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Temporal data are increasingly prevalent in modern data science. A fundamental question is whether two time series are related or not. Existing approaches often have limitations, such as relying on parametric assumptions, detecting only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-29 Cencheng Shen , Jaewon Chung , Ronak Mehta , Ting Xu , Joshua T. Vogelstein

Using cumulative residual processes, we propose joint goodness-of-fit tests for conditional means and variances functions in the context of nonlinear time series with martingale difference innovations. The main challenge comes from the fact…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-02 Kilani Ghoudi , Naâmane Laïb , Mohamed Chaouch

Symmetry plays a central role in the sciences, machine learning, and statistics. While statistical tests for the presence of distributional invariance with respect to groups have a long history, tests for conditional symmetry in the form of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 Kenny Chiu , Alex Sharp , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy

Considering a regression model, we address the question of testing the nullity of the regression function. The testing procedure is available when the variance of the observations is unknown and does not depend on any prior information on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-08 Thi Thien Trang Bui

We provide a limit theory for a general class of kernel smoothed U-statistics that may be used for specification testing in time series regression with nonstationary data. The test framework allows for linear and nonlinear models with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-06 Qiying Wang , Peter C. B. Phillips

When a quantum system is monitored in continuous time, the result of the measurement is a stochastic process. When the output process is stationary, at least in the long run, the spectrum of the process can be introduced and its properties…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-10-09 Alberto Barchielli , Matteo Gregoratti

The Whittle likelihood is widely used for Bayesian nonparametric estimation of the spectral density of stationary time series. However, the loss of efficiency for non-Gaussian time series can be substantial. On the other hand, parametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-19 Claudia Kirch , Matthew C. Edwards , Alexander Meier , Renate Meyer

In this paper, we study nonparametric models allowing for locally stationary regressors and a regression function that changes smoothly over time. These models are a natural extension of time series models with time-varying coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Michael Vogt

Discrete time trawl processes constitute a large class of time series parameterized by a trawl sequence (a j) j$\in$N and defined though a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) copies of a continuous time process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Paul Doukhan , François Roueff , Joseph Rynkiewicz

We establish a novel approach to probing spatially resolved multi-time correlation functions of interacting many-body systems, with scalable experimental overhead. Specifically, designing nonlinear measurement protocols for multidimensional…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-10-07 M. Gessner , F. Schlawin , H. Haeffner , S. Mukamel , A. Buchleitner

This paper shows that the problem of testing hypotheses in moment condition models without any assumptions about identification may be considered as a problem of testing with an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We introduce a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-24 Isaiah Andrews , Anna Mikusheva

This chapter discusses correlation analysis of stationary multivariate Gaussian time series in the spectral or Fourier domain. The goal is to identify the hub time series, i.e., those that are highly correlated with a specified number of…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2014-04-10 Hamed Firouzi , Dennis Wei , Alfred O. Hero

A novel nonparametric test for the equality of the covariance matrices of two Gaussian stationary processes, possibly of different lengths, is proposed. The test translates to testing the equality of two spectral densities and is shown to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Ilaria Nadin , Tatyana Krivobokova , Farida Enikeeva

We introduce a data-based approach to estimating key quantities which arise in the study of nonlinear control systems and random nonlinear dynamical systems. Our approach hinges on the observation that much of the existing linear theory may…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-04-04 Jake Bouvrie , Boumediene Hamzi

The aim of sequential change-point detection is to issue an alarm when it is thought that certain probabilistic properties of the monitored observations have changed. This work is concerned with nonparametric, closed-end testing procedures…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-27 Ivan Kojadinovic , Ghislain Verdier

Missingness and measurement frequency are two sides of the same coin. How frequent should we measure clinical variables and conduct laboratory tests? It depends on many factors such as the stability of patient conditions, diagnostic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Jiacheng Liu , Jaideep Srivastava

Financial spillovers in interconnected systems, such as global banking networks, require tools that capture temporal and frequency dynamics, while incorporating the underlying network topology. While current network time series models are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Cristian F. Jiménez-Varón , Marina I. Knight

We investigate the stochastic resonance phenomenon in a physical system based on a tunnel diode. The experimental control parameters are set to allow the control of the frequency and amplitude of the deterministic modulating signal over an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Rosario N. Mantegna , Bernardo Spagnolo , Marco Trapanese

When building linear or nonlinear models one is faced with the problem of selecting the best set of variable with which to predict the future dynamics. In nonlinear time series analysis the problem is to select the correct time delays in…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael Small

We propose a kernel-based nonparametric test of relative goodness of fit, where the goal is to compare two models, both of which may have unobserved latent variables, such that the marginal distribution of the observed variables is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-10 Heishiro Kanagawa , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Lester Mackey , Kenji Fukumizu , Arthur Gretton