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This paper considers inference for conditional moment inequality models using a multiscale statistic. We derive the asymptotic distribution of this test statistic and use the result to propose feasible critical values that have a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-10 Timothy B. Armstrong , Hock Peng Chan

This paper proposes confidence regions for the identified set in conditional moment inequality models using Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics with a truncated inverse variance weighting with increasing truncation points. The new weighting…

Applications · Statistics 2011-12-06 Timothy B. Armstrong

This paper derives the asymptotic distribution of variance weighted Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics for conditional moment inequality models for the case of a one dimensional covariate. The asymptotic distribution depends on the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-02 Timothy B. Armstrong

This paper addresses the problem of fitting a known distribution to the innovation distribution in a class of stationary and ergodic time series models. The asymptotic null distribution of the usual Kolmogorov--Smirnov test based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Hira L. Koul , Shiqing Ling

We consider a nonparametric autoregression model under conditional heteroscedasticity with the aim to test whether the innovation distribution changes in time. To this end we develop an asymptotic expansion for the sequential empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-07 Leonie Selk , Natalie Neumeyer

This paper introduces a novel test for conditional stochastic dominance (CSD) at specific values of the conditioning covariates, referred to as target points. The test is relevant for analyzing income inequality, evaluating treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-20 Federico A. Bugni , Ivan A. Canay , Deborah Kim

In $M$-estimation under standard asymptotics, the weak convergence combined with the polynomial type large deviation estimate of the associated statistical random field Yoshida (2011) provides us with not only the asymptotic distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-18 Hiroki Masuda , Yusuke Shimizu

Conformal inference is a versatile tool for building prediction sets in regression or classification. We study the false coverage proportion (FCP) in a simultaneous inference setting with a calibration sample of $n$ points and a test sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Ulysse Gazin

Modern statistical inference tasks often require iterative optimization methods to compute the solution. Convergence analysis from an optimization viewpoint only informs us how well the solution is approximated numerically but overlooks the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-27 Tengyuan Liang , Weijie Su

The object of study is the problem of testing for uniformity of the multinomial distribution. We consider tests based on symmetric statistics, defined as the sum of some function of cell-frequencies. Mainly, attention is focused on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-12 Sherzod M. Mirakhmedov

We investigate the asymptotic distributions of coordinates of regression M-estimates in the moderate $p/n$ regime, where the number of covariates $p$ grows proportionally with the sample size $n$. Under appropriate regularity conditions, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-20 Lihua Lei , Peter J. Bickel , Noureddine El Karoui

In this paper, I construct a new test of conditional moment inequalities, which is based on studentized kernel estimates of moment functions with many different values of the bandwidth parameter. The test automatically adapts to the unknown…

Applications · Statistics 2012-01-06 Denis Chetverikov

This paper derives asymptotic approximations to the power of Cramer-von Mises (CvM) style tests for inference on a finite dimensional parameter defined by conditional moment inequalities in the case where the parameter is set identified.…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-10 Timothy B. Armstrong

This paper proposes new parametric model adequacy tests for possibly nonlinear and nonstationary time series models with noncontinuous data distribution, which is often the case in applied work. In particular, we consider the correct…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Igor Kheifets , Carlos Velasco

Method of moment estimators exhibit appealing statistical properties, such as asymptotic unbiasedness, for nonconvex problems. However, they typically require a large number of samples and are extremely sensitive to model misspecification.…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-30 Dustin Tran , Minjae Kim , Finale Doshi-Velez

The classic integrated conditional moment test is a promising method for testing regression model misspecification. However, it severely suffers from the curse of dimensionality. To extend it to handle the testing problem for parametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Falong Tan , Lixing Zhu

A key feature of a sequential study is that the actual sample size is a random variable that typically depends on the outcomes collected. While hypothesis testing theory for sequential designs is well established, parameter and precision…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-21 Ben Berckmoes , Geert Molenberghs

A novel data-driven method for formal verification is proposed to study complex systems operating in safety-critical domains. The proposed approach is able to formally verify discrete-time stochastic dynamical systems against temporal logic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-11 Zhi Zhang , Chenyu Ma , Saleh Soudijani , Sadegh Soudjani

Moment matching is an easy-to-implement and usually effective method to reduce variance of Monte Carlo simulation estimates. On the other hand, there is no guarantee that moment matching will always reduce simulation variance for general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Xuan Liu

We develop asymptotic approximations that can be applied to sequential estimation and inference problems, adaptive randomized controlled trials, and related settings. In batched adaptive settings where the decision at one stage can affect…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-25 Keisuke Hirano , Jack R. Porter
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