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We present a method to learn mean residence time and escape probability from data modeled by stochastic differential equations. This method is a combination of machine learning from data (to extract stochastic differential equations as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Dengfeng Wu , Miaomiao Fu , Jinqiao Duan

Properties of systems driven by white non-Gaussian noises can be very different from these systems driven by the white Gaussian noise. We investigate stationary probability densities for systems driven by $\alpha$-stable L\'evy type noises,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 B. Dybiec , E. Gudowska-Nowak , I. M. Sokolov

Probing deeper into the existing issues regarding the exit probability (EP) in one dimensional dynamical models, we consider several models where the states are represented by Ising spins and the information flows inwards. At zero…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-02-11 Parna Roy , Soham Biswas , Parongama Sen

Accurate risk assessment is essential for safety-critical autonomous and control systems under uncertainty. In many real-world settings, stochastic dynamics exhibit asymmetric jumps and long-range memory, making long-term risk probabilities…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Yimeng Sun , Zhuoyuan Wang , Xiaole Zhang , Heng Ping , Jintang Xue , Paul Bogdan , Yorie Nakahira

Stochastic storage models based on essentially non-Gaussian noise are considered. The stochastic description of physical systems based on stochastic storage models is associated with generalized Poisson (or shot) noise, in which the jump…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-22 V. V. Ryazanov

We take a new look at the problem of disentangling the volatility and jumps processes of daily stock returns. We first provide a computational framework for the univariate stochastic volatility model with Poisson-driven jumps that offers a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-30 Angelos Alexopoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos

This article is concerned with stability analysis and stabilization of randomly switched nonlinear systems. These systems may be regarded as piecewise deterministic stochastic systems: the discrete switches are triggered by a stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-09-08 Debasish Chatterjee , Daniel Liberzon

This work is concerned with the dynamics of a class of slow-fast stochastic dynamical systems with non-Gaussian stable L\'evy noise with a scale parameter. Slow manifolds with exponentially tracking property are constructed, eliminating the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-18 Shenglan Yuan , Jianyu Hu , Xianming Liu , Jinqiao Duan

We explore the properties of discrete-time stochastic processes with a bounded state space, whose deterministic limit is given by a map of the unit interval. We find that, in the mesoscopic description of the system, the large jumps between…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-22 César Parra-Rojas , Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

Stochastic dynamical systems arise naturally across nearly all areas of science and engineering. Typically, a dynamical system model is based on some prior knowledge about the underlying dynamics of interest in which probabilistic features…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-09-03 Chao Yin , Xihaier Luo , Ahsan Kareem

This work is devoted to deriving the Onsager-Machlup action functional for stochastic partial differential equations with (non-Gaussian) Levy process as well as Gaussian Brownian motion. This is achieved by applying the Girsanov…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Jianyu Hu , Jinqiao Duan

Many time series are effectively generated by a combination of deterministic continuous flows along with discrete jumps sparked by stochastic events. However, we usually do not have the equation of motion describing the flows, or how they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-09 Junteng Jia , Austin R. Benson

Stochastic hybrid systems are dynamic systems that undergo both random continuous-time flows and random discrete jumps. Depending on how randomness is introduced into the continuous dynamics, discrete transitions, or both, stochastic hybrid…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-17 Tejaswi K. C. , William Clark , Taeyoung Lee

Stochastic dynamical systems allow modelling of transitions induced by disturbances, in particular from an attracting equilibrium and crossing the stable manifold of a saddle. In the small-noise limit, the probability of such transitions is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-05 Jiayao Shao , Tobias Grafke , Robert S. MacKay

Markovian diffusion processes yield a system of conservation laws which couple various conditional expectation values (local moments). Solutions of that closed system of deterministic partial differential equations stand for a regular…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. Garbaczewski

Stochastic systems are used to model a variety of phenomena in which noise plays an essential role. In these models, one potential goal is to determine if noise can induce transitions between states, and if so, to calculate the most…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-07-26 Katherine Slyman , Mackenzie Simper , John A. Gemmer , Bjorn Sandstede

This is an overview about natural sample spaces for differential equations driven by various noises. Appropriate sample spaces are needed in order to facilitate a random dynamical systems approach for stochastic differential equations. The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-12-02 Jinqiao Duan , Xingye Kan , Bjaorn Schmalfuss

We address the risk bounded trajectory optimization problem of stochastic nonlinear robotic systems. More precisely, we consider the motion planning problem in which the robot has stochastic nonlinear dynamics and uncertain initial…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Weiqiao Han , Ashkan Jasour , Brian Williams

The Fokker-Planck equations describe time evolution of probability densities of stochastic dynamical systems and are thus widely used to quantify random phenomena such as uncertainty propagation. For dynamical systems driven by non-Gaussian…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Xu Sun , Jinqiao Duan

In this article, we employ a collection of stochastic differential equations with drift and diffusion coefficients approximated by neural networks to predict the trend of chaotic time series which has big jump properties. Our contributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Luxuan Yang , Ting Gao , Yubin Lu , Jinqiao Duan , Tao Liu