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For a random walk in an elliptic i.i.d. random environment in dimension greater than or equal to 4, satisfying the a ballisticity condition slightly weaker than condition (T'), We consider the probability of linear slowdown. We show an…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-05 Noam Berger

We use the method of Maximum (relative) Entropy to process information in the form of observed data and moment constraints. The generic "canonical" form of the posterior distribution for the problem of simultaneous updating with data and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 Adom Giffin , Ariel Caticha

This paper mainly addresses the optimization of $p$-th moment of $\mathbb{R}^n$-valued random variable. Through an ingenious approximation mechanism, one transforms the maximization problem into a sequence of minimization problems, which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Xiaojun Lu , Yanhua Wu

Let $X$ be the constrained random walk on ${\mathbb Z}_+^2$ having increments $(1,0)$, $(-1,1)$, $(0,-1)$ with jump probabilities $\lambda(M_k)$, $\mu_1(M_k)$, and $\mu_2(M_k)$ where $M$ is an irreducible aperiodic finite state Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Fatma Başoğlu Kabran , Ali Devin Sezer

In this work, we consider a manufactory process which can be described by a multiple-instance logistic regression model. In order to compute the maximum likelihood estimation of the unknown coefficient, an expectation-maximization algorithm…

Logistic linear mixed model is widely used in experimental designs and genetic analysis with binary traits. Motivated by modern applications, we consider the case with many groups of random effects and each group corresponds to a variance…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-15 Liuyi Hu , Wenbin Lu , Jin Zhou , Hua Zhou

Let $S_n$ be the simple random walk on the integer lattice $\mathbb{Z}^d$. For a Bernstein function $\phi$ we consider a random walk $S^\phi_n$ which is subordinated to $S_n$. Under a certain assumption on the behaviour of $\phi$ at zero we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Wojciech Cygan , Stjepan Šebek

Programs with randomization constructs is an active research topic, especially after the recent introduction of martingale-based analysis methods for their termination and runtimes. Unlike most of the existing works that focus on proving…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-02-18 Satoshi Kura , Natsuki Urabe , Ichiro Hasuo

We prove simple general formulas for expectations of functions of a random walk and its running extremum. Under additional conditions, we derive analytical formulas using the inverse $Z$-transform, the Fourier/Laplace inversion and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-01 Svetlana Boyarchenko , Sergei Levendorskiĭ

Several numerical approximation strategies for the expectation-propagation algorithm are studied in the context of large-scale learning: the Laplace method, a faster variant of it, Gaussian quadrature, and a deterministic version of…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-16 Alexis Roche

Predicting links in complex networks has been one of the essential topics within the realm of data mining and science discovery over the past few years. This problem remains an attempt to identify future, deleted, and redundant links using…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-05-21 Kamal Berahmand , Elahe Nasiri , Saman Forouzandeh , Yuefeng Li

While learning the maximum likelihood value of parameters of an undirected graphical model is hard, modelling the posterior distribution over parameters given data is harder. Yet, undirected models are ubiquitous in computer vision and text…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Max Welling , Sridevi Parise

The special limit of the totally asymmetric zero range process of the low-dimensional non-equilibrium statistical mechanics described by the non-Hermitian Hamiltonian is considered. The calculation of the conditional probabilities of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-25 Nicolay M. Bogoliubov , Cyril Malyshev

Consider a branching random walk evolving in a macroscopic time-inhomogeneous environment, that scales with the length $n$ of the process under study. We compute the first two terms of the asymptotic of the maximal displacement at time $n$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-01 Bastien Mallein

We develop and analyze $M$-estimation methods for divergence functionals and the likelihood ratios of two probability distributions. Our method is based on a non-asymptotic variational characterization of $f$-divergences, which allows the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-18 XuanLong Nguyen , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

Models of stochastic processes are widely used in almost all fields of science. Theory validation, parameter estimation, and prediction all require model calibration and statistical inference using data. However, data are almost always…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-07 David J. Warne , Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

We present a novel technique for the determination of the topological susceptibility (related to the variance of the distribution of global topological charge) from lattice gauge theory simulations, based on maximum-likelihood analysis of…

We obtain the explicit expressions for the state probabilities of various state dependent fractional point processes recently introduced and studied by Garra et al. (2015). The inversion of the Laplace transforms of the state probabilities…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-25 K. K. Kataria , P. Vellaisamy

We consider random walks on the set of all words over a finite alphabet such that in each step only the last two letters of the current word may be modified and only one letter may be adjoined or deleted. We assume that the transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-07-16 Lorenz A. Gilch

A random walk-based method is proposed to efficiently compute the solution of a large class of fractional in time linear systems of differential equations (linear F-ODE systems), along with the derivatives with respect to the system…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-09 Andrés Centeno , Juan A. Acebrón , José Monteiro