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In this paper, we investigate the crossing statistics of speckle patterns formed in Fresnel diffraction region by a laser beam scattering through a nanofluid. We extend $zero-crossing$ statistics to assess dynamical properties of nanofluid.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-10-12 M. Arshadi Pirlar , S. M. S. Movahed , D. Razzaghi , R. Karimzadeh

In Gatheral et al. 2018, first posted in 2014, volatility is characterized by fractional behavior with a Hurst exponent $H < 0.5$, challenging traditional views of volatility dynamics. Gatheral et al. demonstrated this using realized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-06 Saad Mouti

This paper tackles the problem of detecting abrupt changes in the mean of a heteroscedastic signal by model selection, without knowledge on the variations of the noise. A new family of change-point detection procedures is proposed, showing…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-01 Sylvain Arlot , Alain Celisse

We estimate the Hurst parameter $H$ of a fractional Brownian motion from discrete noisy data observed along a high frequency sampling scheme. The presence of systematic experimental noise makes recovery of $H$ more difficult since relevant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Arnaud Gloter , Marc Hoffmann

We develop a computational procedure to estimate the covariance hyperparameters for semiparametric Gaussian process regression models with additive noise. Namely, the presented method can be used to efficiently estimate the variance of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Siavash Ameli , Shawn C. Shadden

Almost all scientific data have uncertainties originating from different sources. Gaussian process regression (GPR) models are a natural way to model data with Gaussian-distributed uncertainties. GPR also has the benefit of reducing I/O…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-16 Haoyu Li , Isaac J Michaud , Ayan Biswas , Han-Wei Shen

We study the fractional diffusion in a Gaussian noisy environment as described by the fractional order stochastic partial equations of the following form: $D_t^\alpha u(t, x)=\textit{B}u+u\cdot W^H$, where $D_t^\alpha$ is the fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Guannan Hu , Yaozhong Hu

We investigate the statistical evidence for the use of `rough' fractional processes with Hurst exponent $H< 0.5$ for the modeling of volatility of financial assets, using a model-free approach. We introduce a non-parametric method for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-11 Rama Cont , Purba Das

This chapter presents specific aspects of Gaussian process modeling in the presence of complex noise. Starting from the standard homoscedastic model, various generalizations from the literature are presented: input varying noise variance,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Mickael Binois , Arindam Fadikar , Abby Stevens

We analyze the influence of classical Gaussian noise on Landau-Zener transitions during a two-level crossing in a time-dependent regular external field. Transition probabilities and coherence factors become random due to the noise. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 V. L. Pokrovsky , S. Scheidl

A new nonparametric estimator of the local Hurst function of a multifractional Gaussian process based on the increment ratio (IR) statistic is defined. In a general frame, the point-wise and uniform weak and strong consistency and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-29 Jean-Marc Bardet , Donatas Surgailis

This paper presents a synthesis on the mathematical work done on level crossings of stationary Gaussian processes, with some extensions. The main results [(factorial) moments, representation into the Wiener Chaos, asymptotic results, rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marie F. Kratz

In applications spaning from image analysis and speech recognition, to energy dissipation in turbulence and time-to failure of fatigued materials, researchers and engineers want to calculate how often a stochastic observable crosses a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-21 Markus Nyberg , Ludvig Lizana , Tobias Ambjörnsson

In this letter, we address the problem of estimating Gaussian noise level from the trained dictionaries in update stage. We first provide rigorous statistical analysis on the eigenvalue distributions of a sample covariance matrix. Then we…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2017-12-12 Rui Chen , Changshui Yang , Huizhu Jia , Xiaodong Xie

The main objective of the paper is to study the long-time behavior of general discrete dynamics driven by an ergodic stationary Gaussian noise. In our main result, we prove existence and uniqueness of the invariant distribution and exhibit…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-14 Maylis Varvenne

Fractional Gaussian noise (fGn) is a self-similar stochastic process used to model anti-persistent or persistent dependency structures in observed time series. Properties of the autocovariance function of fGn are characterised by the Hurst…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-22 Sigrunn Holbek Sørbye , Håvard Rue

We study noise-induced switching of a system close to bifurcation parameter values where the number of stable states changes. For non-Gaussian noise, the switching exponent, which gives the logarithm of the switching rate, displays a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Lora Billings , Ira B. Schwartz , Marie McCrary , A. N. Korotkov , M. I. Dykman

The noise of signals or currents consisting from a sequence of pulses, elementary events or moving discrete objects (particles) is analyzed. A simple analytically solvable model is investigated in detail both analytically and numerically.…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-30 B. Kaulakys , T. Meskauskas

Distinguishing the cause and effect from bivariate observational data is the foundational problem that finds applications in many scientific disciplines. One solution to this problem is assuming that cause and effect are generated from a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-19 Quang-Duy Tran , Bao Duong , Phuoc Nguyen , Thin Nguyen

In this paper, we show how concentration inequalities for Gaussian quadratic form can be used to propose exact confidence intervals of the Hurst index parametrizing a fractional Brownian motion. Both cases where the scaling parameter of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-16 Jean-Christophe Breton , Jean-François Coeurjolly