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In online markets, agents often learn from other's actions in addition to their private information. Such observational learning can lead to herding or information cascades in which agents eventually ignore their private information and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Pawan Poojary , Randall Berry

We report on two series of experiments, conducted in the frame of two different collaborations designed to study how pedestrians adapt their trajectories and velocities in groups or crowds. Strong emphasis is put on the motivations for the…

Nonparametric density estimation is an unsupervised learning problem. In this work we propose a two-step procedure that casts the density estimation problem in the first step into a supervised regression problem. The advantage is that we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Thijs Bos , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Researchers increasingly have access to two types of data: (i) large observational datasets where treatment (e.g., class size) is not randomized but several primary outcomes (e.g., graduation rates) and secondary outcomes (e.g., test…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-29 Susan Athey , Raj Chetty , Guido Imbens

Social learning is defined as the ability of a population to aggregate information, a process which must crucially depend on the mechanisms of social interaction. Consumers choosing which product to buy, or voters deciding which option to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-12 J. C. González-Avella , V. M. Eguíluz , M. Marsili , F. Vega-Redondo , M. San Miguel

Social media filters combined with recommender systems can lead to the emergence of filter bubbles and polarized groups. In addition, segregation processes of human groups in certain social contexts have been shown to share some…

We study a model of a population making a binary decision based on information spreading within the population, which is fully connected or covering a square grid. We assume that a fraction of the population wants to make the choice of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-24 Petter Holme , Hang-Hyun Jo

Heterogeneous adoption thresholds exist widely in social contagions, but were always neglected in previous studies. We first propose a non-Markovian spreading threshold model with general adoption threshold distribution. In order to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-13 Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Panpan Shu , Zhen Wang

The goal of this article is to investigate how human participants allocate their limited time to decisions with different properties. We report the results of two behavioral experiments. In each trial of the experiments, the participant…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-07-20 Arash Khodadadi , Pegah Fakhari , Jerome R. Busemeyer

We consider the two-opinion voter model on a regular random graph with n vertices and degree $d \geq 3$. It is known that consensus is reached on time scale n and that on this time scale the volume of the set of vertices with one opinion…

In the voter model, vertices of a graph (interpreted as voters) adopt one out of two opinions (0 and 1), and update their opinions at random times by copying the opinion of a neighbor chosen uniformly at random. This process is dual to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Jhon Astoquillca

We consider the forecast aggregation problem in repeated settings, where the forecasts are done on a binary event. At each period multiple experts provide forecasts about an event. The goal of the aggregator is to aggregate those forecasts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-21 Yakov Babichenko , Dan Garber

We analyze some voting models mimicking online evaluation systems intended to reduce the information overload. The minimum number of operations needed for a system to be effective is analytically estimated. When herding effects are present,…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-24 Paolo Laureti , Lionel Moret , Yi-Cheng Zhang

Humans are constantly exposed to sequences of events in the environment. Those sequences frequently evince statistical regularities, such as the probabilities with which one event transitions to another. Collectively, inter-event transition…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-07 Xiaohuan Xia , Andrei A. Klishin , Jennifer Stiso , Christopher W. Lynn , Ari E. Kahn , Lorenzo Caciagli , Dani S. Bassett

Using Monte Carlo model of biological evolution we have discovered that populations can switch between two different strategies of their genomes' evolution; Darwinian purifying selection and complementing the haplotypes. The first one is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Marta Zawierta , Wojciech Waga , Dorota Mackiewicz , Przemyslaw Biecek , Stanislaw Cebrat

We investigate a variation of the classical voter model in which the set of influencing agents depends on an individual's current opinion. The initial population consists of a random sample of equally sized sub-populations for each state,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-30 Francisco J. Muñoz , Juan Carlos Nuño

Social influence plays an important role in human behavior and decisions. The sources of influence can be generally divided into external, which are independent of social context, or as originating from peers, such as family and friends. An…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-10-19 Dan Braha , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

A common assumption in the literature on information diffusion is that populations are homogeneous regarding individuals' information acquisition and propagation process: Individuals update their informed and actively communicating state…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Flávio L. Pinheiro , Vítor V. Vasconcelos

The raking-ratio method is a statistical and computational method which adjusts the empirical measure to match the true probability of sets of a finite partition. We study the asymptotic behavior of the raking-ratio empirical process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-07 Mickael Albertus

An "Echo chamber" is the state of social learning agents whose performances are deteriorated by excessive observation of others. We understand this to be the collective behavior of agents in a restless multi-armed bandit. The bandit has $M$…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-09 Shintaro Mori , Kazuaki Nakayama , Masato Hisakado