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Motivated by studies in biological sciences to detect differentially expressed genes, a semiparametric two-component mixture model with one known component is being studied in this paper. Assuming the density of the unknown component to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-28 Yangmei Zhou , Weixin Yao

This paper considers a semiparametric generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (S-GARCH) model. For this model, we first estimate the time-varying long run component for unconditional variance by the kernel estimator, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-05 Feiyu Jiang , Dong Li , Ke Zhu

We consider a time series model involving a fractional stochastic component, whose integration order can lie in the stationary/invertible or nonstationary regions and be unknown, and an additive deterministic component consisting of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 P. M. Robinson

We propose a class of estimators for the parameters of a GARCH(p,q) sequence. We show that our estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal under mild conditions. The quasi-maximum likelihood and the likelihood estimators are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 István Berkes , Lajos Horváth

Linear time series modelling is dominated by the use of purely autoregressive models even though incorporating moving average components can greatly improve parsimony. We present a convex formulation for vector-ARMA system identification…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-01 Alex Nguyen-Le , Victor M. Preciado

In extracting time series data from various sources, it is inevitable to compile variables measured at varying frequencies as this is often dependent on the source. Modeling from these data can be facilitated by aggregating high frequency…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Jetrei Benedick R. Benito , Joseph Ryan G. Lansangan , Erniel B. Barrios

We consider the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for the underlying event time based on mixed-case interval-censored data, under a log-concavity assumption on its distribution function. This generalized framework relaxes the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-02 Chi Wing Chu , Hok Kan Ling , Chaoyu Yuan

In Statistics, log-concave density estimation is a central problem within the field of nonparametric inference under shape constraints. Despite great progress in recent years on the statistical theory of the canonical estimator, namely the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-01 Wenyu Chen , Rahul Mazumder , Richard J. Samworth

In this article, we propose a novel logistic quasi-maximum likelihood estimation (LQMLE) for general parametric time series models. Compared to the classical Gaussian QMLE and existing robust estimations, it enjoys many distinctive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-12 Zihan Wang , Xinghao Qiao , Dong Li , Howell Tong

A semi-parametric joint Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) forecasting framework employing multiple realized measures is developed. The proposed framework extends the realized exponential GARCH model to be semi-parametrically…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-06 Rangika Peiris , Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Minh-Ngoc Tran

GARCH models are useful tools in the investigation of phenomena, where volatility changes are prominent features, like most financial data. The parameter estimation via quasi maximum likelihood (QMLE) and its properties are by now well…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-07 László Varga , András Zempléni

In this paper, we develop a complete methodology for detecting time-varying/non time-varying parameters in ARCH processes. For this purpose, we estimate and test various semiparametric versions of the time-varying ARCH model (tv-ARCH) which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-04 Lionel Truquet

One of the most important features of financial time series data is volatility. There are often structural changes in volatility over time, and an accurate estimation of the volatility of financial time series requires careful…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-24 Huaiyu Hu , Ashis Gangopadhyay

In this article, we revisit the problem of fitting a mixture model under the assumption that the mixture components are symmetric and log-concave. To this end, we first study the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation (NPMLE) of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-28 Xiao Pu , Ery Arias-Castro

Theoretical guarantees are established for a standard estimator in a semi-parametric finite mixture model, where each component density is modeled as a product of univariate densities under a conditional independence assumption. The focus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Marie Du Roy de Chaumaray , Michael Levine , Matthieu Marbac

Semiparametric regression offers a flexible framework for modeling non-linear relationships between a response and covariates. A prime example are generalized additive models where splines (say) are used to approximate non-linear functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-05 Francis K. C. Hui , Chong You , Han Lin Shang , Samuel Müller

One of the important and widely used classes of models for non-Gaussian time series is the generalized autoregressive model average models (GARMA), which specifies an ARMA structure for the conditional mean process of the underlying time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Tingguo Zheng , Han Xiao , Rong Chen

Autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are widely used for analyzing time series data. However, standard likelihood-based inference methodology for ARMA models has avoidable limitations. We show that currently accepted standards for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Jesse Wheeler , Edward L. Ionides

Inference on the parametric part of a semiparametric model is no trivial task. If one approximates the infinite dimensional part of the semiparametric model by a parametric function, one obtains a parametric model that is in some sense…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Adam Lee , Emil A. Stoltenberg , Per A. Mykland

Matrix-variate time series data are largely available in applications. However, no attempt has been made to study their conditional heteroskedasticity that is often observed in economic and financial data. To address this gap, we propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-09 Cheng Yu , Dong Li , Feiyu Jiang , Ke Zhu
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