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The integrated conditional moment (ICM) test is a classical and widely used method for assessing the adequacy of regression models. Although it performs well in fixed-dimension settings, its behavior changes dramatically when the predictor…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Yue Hu , Haiqi Li , Xintao Xia

Marginal structural models (MSMs) estimate the causal effect of a time-varying treatment in the presence of time-dependent confounding via weighted regression. The standard approach of using inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW)…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-13 Nathan Kallus , Michele Santacatterina

This paper deals with three major types of convergence of probability measures on metric spaces: weak convergence, setwise converges, and convergence in the total variation. First, it describes and compares necessary and sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-04 Eugene A. Feinberg , Pavlo O. Kasyanov , Michael Z. Zgurovsky

The application of machine learning models can be significantly impeded by the occurrence of distributional shifts, as the assumption of homogeneity between the population of training and testing samples in machine learning and statistics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-06 Wenlu Tang , Zicheng Liu

Recently, authors have studied weighted version of Kerridge inaccuracy measure for truncated distributions. In the present communication we introduce the notion of weighted interval inaccuracy measure for two-sided truncated random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-08 Chanchal Kundu

We study Krasnoselskii-Mann style iterative algorithms for approximating fixpoints of asymptotically weakly contractive mappings, with a focus on providing generalised convergence proofs along with explicit rates of convergence. More…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-30 Thomas Powell , Franziskus Wiesnet

Marginal structural models are a popular tool for investigating the effects of time-varying treatments, but they require an assumption of no unobserved confounders between the treatment and outcome. With observational data, this assumption…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 Matthew Blackwell , Soichiro Yamauchi

This paper considers inference for a function of a parameter vector in a partially identified model with many moment inequalities. This framework allows the number of moment conditions to grow with the sample size, possibly at exponential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-02 Alexandre Belloni , Federico Bugni , Victor Chernozhukov

The fidelity of financial market simulation is restricted by the so-called "non-identifiability" difficulty when calibrating high-frequency data. This paper first analyzes the inherent loss of data information in this difficulty, and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Peng Yang , Junji Ren , Feng Wang , Ke Tang

In the analysis of survey data, sampling weights are needed for consistent estimation of the population. However, the original inverse probability weights from the survey sample design are typically modified to account for non-response, to…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-19 Matthew R. Williams , Terrance D. Savitsky

In many learning problems, the training and testing data follow different distributions and a particularly common situation is the \textit{covariate shift}. To correct for sampling biases, most approaches, including the popular kernel mean…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-13 Henry Lam , Fengpei Li , Siddharth Prusty

We provide a test for the specification of a structural model without identifying assumptions. We show the equivalence of several natural formulations of correct specification, which we take as our null hypothesis. From a natural empirical…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-25 Alfred Galichon , Marc Henry

The classic integrated conditional moment test is a promising method for testing regression model misspecification. However, it severely suffers from the curse of dimensionality. To extend it to handle the testing problem for parametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Falong Tan , Lixing Zhu

We consider performing simulation experiments in the presence of covariates. Here, covariates refer to some input information other than system designs to the simulation model that can also affect the system performance. To make decisions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-28 Cheng Li , Siyang Gao , Jianzhong Du

Adaptive experiment designs can dramatically improve statistical efficiency in randomized trials, but they also complicate statistical inference. For example, it is now well known that the sample mean is biased in adaptive trials.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-16 Vitor Hadad , David A. Hirshberg , Ruohan Zhan , Stefan Wager , Susan Athey

Standard risk metrics used in model validation, such as the Kolmogorov-Smirnov distance, fail to converge at practical rates when applied to high-frequency financial data characterized by heavy tails (infinite skewness). This creates a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Armen Petrosyan

Convergence rates in spectral regularization methods quantify the approximation error in inverse problems as a function of the noise level or the number of sampling points. Classical strong convergence rate results typically rely on source…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Sabrina Guastavino , Gabriele Santin , Francesco Marchetti , Federico Benvenuto

This paper presents a convergence analysis of kernel-based quadrature rules in misspecified settings, focusing on deterministic quadrature in Sobolev spaces. In particular, we deal with misspecified settings where a test integrand is less…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-31 Motonobu Kanagawa , Bharath K. Sriperumbudur , Kenji Fukumizu

AIMS. The maximum-likelihood method is the standard approach to obtain model fits to observational data and the corresponding confidence regions. We investigate possible sources of bias in the log-likelihood function and its subsequent…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 J. Hartlap , P. Simon , P. Schneider

In this paper, I construct a new test of conditional moment inequalities, which is based on studentized kernel estimates of moment functions with many different values of the bandwidth parameter. The test automatically adapts to the unknown…

Applications · Statistics 2012-01-06 Denis Chetverikov