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A branching process in a Markovian environment consists of an irreducible Markov chain on a set of "environments" together with an offspring distribution for each environment. At each time step the chain transitions to a new random…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-22 Lila Greco , Lionel Levine

The paper considers a continuous-time birth-death process where the jump rate has an asymptotically polynomial dependence on the process position. We obtain a rough exponential asymptotics for the probability of excursions of a re-scaled…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-26 N. D. Vvedenskaya , A. V. Logachov , Y. M. Suhov , A. A. Yambartsev

We study ergodic properties of a class of Markov-modulated general birth-death processes under fast regime switching. The first set of results concerns the ergodic properties of the properly scaled joint Markov process with a parameter that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Ari Arapostathis , Guodong Pang , Yi Zheng

Two quantum systems, each described as a random-matrix ensemble. are coupled to each other via a number of transition states. Each system is strongly coupled to a large number of channels. The average transmission probability is the product…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-14 Hans A. Weidenmüller

A popular method to compute first-passage probabilities in continuous-time Markov chains is by numerically inverting their Laplace transforms. Past decades, the scientific computing community has developed excellent numerical methods for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-01 Debarati Bhaumik , Marko A. A. Boon , Daan Crommelin , Barry Koren , Bert Zwart

We consider a stochastic spatial point process with births and deaths on $\mathbb{R}^d$, with the hard-core property that at any time the balls of radius half of any two points do not overlap. We give explicit construction of the process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-19 Mayank Manjrekar

It is a common practice to describe branching random walks in terms of birth, death and walk of particles, which makes it easier to use them in different applications. The main results obtained for the models of symmetric continuous-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Anastasiia Rytova , Elena Yarovaya

We derive the conditions for recurrence and transience for time-inhomogeneous birth-and-death processes considered as random walks with positively biased drifts. We establish a general result, from which the earlier known particular results…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-11 Vyacheslav M. Abramov

Systems switching between different dynamical phases is an ubiquitous phenomenon. The general understanding of such a process is limited. To this end, we present a general expression that captures fluctuations of a system exhibiting a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-05 Ion Santra , Kristian Stølevik Olsen , Deepak Gupta

Sampling a probability distribution with known likelihood is a fundamental task in computational science and engineering. Aiming at multimodality, we propose a new sampling method that takes advantage of both birth-death process and…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-04 Lezhi Tan , Jianfeng Lu

In this paper, we introduce a generalized birth process (GBP) which performs jumps of size $1,2,\dots,k$ whose rates depend on the state of the process at time $t\geq0$. We derive a non-exploding condition for it. The system of differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 K. K. Kataria , M. Khandakar

Many spatio-temporal data record the time of birth and death of individuals, along with their spatial trajectories during their lifetime, whether through continuous-time observations or discrete-time observations. Natural applications…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-14 Frédéric Lavancier , Ronan Le Guével

Birth-and-death processes (BDPs) form a class of continuous-time Markov chains that are particularly suited to describing the changes in the size of a population over time. Population-size-dependent BDPs (PSDBDPs) allow the rate at which a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-12 Sophie Hautphenne , Brendan Patch

We examine what happens in a population when it experiences an abrupt change in surrounding conditions. Several cases of such "abrupt transitions" for both physical and living social systems are analyzed from which it can be seen that all…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-23 Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner

The spatial symmetry property of truncated birth-death processes studied in Di Crescenzo [6] is extended to a wider family of continuous-time Markov chains. We show that it yields simple expressions for first-passage-time densities and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Annapatrizia Nastro

Birth-death processes take place ubiquitously throughout the universe. In general, birth and death rates depend on the system size (corresponding to the number of products or customers undergoing the birth-death process) and thus vary every…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-19 Seong Jun Park , M. Y. Choi

A superprocess limit for an interacting birth-death particle system modelling a population with trait and physical age-structures is established. Traits of newborn offspring are inherited from the parents except when mutations occur, while…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-29 Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

The existing life table method needs to calculate the age-specific mortality first, not only has too many and complicated calculation steps, but also introduces the multiple approximation to bring error. This paper redefines the probability…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-21 Weidong Huang

We consider probabilistic programming for birth-death models of evolution and introduce a new widely-applicable inference method that combines an extension of the alive particle filter (APF) with automatic Rao-Blackwellization via delayed…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-16 Jan Kudlicka , Lawrence M. Murray , Fredrik Ronquist , Thomas B. Schön

A discrete time branching process where the offspring distribution is generation-dependent, and the number of reproductive individuals is controlled by a random mechanism is considered. This model is a Markov chain but, in general, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Miguel González , Carmen Minuesa , Manuel Mota , Inés del Puerto , Alfonso Ramos
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