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Related papers: Of copulas, quantiles, ranks and spectra: An $L_1$…

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Classical spectral methods are subject to two fundamental limitations: they only can account for covariance-related serial dependencies, and they require second-order stationarity. Much attention has been devoted lately to quantile-based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-19 Stefan Birr , Stanislav Volgushev , Tobias Kley , Holger Dette , Marc Hallin

Quantile- and copula-related spectral concepts recently have been considered by various authors. Those spectra, in their most general form, provide a full characterization of the copulas associated with the pairs $(X_t,X_{t-k})$ in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Tobias Kley , Stanislav Volgushev , Holger Dette , Marc Hallin

Frequency domain methods form a ubiquitous part of the statistical toolbox for time series analysis. In recent years, considerable interest has been given to the development of new spectral methodology and tools capturing dynamics in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-23 Yuichi Goto , Tobias Kley , Ria Van Hecke , Stanislav Volgushev , Holger Dette , Marc Hallin

We describe here a new method to estimate copula measure. From N observations of two variables X and Y, we draw a huge number m of subsamples (size n<N), and we compute the joint ranks in these subsamples. Then, for each bivariate rank…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-09-26 Jérôme Collet

This paper introduces a novel statistical regression framework that allows the incorporation of consistency constraints. A linear and nonlinear (kernel-based) formulation are introduced, and both imply closed-form analytical solutions. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-10 Emiliano Díaz , Adrián Pérez-Suay , Valero Laparra , Gustau Camps-Valls

Time series analysis is crucial in fields like finance, economics, environmental science, and biomedical engineering, aiding in forecasting, pattern identification, and understanding underlying mechanisms. While traditional time-domain…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-21 Jonathan de Souza Matias , Valderio Anselmo Reisen

In this paper I introduce quantile spectral densities that summarize the cyclical behavior of time series across their whole distribution by analyzing periodicities in quantile crossings. This approach can capture systematic changes in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-28 Andreas Hagemann

The paper presents a new copula based method for measuring dependence between random variables. Our approach extends the Maximum Mean Discrepancy to the copula of the joint distribution. We prove that this approach has several advantageous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-15 Barnabas Poczos , Zoubin Ghahramani , Jeff Schneider

We propose a framework for determining whether the causal dependence of an outcome $Y$ on a covariate $X$ changes at a given time point, given confounders $\boldsymbol{Z}$. For instance, in financial markets, the effect of a market…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Shakeel Gavioli-Akilagun , Kieran Wood , Francesco Quinzan

Finding parametric models that accurately describe the dependence structure of observed data is a central task in the analysis of time series. Classical frequency domain methods provide a popular set of tools for fitting and diagnostics of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-18 Stefan Birr , Tobias Kley , Stanislav Volgushev

The goal of this paper is to develop a measure for characterizing complex dependence between stationary time series that cannot be captured by traditional measures such as correlation and coherence. Our approach is to use copula models of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Charles Fontaine , Ron D. Frostig , Hernando Ombao

Classical spectral analysis is based on the discrete Fourier transform of the auto-covariances. In this paper we investigate the asymptotic properties of new frequency domain methods where the auto-covariances in the spectral density are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Ria van Hecke , Stanislav Volgushev , Holger Dette

This paper intends to develop tools for characterizing non-linear spectral dependence between spontaneous brain signals. We use parametric copula models (both bivariate and vine models) applied on the magnitude of Fourier coefficients…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-25 Charles Fontaine , Ron D. Frostig , Hernando Ombao

The partial copula provides a method for describing the dependence between two random variables $X$ and $Y$ conditional on a third random vector $Z$ in terms of nonparametric residuals $U_1$ and $U_2$. This paper develops a nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-30 Lasse Petersen , Niels Richard Hansen

We propose non-stationary spectral kernels for Gaussian process regression. We propose to model the spectral density of a non-stationary kernel function as a mixture of input-dependent Gaussian process frequency density surfaces. We solve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-25 Sami Remes , Markus Heinonen , Samuel Kaski

We introduce the convolutional spectral kernel (CSK), a novel family of non-stationary, nonparametric covariance kernels for Gaussian process (GP) models, derived from the convolution between two imaginary radial basis functions. We present…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-15 Zheyang Shen , Markus Heinonen , Samuel Kaski

We present a new non-parametric estimator of the conditional density of the kernel type. It is based on an efficient transformation of the data by quantile transform. By use of the copula representation, it turns out to have a remarkable…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-06-13 Olivier P. Faugeras

When facing multivariate covariates, general semiparametric regression techniques come at hand to propose flexible models that are unexposed to the curse of dimensionality. In this work a semiparametric copula-based estimator for…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-25 Mickael De Backer , Anouar El Ghouch , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Existing permanental processes often impose constraints on kernel types or stationarity, limiting the model's expressiveness. To overcome these limitations, we propose a novel approach utilizing the sparse spectral representation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-20 Zicheng Sun , Yixuan Zhang , Zenan Ling , Xuhui Fan , Feng Zhou

In this paper, we study nonparametric models allowing for locally stationary regressors and a regression function that changes smoothly over time. These models are a natural extension of time series models with time-varying coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Michael Vogt
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