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Decision-focused learning integrates predictive modeling and combinatorial optimization by training models to directly improve decision quality rather than prediction accuracy alone. Differentiating through combinatorial optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Victor Spitzer , Francois Sanson

In predictive maintenance, model performance is usually assessed by means of precision, recall, and F1-score. However, employing the model with best performance, e.g. highest F1-score, does not necessarily result in minimum maintenance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-01 Stephan Spiegel , Fabian Mueller , Dorothea Weismann , John Bird

Learning a policy using only observational data is challenging because the distribution of states it induces at execution time may differ from the distribution observed during training. We propose to train a policy by unrolling a learned…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-10 Mikael Henaff , Alfredo Canziani , Yann LeCun

Predictions and forecasts of machine learning models should take the form of probability distributions, aiming to increase the quantity of information communicated to end users. Although applications of probabilistic prediction and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-19 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous

In many traditional job scheduling settings, it is assumed that one knows the time it will take for a job to complete service. In such cases, strategies such as shortest job first can be used to improve performance in terms of measures such…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-05-24 Michael Mitzenmacher

Predictive models are often used for real-time decision making. However, typical machine learning techniques ignore feature evaluation cost, and focus solely on the accuracy of the machine learning models obtained utilizing all the features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-19 Leilani Battle , Edward Benson , Aditya Parameswaran , Eugene Wu

When quantitative models are used to support decision-making on complex and important topics, understanding a model's ``reasoning'' can increase trust in its predictions, expose hidden biases, or reduce vulnerability to adversarial attacks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-09 Dimitris Bertsimas , Arthur Delarue , Patrick Jaillet , Sebastien Martin

A key strategy for balancing performance and cost in modern machine learning systems is to dynamically route queries to either a low-cost model or a more expensive oracle (such as a large pretrained model or human expert), an approach known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Charlotte Peale , Siddartha Devic , Parikshit Gopalan , Udi Wieder , Aravind Gollakota

Predictive models are finding an increasing number of applications in many industries. As a result, a practical means for trading-off the cost of deploying a model versus its effectiveness is needed. Our work is motivated by risk prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-21 Daniel P. Robinson , Suchi Saria

Virtually all machine learning tasks are characterized using some form of loss function, and "good performance" is typically stated in terms of a sufficiently small average loss, taken over the random draw of test data. While optimizing for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-01 Matthew J. Holland , Kazuki Tanabe

Model-based process simulation can be used to derive designs and operating conditions of chemical processes that optimally balance multiple objectives, such as quality, costs, or environmental impacts. This work focuses on identifying…

In this work, we study a single-machine scheduling problem that aims at minimizing the total cost of a schedule subject to start-time dependent costs. This framework naturally captures scenarios where costs fluctuate throughout the day,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Sofía Rodríguez-Ballesteros , Javier Alcaraz , Laura Anton-Sanchez , Marc Goerigk , Dorothee Henke

Most machine learning techniques are based upon statistical learning theory, often simplified for the sake of computing speed. This paper is focused on the uncertainty aspect of mathematical modeling in machine learning. Regression analysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Valentin Arkov

Machine learning algorithms can now outperform classic economic models in predicting quantities ranging from bargaining outcomes, to choice under uncertainty, to an individual's future jobs and wages. Yet this predictive accuracy comes at a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-27 Annie Liang

There is a growing body of work on sorting and selection in models other than the unit-cost comparison model. This work is the first treatment of a natural stochastic variant of the problem where the cost of comparing two elements is a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2007-10-02 Stanislav Angelov , Keshav Kunal , Andrew McGregor

Existing approaches of prescriptive analytics -- where inputs of an optimization model can be predicted by leveraging covariates in a machine learning model -- often attempt to optimize the mean value of an uncertain objective. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Dimitris Bertsimas , Benjamin Boucher

Ensemble learning is characterized by flexibility, high precision, and refined structure. As a critical component within computational finance, option pricing with machine learning requires both high predictive accuracy and reduced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Zeyuan Li , Qingdao Huang

An increasing number of decisions are guided by machine learning algorithms. In many settings, from consumer credit to criminal justice, those decisions are made by applying an estimator to data on an individual's observed behavior. But…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-04-09 Daniel Björkegren , Joshua E. Blumenstock , Samsun Knight

The mean objective cost of uncertainty (MOCU) quantifies the performance cost of using an operator that is optimal across an uncertainty class of systems as opposed to using an operator that is optimal for a particular system. MOCU-based…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-05-04 Shahin Boluki , Xiaoning Qian , Edward R. Dougherty

Various real-world applications involve modeling complex systems with immense uncertainty and optimizing multiple objectives based on the uncertain model. Quantifying the impact of the model uncertainty on the given operational objectives…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Byung-Jun Yoon , Xiaoning Qian , Edward R. Dougherty
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