losses needs to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-03-15 Alexander Becker , Alexander F. R. Koivusalo , Rudi Schäfer